That Tape From 2001

by hilzoy I spent part of last night trying to find a way to actually listen to the audio of Obama’s interview with Chicago Public Radio. Unfortunately, I couldn’t get it to work. So, unfortunately, I’m going to have to base my comments on Fox News’ transcript, which is the most complete version I could … Read more

Skinhead Plot

by hilzoy AP: “Two white supremacists allegedly plotted to go on a national killing spree, shooting and decapitating black people and ultimately targeting Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama, federal authorities said Monday. In all, the two men whom officials describe as neo-Nazi skinheads planned to kill 88 people — 14 by beheading, according to documents … Read more

Stevens Convicted

by hilzoy From the NYT: “Senator Ted Stevens, Alaska’s dominant political figure for more than four decades, was found guilty on Monday by a jury of violating federal ethics laws for failing to report tens of thousands of dollars in gifts and services he had received from friends. The jury of District of Columbia residents … Read more

The Past Ain’t Prologue

by publius The NYT explores the “risk and reward” of an expanded Democratic majority next session. It’s pretty much the same narrative that followed Pelosi’s rise to power — how will they manage to keep the liberal and conservative wings happy? (Pelosi, it should be noted, hasn’t had much of a problem on that front). … Read more

Mark Levin’s Cultural Revolution

by publius Shark jumped over at the Corner: There is a cult-like atmosphere around Barack Obama, which his campaign has carefully and successfully fabricated, which concerns me. The messiah complex. Fainting audience members at rallies. Special Obama flags and an Obama presidential seal. A graphic with the portrayal of the globe and Obama’s name on … Read more

Question

by hilzoy There are only ten days left until the election. How many days before the McCain campaign and/or the Republican Party compares Barack Obama to Pol Pot? Or Charlie Manson? I mean, we’ve already had Hitler and Soviet Russia. Why stop there?

A Similar Mistake

by hilzoy They actually went there: “Pennsylvania Republicans are disavowing an e-mail sent to Jewish voters that likens a vote for Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama to events that led up to the Holocaust. “Jewish Americans cannot afford to make the wrong decision on Tuesday, November 4th, 2008,” the e-mail reads. “Many of our ancestors … Read more

Oh Noes! Socialism!

by hilzoy If you read Barack Obama’s tax plan (pdf), it seems pretty unobjectionable. He wants to cut taxes on most people, and let the tax rates on those who make over $250,000 a year go back to the levels they were at during the Clinton years, when, as we all know, the economy went … Read more

For The Record

by hilzoy The NYT: “Mr. Podesta has been mapping out the transition so systematically that he has already written a draft Inaugural Address for Mr. Obama, which he published this summer in a book called “The Power of Progress.” The speech calls for rebuilding a “grand alliance” with the rest of the world, bringing troops … Read more

Compare And Contrast

by hilzoy Barack Obama on his response to the economic meltdown: “We were getting phone calls from people in Washington and I think there were some on our staff that were thinking that maybe we should interject and respond in some way. My strong feeling was that this situation was of such seriousness that it … Read more

A Question

by publius Why is Sarah Palin in Iowa today? (I’m not implying this is part of the new “rogue” 2012 strategy. Presumably, her stops are determined by McCain Central. But it just seems odd — it’s not like there’s a competitive Senate race there or anything).

National Review Meltdown Watch

by hilzoy The National Review front page link to this article asks: “Is there a connection between the criticisms of vice-presidential hopeful Sarah Palin and repressed post-abortion grief?” Let me think long and hard about this one: No. This has been another edition of ‘Simple Answers To Stupid Questions’ (TM Atrios). The slightly more complicated … Read more

“The Tokyo Rose Of Al Qaeda”

by hilzoy You’ll never guess who “the Tokyo Rose of al Qaeda” is: “Republican U.S. Senate challenger Christopher Reed accused fellow Navy veteran and Democrat Sen. Tom Harkin of aiding the enemy because of his call to withdraw U.S. troops from Iraq on a scheduled timetable. In a taped debate that aired Thursday night on … Read more

Shoulders of Giants

by publius Via the Moderate Voice, I saw Ben Smith passing along the following early voting story: For me the most moving moment came when the [black] family in front of me, comprising probably 4 generations of voters (including an 18 year old girl voting for her first time and a 90-something hunched-over grandmother), got … Read more

Classy

by publius I usually only read people like Riehl through the filter of John Cole and Tim F. But I saw (via Memeorandum) that Riehl wrote something about Obama’s grandmother, and assumed the worst. Turns out, I was right — it’s the worst: Man. I hope his numbers don’t start to drop. He might have … Read more

Hope

by hilzoy Back in 1994, Susan Smith strapped her two sons into her Mazda and let it roll into a lake, drowning them. She had been having an affair, but the man she had been having it with didn’t want her children. Newt Gingrich had this to say about her crime: “I think the mother … Read more

Pickett’s McCain’s Charge

by publius I don’t really understand the McCain camp’s Pennsylvania strategy. In particular, I don’t understand the logic of scaling back in Colorado while simultaneously going “all in” in a solidly Democratic state that has added a net of 600K registered Democrats since 2004. At this point, McCain is going to lose until there’s some … Read more

Shop On, Sarah Palin, Shop On!

by hilzoy Sarah Palin does her bit to boost sagging retail sales: “The Republican National Committee appears to have spent more than $150,000 to clothe and accessorize vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin and her family since her surprise pick by John McCain in late August. According to financial disclosure records, the accessorizing began in early … Read more

NewsMax: Not Aware Of All Internet Traditions

by hilzoy Ken Timmerman has a rather breathless article in NewsMax called “Obama’s Secret Campaign Cash: Has $63 Million Flowed from Foreign Sources?” Here’s the argument for the claim that it could have: Examining Obama’s donations over $200, which must be itemized in FEC filings, the author discovers a class of donations that strikes him … Read more

Bunny Ears And Real Americans

by hilzoy Bill Sali, one of my favorite nutty Congresspeople, makes the news again: “Congressman Bill Sali and his campaign staff disrupted a NewsChannel 7 reporter and a representative for his opponent during an interview Tuesday in Downtown Boise. KTVB reporter Ysabel Bilbao was interviewing Walt Minnick’s campaign director John Foster Wednesday afternoon. During the … Read more

There They Go Again …

by hilzoy Cliff May at The Corner quotes Kimberley Strassel: “To kick off our show tonight, Mr. Obama will give 95% of American working families a tax cut, even though 40% of Americans today don’t pay income taxes! How can our star enact such mathemagic? How can he “cut” zero? Abracadabra! It’s called a “refundable … Read more

A Time to Reap

by publius Sarah Palin, GOP Convention: I guess a small-town mayor is sort of like a “community organizer,” except that you have actual responsibilities. WP, “Obama’s September Haul”: The single biggest spike in online giving for the month came when the campaign took in $10 million between convention speeches by Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, the … Read more

The Theory of the Big Fundraising Model

by publius Hilzoy made a key point about Obama’s fundraising — the massive number of contributions makes it less likely (not more) that any one group of donors will have excessive influence on him. I’ll even go a step further and argue that Obama’s fundraising model is superior to public financing. It achieves all the … Read more

McCain On Obama’s Fundraising

by hilzoy Here’s John McCain’s response to Barack Obama’s fundraising totals for September (h/t): ” I’m saying that history shows us where unlimited amounts of money are in political campaigns, it leads to scandal. I’m not comparing it with — I’m saying this is the first since the Watergate scandal that any candidate for president … Read more

Quick News

by hilzoy First: “The Obama campaign announced this morning that it had raised a record $150 million last month, and had added 632,000 new donors to its total. The amount shattered the campaign’s previous record from August. The McCain campaign also had a record-breaking month in August, but is now operating with the $84 million … Read more

Anti-American

by hilzoy After saying, about Barack Obama, that “I’m very concerned that he may have anti-American views,” Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) calls on the media to investigate which members of Congress are anti-American: That’s revolting. Though perhaps not surprising, coming from someone who says: “Ronald Reagan has been a tremendous hero of mine, as has … Read more

Noted Without Further Comment

by publius From the Trail: Giving credit to a higher power for the day’s poll ratings, the Alaska governor told the roughly 500-person audience that things might be changing. “We even saw today, thank the Lord,” she said, looking upwards and raising her fist, “We saw some movement.” . . . Palin also made a … Read more

Spreading The Wealth

by hilzoy

Over the weekend, I noticed that the conservative blogs were up in arms about Obama’s statement that “when you spread the wealth around, it’s good for everybody.” Having seen the actual video, I thought this was pretty silly. But now that John McCain has started misrepresenting what Obama actually said, I thought it might be a good idea to get clear about this.

Regrettably, ABC News does not let me embed their video, or even copy the relevant parts of their transcript. The video of Obama’s entire conversation, along with the transcript, is here. I urge anyone who is bothered by what Obama said to go watch or read it. Here’s the gist:

Joe the plumber asks: wouldn’t I, a guy who is thinking of buying a business with a little over $250,000 in revenue, pay more under Obama’s plan? After Obama explains what his plan does, Joe says: look, I have worked hard, and I’m just getting taxed more and more. Obama replies: well, there are two ways of looking at it. One is that you’ve worked hard, you’re successful, and now you’re being penalized for your success. But here’s another: you were probably working just as hard earlier, when you were starting out. And under my plan, you would have gotten more money then, and so you would have been able to save more, and you would have gotten to where you are today more quickly.

Obama then points out that taxes have been cut a lot for people who are doing well, but that ordinary folks are not doing nearly so well — in fact, their average income has gone down over the last eight years. And (after a bit about the flat tax) he says:

“For folks like me who have worked hard, but frankly also been lucky, I don’t mind paying just a little bit more than the waitress that I just met over there who’s — things are slow and she can barely make the rent.

My attitude is that if the economy’s good for folks from the bottom up, it’s gonna be good for everybody. If you’ve got a plumbing business, you’re going to be better off if you’ve got a whole bunch of customers who can afford to hire you, and right now everybody’s so pinched that business is bad for everybody, and I think when you spread the wealth around, it’s good for everybody.”

This is what John McCain was referring to last night when he said:

“You know, when Sen. Obama ended up his conversation with Joe the plumber — we need to spread the wealth around. In other words, we’re going to take Joe’s money, give it to Sen. Obama, and let him spread the wealth around.

I want Joe the plumber to spread that wealth around. You told him you wanted to spread the wealth around.”

But that’s just not what Obama said. He did not say that he wanted to spread Joe’s wealth around. He certainly did not say that he thought he was entitled to simply expropriate Joe’s wealth and distribute it to poor people, like Robin Hood. He said he wanted to spread the wealth: i.e., to have a tax code that is less skewed towards the wealthy. That’s Obama’s radical idea: progressive taxation.

Hand me my smelling salts!

If any change in people’s proportionate tax burdens counts as expropriating the money of those who end up paying a greater share and giving it to those who pay a lower one, then any President who has ever enacted changes in the tax code has expropriated people’s wealth. George Bush, for instance: in 2004, his tax cuts gave a 2.3% increase in after-tax income to the middle 20%, but a 6.3% increase to millionaires. This shift of tax burdens from the rich to the poor is obviously just an attempt to take poor people’s money and “spread” it to rich people.* And Ronald Reagan: he raised payroll taxes while cutting the top marginal rates: more expropriation!

Moreover, Reagan signed the 1986 tax reform bill into law: that bill eliminated a lot of corporate tax loopholes that had allowed some major corporations to pay “little or nothing in income taxes”. In other words, these corporations’ share of taxes went from zero (or near zero) to the same rate as other corporations, for no better reason than some misguided notion of “fairness.” Socialist expropriation!

And don’t even get me started on the monstrous socialist transfer of wealth that increases in the child tax credit or education credits involve. Socialist, the lot of them.

Changing the tax code in such a way that the proportional burdens of different groups of people also change is not socialism. It’s just a change in tax policy.

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The Corner: Objectively Pro-Socialist

by hilzoy K-Lo gets an email about the stock market: “OK, I’ll say it…I believe today’s massive decline was, in part (and maybe a big “in part”), in fear that the debate tonight won’t go well for McCain and the implications that will have for an Obama victory. The likelihood of a recession has been … Read more

Pride Goeth Before the Fall

by publius the plumber They’re over — we’re free at last. I suppose we could parse this or that exchange, but the big story is that there’s no story. It was another snoozer, with no game changing moments. And that means Obama won by not losing — and by not allowing the campaign’s dynamics to … Read more

The Dread “Outlier” Syndrome

by publius The new CBS/NYT poll has Obama +14 among likely voters. The McCain camp calls the new poll improbable. At Hot Air, Allahpundit notes that it’s a “hefty outlier” and provides the pro-Dem party ID breakdown to provide some comfort (though admittedly while conceding it’s bad news). Ah, I remember these games. Whenever a … Read more

Luck

by publius

Mark Twain:

The harder I work, the luckier I get.

If Obama ultimately wins, I expect to hear complaints that he simply got lucky that the markets crashed. Indeed, via Fallows, I see that Steve Schmidt is already saying as much.

It’s true, Obama has gotten lucky in some respects. But he’s also made his own luck. Focusing on “luck” obscures just how strong his campaign has been. The Obama team’s long-term strategy and disciplined tactics put it in a position to reap the benefits of positive developments. Similarly, the McCain camp’s lack of strategy and discipline left it vulnerable to these same developments.

It didn’t have to be this way though. The market crash would of course been hard for any Republican. But McCain is arguably the one Republican who could have potentially weathered it — assuming the campaign had been run differently.

Let’s imagine a different world. Let’s imagine that, in the spring of 2008, McCain wraps up the nomination and charges headfirst to the center. From March to October, he preaches two themes: (1) I’m a reformer who bucks the GOP; and (2) Obama’s not ready. No stupid gimmicks. No Britney ads. From Day 1, he’s pursuing a simple, disciplined strategy of distancing himself from the GOP, keeping his favorability ratings high with independents and conservative Democrats (and the press), and challenging Obama in a tough but substantive way.

These are the themes that McCain’s campaign should have been built around — the themes of his underrated convention speech (in fact, Nate Silver has speculated his bump came from that speech rather Palin’s partisan one). In this imaginary world, McCain could have distanced himself from Bush and from the GOP — much the same way that Bush did in 2000.

It’s not that hard. In a year where being Republican is toxic, don’t run as one. Run as an above-the-fray bipartisan. If he had, he would have been in a position to escape the anger directed at the White House because he would have been disassociated from it. Instead, McCain just assumed everyone thought he was independent because of a campaign many young voters don’t even remember that well.

Yes, the base would have been a problem in this world. But the Palin pick shows that they’re pretty cheap dates. Someone like Huckabee could have solidified the base, while simultaneously reinforcing the “different kind of Republican message.”

Also too (my new favorite phrase), McCain could have distanced himself in a diplomatic way. He could have distanced himself not by attacking the GOP, but by casting himself as a “fundamentalist” in the truest sense of the word. He would have been John the Baptist — the voice in the wilderness. My friends, the Washington GOP has gone astray and we need to get back to the fundamentals that Reagan taught us. Or something like that — not a repudiation, but a restoration of the lost golden age, which is a message many conservatives would find appealing.

But that’s not at all what happened.

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Cut Him Loose

by hilzoy One of the nice things about watching the Republicans crash and burn is that we can learn from their mistakes rather than repeating them. It’s a pity Tim Mahoney doesn’t seem to have taken advantage of this opportunity: “The Democrat who replaced disgraced Florida Rep. Mark Foley — running on a pledge to … Read more

“Just Where We Want Them”

by hilzoy John McCain on the Obama campaign: “My friends, we’ve got them just where we want them.” That’s like the captain of the Titanic saying he had the iceberg just where he wanted it: Seriously, though: when politicians lie, they normally try to say things that are somewhat plausible. Does John McCain actually expect … Read more

We Report; You Decide

by hilzoy

TPM has a post about Fox’s recent documentary about Obama. I was dimly aware of it, but I didn’t know that when Andy Martin appeared on Fox, he claimed that Obama “had once trained to overthrow the [US] government.” I went and looked up the transcript on Lexis/Nexis, and post the relevant parts below. But first, a bit of background on Andy Martin:

“A quick word about Andy Martin. During a 1983 bankruptcy case he referred to a federal judge as a “crooked, slimy Jew, who has a history of lying and thieving common to members of his race.” Martin, who in the past was known as Anthony Martin-Trigona, is one of the most notorious litigants in the history of the United States. He’s filed hundreds, possibly thousands, of lawsuits, often directed at judges who have ruled against him, or media outlets that cover him unfavorably. A 1993 opinion by the US Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit, in Atlanta, described these lawsuits as “a cruel and effective weapon against his enemies,” and called Martin a “notoriously vexatious and vindictive litigator who has long abused the American legal system.” He once even attempted to intervene in the divorce proceedings of a judge who’d ruled against him, petitioning the state court to be appointed as the guardian of the judge’s children.”

That’s Chris Hayes, from the Nation. You can see some of the rulings in a few of Martin’s court cases here (check out footnotes 3 and 4) and here. The last contains one of Martin’s complaints, which I excerpt below the fold, so that you can see who we’re dealing with.

Now for the transcript. It’s from Hannity’s America, ‘Obama And Friends: A History Of Radicalism’, aired on Oct. 5. (Video here.)

“HANNITY: In 1985, fresh from Columbia University Obama returned to Chicago to become just that, a community organizer, a job he says qualifies him in part to hold a nation’s highest office. What exactly is a community organizer? After all, he didn’t know what it was when he started as one.

ANDY MARTIN, AUTHOR AND JOURNALIST: I think a community organizer in Barack Obama’s case was somebody that was in training for a radical overthrow of the government. You have to really stretch to believe his story that he was living in New York City. He was earning 50,000 to 60,000 a year. And he left this to come to Chicago, to a city where he knew no one, to suddenly start, quote, “organizing,” unquote, people.

In my opinion, Barack Obama had already been influenced by his radical ideology and philosophy, probably had met William Ayers in New York and was coming here to lay the foundations for what he thought would be some sort of a political movement that he would be a part of.

My view is that the community organizing was actually kind of sham event that really Bill Ayers was testing him. Because the way these radicals work, they don’t give you a big project until you pass muster with a small project. And so they sent him out to Chicago to see what he would do. He passed the test.

OBAMA: And I decided to become a community organizer. I organized black folks at the grassroots. It was in these neighborhoods I received the best education that I ever had.

MARTIN: He had virtually no impact in his so-called community organizing career except to lay the foundation for his future radical associations. It was then also I believe that he was exposed perhaps by Louis Farrakhan to Kahlid al-Mansour. Because while he was a community organizer that Khalid al-Mansour starts raising money to promote Obama to Harvard Law School.

So obviously, in Ayers’ mind and al-Mansour’s mind, Obama had proven his reliability. He was somebody that could be trusted to do what he was told. And all of a sudden, they now are going to take him to the next level. All that comes out of the years in Chicago. Obama wasn’t organizing a community. He was organizing his career and organizing his life’s step to the next level. That’s all he did in Chicago.”

I see. Obama “probably” met William Ayers in New York, and followed him to Chicago, where he could be groomed for higher things, and subjected to “tests”. That makes perfect sense. Also, someone with an Arab name starts “raising money to promote Obama to Harvard Law School”, apparently under the misapprehension that you can buy your way in. It’s all a very clever ploy, because somehow — via communications from the spirit plane? a Ouija board? — Ayers et at knew that Obama would end up running for high office, and winning.

Right.

Sometimes people describe Fox News as a sort of antidote to more liberal news stations. That’s not true. When CNN airs a “documentary” that presents, unchallenged, claims that John McCain is running a child porn ring from one of his seven houses, we can talk about equivalence. Until then, we have several news networks, but Fox is not among them.

As noted above, I put excerpts from some of Martin’s filings below the fold. I thought it might be a good idea to provide some context that would allow you to assess his credibility. If crazed and ugly anti-Semitic ravings upset you, do not read them.

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