“Automatically Reinstated in Washington”

Via Instapundit~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ According to David Broder in the Washington Post, outside of Texas, where there had been agressive gerrymandering, 99% of the incumbents running for re-election to the House of Representatives won their seats. Most in landslides. The case of Congressman John Mica (R. Florida) was told to Broder by a former journalist who had … Read more

Alberto Gonzales: “Strong, Principled Leadership.”

Here is part of President Bush’s statement on nominating Alberto Gonzales to be attorney General: “His sharp intellect and sound judgment have helped shape our policies in the war on terror — policies designed to protect the security of all Americans, while protecting the rights of all Americans. As the top legal official on the … Read more

Sing Glad Hosannas!

Ashcroft has resigned! Calico cats everywhere will be relieved, statues can shed their robes, and Justice Department workers will no longer be asked to sing Let the Eagle Soar. (From the Guardian story: “When asked why she opposed the workplace singalong, one of the department’s lawyers said: “Have you heard the song? It really sucks.””) … Read more

The first thing you have to do is admit that you have a problem, Part II

It’s not entirely unexpected, I suppose.  My suggestion that Democrats should moderate their views generated a bit of heat from the readership (including this thoughtful response by our own Hilzoy) — most of it from Democrats, and most of it against me.  However perilous, though, I’m gonna continue the fight because I think I’m right:  Democrats need to turn to the right in order to have a chance in the next election.  Here’s why:

1.  "Turn to the right" is often taken to mean a turn to the right on social issues — a problem compounded by the visibility of the gay marriage issue this time around.  But social issues are only a part of it (and not the largest part).

(cont.)

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Poll Mania

The meme suggesting that Bush won largely on the strength of anti-gay backlash seems to be undergoing a rather thorough debunking. See for example Kevin Drum, Andrew Sullivan, Slate, and David Brooks (NYT Nov. 6). Andrew puts it most succinctly: The percentage of people who said in 2004 that their vote was determined by the … Read more

Discussions on Israel

With the election out of the way, some parts of the blogosphere that I could hardly bear to read are becoming interesting again. There is an interesting post over at Crooked Timber where Henry Farrell asks why it is so difficult to have even remotely rational discussions on the subject of Israel. Matthew Yglesias raises … Read more

Running To The Right

I’ve been off doing non-political things since I last wrote (psychological coping mechanisms at work.) Now that I’m back, I’d like to add my voice to the chorus of those who say that Democrats should not try to move further to the right. I think this for several reasons.

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The first thing you have to do is admit that you have a problem

Lotsa folks seem to think this missive applies mostly to the Bush administration; if y’all want to keep your "reality-based" hats on after the election, though, you’ll see that it applies equally (if not moreso) to the Democrats.

This, it seems to me, would go a long way to admittin’ the mistake and startin’ the correctin’ process.  He’s the guy who gets it.  What’s "it"?  Well:  Republicans win when they run to the right.  Democrats win when they run to the right.  See a pattern? 

Update:  Our loyal commenteers are politely, but persistently, telling me to shove it.  The general objection (but by no means the only objection) is that if Democrats become Republican-lite, Republicans will become Republican-heavy.   I don’t think that should be much of a concern, however.

First, if you stop by RedState, you’ll see that Republicans are already well on their way to heavy-dom.  They want to purge Specter.  Chafee can go to Hell.  They’re calling Richard Lugar, R-Ind., a RINO.  (Perhaps they’re unaware that, until January 2004, Lugar voted with President Bush 100 percent of the time.)  The swing to the hard right has already begun, and it’s starting to get really uncomfortable for Republican-sympathancs such as myself.

Second, always keep in mind that most of the country is not hard-right.  It’s center-right — and that includes most RedStates.  Case in point:  Tom Coburn couldn’t win a schoolboard seat in most Indiana counties, and this is a state that the networks called for Bush while the polls were still open.  The right kind of Democrat — a moderate — does quite well here,* and even better elsewhere in the Midwest (like, say, Ohio.  And Missouri.  And Iowa.  Et al.).

A Democrat will not sweep the Old South or the Rocky mountain states in our lifetime, just as a Republican won’t sweep the Northeast or California.  The Midwest (of which, bizarrely, Florida seems a part) is the battleground.  For better or worse, the battleground leans right.  Until Democrats figure that out, they’ll have trouble.

Finally, I’m sympathetic to the notion that this may considered "selling the party’s soul."  (Not too sympathetic, though, since I’m not a member of the party and thus not overly enamoured with the soul in question.)  I don’t think it need be taken that far.  Semantics and procedure are your friends here.  You support "civil unions" that are "legislated," not "gay marriages" dictated by "activist judges."  You want to keep abortion "safe, legal, and rare" — and you’re prepared to legislate as much.  (Really, must you fight for an unfettered right to late-term abortions?)  These are simple, swallowable changes that will attract the swing voter — and start swinging elections your way.

But, then, what kind of advice did you expect from ObWi’s putative "centrist"?

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Arafat Dies

I’m sure you all know by now that Arafat has died.  I won’t pretend to mourn because I think that the Palestinians would have been much better off both materially and spiritually if he had not been their leader for my entire lifetime.  But with his passing, I think there may finally be some chance … Read more

Open Letter to Republicans

Now that Bush has won reelection, Republicans have secured general legislative control for an additional two years, and knowing Congressional turnover probably four unless they screw up horribly. Republicans, you need to learn a lesson that every ruling party must keep in mind if they want to avoid becoming an ossified wreck. You did not … Read more

We Lost.

We lost fair and square. I congratulate the Bush supporters here. Your side did well. I also congratulate the Kerry supporters. We lost despite our rank and file supporters making the best effort on behalf of a Democratic candidate that I have ever seen. I know people — a surprising number of them — who … Read more

43 X 2

A few days ago, when asked to take a pledge to support the winner of the presidential election, constant reader Anarch made what I thought was a sound observation: My rule is much simpler: whoever gets inaugurated on January 21st is the President. Period. You don’t have to like it, you just have to accept … Read more

ObWi Wins!

OK, so on a blog like this one, where the writers represent the right, middle, and left, there’s not very likely to be a uniform sense of joy across the board after election day. Still, we were very pleased to hear that we had been selected as Best Political Group Blog on the esteemed blog … Read more

‘Til Death Do Us Part

Under the belief that if you can’t beat ’em, join ’em, I’m hereby launching a campaign to strengthen and secure the sanctity of marriage in the United States. I’m calling for an Amendment to the Constitution of the United States that will protect this cornerstone of civilization and ensure its definition as found in Judeo-Christian tradition. Under this amendment, marriage in the United States will be defined as between one man and one woman AND it will be binding. As Jesus noted, quoting the Jewish tradition:

What therefore God has joined together, let no man separate….And I say to you, whoever divorces his wife, except for immorality, and marries another woman commits adultery.” (Matthew 19:3-9)

Therefore, once passed, this amendment will enforce that all Americans live up to their vow before man and/or God to remain married until death do them part. This, and only this, can protect this tradition we hold so important. This, and only this, can end the mockery that passes for marriage in our society today. Nothing threatens our very way of life in this country more than divorce and it must end. Therefore, I’m asking all Americans to join me in this effort. Write your congressmen, write your senators, call your local radio stations, write your local newspapers. Join me in stomping out this modern-age scourge that tears families apart and in the end benefits only the litigious divorce lawyers.

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Arghh

Well it appears that my hope for a clean victory by one party or the other may be dashed in Ohio. It is now midnight Pacific Time and in my opinion Ohio is too close to call. Which leads directly to my next topic. FoxNews and NBC should not have called Ohio–it is just too … Read more

Almost the Leader We All Deserve

E.J. Dionne Jr. offers an excellent analysis of, as he calls it, “what Bush threw away.” As I’ve written repeatedly, Bush’s 90% approval rating after 9/11 offered the nation and the world an awesome opportunity to regain clarity about what’s important in life and what’s best about mankind. Rather than be the leader of the … Read more

Those newfangled blog thingies

The New York Times, always on the bleeding edge, has recognized the influence of blogs on the election this year: Every four years, by journalistic if not political tradition, the presidential election must be accompanied by a “revolution.” So what transformed politics this time around? The rise of the Web log, or blog. The commentary … Read more

Today We Have Our Say

I love voting day. After months of boasts and promises, mud-slinging and baby smooching, pundits and polls (and polls and polls), it all boils down to one very intimate action, humanity’s simplest idea and yet grandest achievement: one person, one vote. Like a child at Christmas, I wake up early, excited on election day. I … Read more

Prediction Thread

Who do you think will win? And by how much? I predict Kerry, with an electoral vote count of either 301 (with Florida) or 274 (without it.) (I think Kerry should win Florida, but I am not sure how to take account of the influence of Jeb.) Of the swing states other than Florida, I … Read more

Shocker!

Hindrocket of Powerline, a lawyer who defends against class action cases (among other things), dislikes Judge Dlott — Clinton appointee and, even more vile, wife to Stan Chesley, a plaintiffs’ attorney who “made untold millions through class action lawsuits.” Nevermind that I’m sympathetic to Hindrocket in the global sense — I did some class action … Read more

Osama Wants You to Vote for Kerry

Constant-reader Blue wonders why we haven’t posted on Osama bin Laden’s purported threat to each U.S. state that supports Bush. (Via Joe Lindgren at Volokh.) Here’s what bin Laden supposed said (translation via Memri): “Your security is not in the hands of Kerry or Bush or Al-Qa’ida. Your security is in your own hands, and … Read more

Number of US Abortions Increased during Bush’s 1st Term

Hat tip to constant reader wilfred for this item ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The data are incomplete, but they make a strong case for why “pro-life” single-issue voters might want to reconsider who they’re pulling the lever for tomorrow. As Joshua Holland reports on the Gadflyer, “abortions in this country have skyrocketed under the Bush administration after a … Read more

Endorsement

It has been absolutely clear since my first post that I would vote for the Democratic nominee for President. I would guess most of you also made up your own minds long ago—I would be a little upset with you if you hadn’t. But this is almost certainly the most important election in my life to date, and I find I can’t keep my mouth shut.

I’ve never been able to figure out George W. Bush. I couldn’t figure him out in the 2000 campaign. Here was this man who proclaimed his own compassion, who spoke of his Christian faith with all apparent sincerity—and presided over the Texas capital punishment system, a well-oiled execution assembly line that makes a mockery of equal protection of the law, the right to counsel, and due process of law, and which has probably killed at least one innocent person.

This is the quotation that explains the Bush administration for me, better than any other:

“They were careless people, Tom and Daisy — they smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made”–The Great Gatsby

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Arnold’s Seed Bears Unacceptable, er, Fruit

I love a good insult. I’m a bit thicked skinned about them so long as I’m free to fight back with the drunken-sailor language that rolls quite naturally off my tonuge. Given license to let loose, I even enjoy a good gutter-level war of words. I’ve had exchanges in the streets of New York that would make Howard Stern blush. But, as with everything in life, there are times and places such actions are inappropriate.

Back when Arnold Schwarzenegger mocked the California legislators who wouldn’t pass his budget as “girlie men,” I understood the uproar among some folks in the gay community, but never really felt it myself. (In fact, if anyone should have been insulted by that it was women, who in my experience are just as tough negotiators as men and don’t deserve the slur.) Even his RNC taunt to not be “economic girlie men” was more embarassing (must he run every one-liner his writers hand him into the ground?) than insulting.

Of course Arnold’s overall record on gay rights comes into play here, buying him some benefit of doubt that he wasn’t slurring the gay community (again, not everyone will agree with me here), but Arnold’s words may have had an unfortunate side-effect in that they lowered the bar of acceptable rhetoric.

Cut to the Kentucky US Senate race between Republican incumbent Jim Bunning and Democratic challenger Daniel Mongiardo. Top state Republicans campaigning for Bunning have been pushing the envelope on acceptable insults, with regards to slurs generally insinuating homosexuality (via Marshall):

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Realism, and the Reality-based Community

I fashion myself a foreign policy realist — the words of Snowcroft, Lugar, and Biden are most resonant in my ears. My support for the Iraq War was accordingly cautious, my trust in our infallibility nonexistant, and my hopes for a quickie democracy in Iraq close to nil. When WMD were not found in Iraq, … Read more

Wrong, Mr. President.

George W. Bush has finally said something about the 377 tons of missing explosives from al Qaqaa: “Now the senator is making wild charges about missing explosives when his top foreign policy adviser admits, quote, ‘we do not know the facts.’ Think about that. The senator’s denigrating the action of our troops and commanders in … Read more

Democracy–Instrumentality or Inherently Worthwhile

Matthew Yglesias says something pretty frightening while mentioning a concept well worth dicsussing: The people who I want voting are the people who will vote for John Kerry. Not that there’s anything wrong with that! Democracy has an instrumental value and there’s no fact of the matter about what really is and is not a … Read more

One liners, Election Round-Robbin’ Style

Now, it seems, is as good a time to get our cards on the table. Not to waver, Cuomo-style. (Or “Hamlet-style” for the Romeo+Juliet under-25 set.) Not to analyze. Not to add, subtract, account, or discourse. Not, especially, to caveat or bemoan or argue. But simply to state, pith-like, our choices.

Here’re mine:

President: John Kerry, Democrat. I prefer the idiot restrained by a Republican Congress over the incompetent enabled by a Republican Congress; and, yes, I may have to get drunk before I can cast my vote.

As for the provinces (and having successfully made the transition from Chicago and Indiana*):

Governor: Mitch Daniels (with 527’s apparently on the brain, I initially typed “McConnell”. Aaargh.) Republican. Over a dozen years of Democrats in the Governor’s mansion, and all Indiana has to show for it are discarded jobs, determined scandals, and a dirty campaign from a guy who should know better (Kernan, the Democratic nominee). Time for a change.

Senator: Evan Bayh, Democrat. A social moderate, fiscal conservative, and foreign policy hawk. My kind of Democrat: the kind who would’ve been a Republican in Chicago.

Congressperson: The libertarian — either the one who’s running as a Libertarian, or the former one who’s running as a Republican. But let’s face it: The race is a lock for Julia Carson (D-Indianapolis), despite her heart troubles. (Indeed, it’s such a lock that I’m considering running as a liberal Republican the next time ’round . . . .)

State Representative: In a race between a guy named Mort Large and another named David Orentlicher, I may pencil in a vote for a “Large Orentlicher.” Failing that, I’m tempted to vote for Orentlicher, the incumbant and Democrat, if only because Orentlicher seems a decent enough chap and Large hasn’t yet given me a reason to change my mind.

So, have at it. This is your “it’s a free country” open thread.

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Greedy and Greedier

Fortune magazine is reporting that Bush’s latest tax cut will bring the business community’s “share of the national tax burden to its lowest level in decades”: Economists Alan Auerbach and James Poterba have shown that most of the drop between 1960 and 1985 came from declining corporate profits rather than a falling tax rate. But … Read more

The Day After A Week From Now

As I watched the talking heads this past Sunday, all I could hear was blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. I am saturated, and I really, really wish election day were today and not a week from now. This has been draining. Daniel Drezner asks the question I believe our nation’s best minds should be focussing … Read more

Race

When I was a young child I was race-unconscious. It wasn’t that I didn’t come into contact with people of other races. It was just that the ‘racial’ component of skin color wasn’t drummed into me by my parents, and it took a long time for a misfit nerd to pick up on the distinctions … Read more