Document The Atrocities

by hilzoy Today’s stupid fake equivalency comes from Cokie Roberts on ABC’S This Week (video). The exchange that follows comes from 3:36 before the end: “Krugman: This is not just about McCain and what he did. The fact of the matter is, for a long time we have had a substantial fraction of the Republican … Read more

Do I Contradict Myself? Very Well Then I Contradict Myself.

by hilzoy Here’s a peculiar piece from the NYT: “At the presidential debate in Nashville last Tuesday, Senator John McCain made his case for fiscally conservative, smaller government, calling for an “across the board” spending freeze and denouncing what he described as Senator Barack Obama’s “government will do this and government will do that” approach … Read more

Obama’s Ghostwriters — ObWi Exclusive!!

by publius Andy McCarthy has a major scoop today — he suggests that Bill Ayers not only knows Obama, but that he actually wrote Obama’s book. I was understandably skeptical that Ayers would ghostwrite a book about growing up fatherless and black in a white community, but then I thought — when has McCarthy ever … Read more

The RNC’s Toxic Asset

by publius Over at Crooked Timber, Henry Farrell has some interesting RNC gossip. According to his source (caveat emptor), the RNC is about to shift money from the McCain campaign to the endangered Senate seats. In other words, the RNC may be on the verge of conceding the presidential election. The RNC’s dilemma illustrates why … Read more

Credit Where Credit’s Due

by publius McCain finally steps in and tells his audience to be respectful. Good for him. It’s not exactly an easy thing to do at a campaign rally, but it’s the right thing. David Kurtz has more.

McCain Blames Self For Economic Meltdown

by hilzoy And he even says he did it on purpose! Just look: John McCain, yesterday: “The fact is, that the same people that are now claiming credit for this rescue are the same ones that were willing co-conspirators causing these problems we are in.” Politico, “McCain claims bailout credit”, Sept. 28, 2008: “Previewing a … Read more

The GOP’s Sorcerer’s Apprentice Problem

by publius

David Brooks wrote a good column yesterday criticizing the GOP’s excessive anti-intellectualism. It’s a bit whitewashed, but I still commend him for writing it. Anyway, the Brooks theory goes something like this — the GOP’s criticism of narrow aspects of elitist liberalism has morphed into a broader hostility against the educated classes as a whole.

Mickey_3

In short, conservatives told educated people to go away, and they have. Brooks writes:

[The GOP] has lost the educated class by sins of commission — by telling members of that class to go away.

Well, that’s part of it. But it’s not really what’s driving educated people away. If you asked 100 educated “liberal elites” why they would never even consider voting Republican, it’s not because those mean conservatives told them to go away. It’s not even economics. It’s the social issues. For many liberals (myself included), the dealbreaker is the enthusiastic and nasty embrace of social views that we find repellant and stupid.

Don’t get me wrong — there’s nothing about college that necessarily makes you a better or even smarter person — drunker, maybe, but not better. Instead, college forces you — often for the first time — to experience diversity. Many Americans meet their first gay friends in college. Or maybe they develop their first true friendships with people of different ethnicities or religions or ideologies. I, for instance, was quite fascinated to learn that not everybody in the United States celebrates Christmas — Rosh a Whata? (I was equally fascinated to learn that some families celebrate it with adult beverages — next life, Catholic).

Anyway, once you’ve had these experiences, it’s beyond disgusting to see, for instance, the rabid gay-bashing of 2004, or the immigrant-bashing of 2005, or the “Barack Hussein Obama” business, or the audacity of an idiot vice presidential candidate claiming that Obama “pals around” with terrorists — you know, people who murder Americans. Urban educated Republicans don’t even try to defend this garbage, but instead are embarrassed by it — probably far more than they publicly acknowledge. Sometimes, though, the embarrassment spills out — see, e.g., David Brooks and David Frum.

In short, the GOP has made an unholy alliance with the mob — and now the long-term debt is coming due. And they deserve it. After all, it’s not that the GOP establishment merely tolerated them, or treated them like the crazy uncle you basically nod at but ignore. They’ve been riling them up — feeding the hate. They’ve based campaigns on things like gay marriage and immigration and terrorist appeasing. They go on the Rush Limbaugh show, and validate his venom. They tell people who don’t have time to learn otherwise things like giving mortgages to poor minority families caused the housing crisis (Daniel Gross has the appropriate response to that — essentially, “it’s not risky to lend to minority families, it’s risky to lend to rich white people.”)

And you know, it sort of makes sense. If I thought Obama was a Muslim terrorist communist committing perpetual voter fraud, I might get mad too at the prospect of an Obama presidency. And so that’s what you have — a lot of angry, proudly uninformed conservatives out there. And they’re not going away.

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Temper, Temper

by hilzoy Here’s a story about John McCain’s temper (h/t): “McCain’s game is craps. So is Jeff Dearth’s. Jeff was at the table when McCain showed up and happily made room for him. Apparently there is some kind of rule or tradition in craps that everyone’s hands are supposed to be above the table when … Read more

Taking On His Party

by hilzoy One of the things that has annoyed me during this campaign is how easy it has been for candidates to simply make things up about one another’s records, even when they are talking about topics that are relatively easy to check. Last spring, people kept saying that Obama had no real accomplishments in … Read more

Debate: Reaction

by hilzoy I thought Obama won this one — he was more fluid and fluent and confident, and McCain sounded tired to me. That said, I didn’t think it was a blowout. But it didn’t need to be. McCain is the one who needs to shake up the race; Obama just needs to solidify is … Read more

Decadence And Dishonor

by hilzoy James Fallows: “In the short term, a worldwide financial panic and crisis. Just beyond that, the real economic and social problems that come when large numbers of people lose their jobs, their businesses, their investments, their homes, and even larger numbers become fearful about what might happen to them. And then, when we … Read more

Another Reason Government Can Be Good

by publius Atrios makes a good point here: Since the point isn’t made clearly [] very often, the point of congestion pricing is that congestion is an unpriced negative externality. It isn’t simply that roads shouldn’t be free, . . . [t]he point is that when you get on a highway or enter a crowded … Read more

People Who Live In Seven Glass Houses…

by hilzoy Politico: “Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) on Monday will launch a multimedia campaign to draw attention to the involvement of Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in the “Keating Five” savings-and-loan scandal of 1989-91, which blemished McCain’s public image and set him on his course as a self-styled reformer. Pushing back against what it calls McCain’s … Read more

The Last Battle

by publius McCain is apparently set to launch one last vicious wave of character assaults on Obama — “the Ayers strategy,” if you will. To which I say — good. Like Luke’s battle with Vader, this is a necessary and inevitable fight — so let’s have it. Political campaigns are the ultimate Darwinian environment. Whatever … Read more

“He Denied It Was Racist”

by hilzoy For the most part, I try to steer away from accusations of racism. I’m usually more interested in changing people’s minds, and that tends not to happen when I call them racists, since they suddenly feel the need to convince me that they are not, in fact, about to excuse themselves for a … Read more

Cornyn – Agent of Change

by publius I just saw my first Texas Senate commercial. Somewhat hilariously, it’s Cornyn talking (with phony accents) about the need for “change.” Cornyn, remember, is what Josh Marshall called a “wholly owned subsidiary of the Bush White House,” and one of the biggest hacks in the Senate (unless of course if it’s about bashing … Read more

The Health Care Debate

by publius starbursts

I’m ecstatic that McCain’s health care plan has taken center stage on the campaign trail. It’s a debate worth having. Unlike the juvenile nonsense we’ve endured for most of the campaign, it’s a truly substantive political debate — one that illustrates the deeper philosophical differences between the candidates and their parties. It also illustrates — to me, anyway — an important theoretical flaw with conservative economic ideology.

For fellow non-health wonks, I heartily recommend Ezra Klein’s accessible post summarizing the central problems with McCain’s health benefits tax. The nickel version is that the problem isn’t the tax itself, but the tax’s structural effects upon the health care market. McCain’s plan would essentially create a world where individuals are tossed out on their own, with little bargaining power and even less information.

In other words, the tax is bad even we assume it’s completely revenue neutral. Let’s pretend, for instance, that McCain’s tax doesn’t really cost you anything. Let’s pretend the proposed tax increase on employer benefits is completely offset by tax credits and higher wages. Let’s even pretend that the tax credit is pegged to inflation medical costs (McCain’s is not, so the credit becomes worth less and less each year).

Even under these assumptions, the plan is still flawed at its core because of the way it restructures the market. As Klein explains, the effect of the tax increase is to cause employers to drop benefits, thus forcing employees into the individual market. The tax credit has the same effect — even individuals without employer coverage will start buying individual plans. In short, the vision of the McCain plan is a system consciously premised upon an “individual” market that is subsidized by taxes and tax credits. Klein, however, explains the problems with elevating individual markets to be the foundation of our health care system:

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Economists On The Candidates

by hilzoy From The Economist: “A survey of academic economists by The Economist finds the majority — at times by overwhelming margins — believe Mr Obama has the superior economic plan, a firmer grasp of economics and will appoint better economic advisers. (…) Eighty per cent of respondents and no fewer than 71% of those … Read more

I Can Hardly Wait, She Lied

by hilzoy The Washington Post has an article called “McCain Plans Fiercer Strategy Against Obama”: “Sen. John McCain and his Republican allies are readying a newly aggressive assault on Sen. Barack Obama’s character, believing that to win in November they must shift the conversation back to questions about the Democrat’s judgment, honesty and personal associations, … Read more

More Random Debate Thoughts

by hilzoy I watched the debate at a party last night, so I didn’t write abut it at the time. I agree with what seems to be the consensus view: Palin exceeded expectations, such as they were; Biden won. A few random notes: First, I was struck by the moment David Kusnet describes here, in … Read more

Looking Out For Themselves

by hilzoy Apparently, yet another key McCain staffer was hired by Freddie Mac specifically to influence McCain: “When mortgage giant Freddie Mac feared several years ago that Sen. John McCain was too outspoken on the issue of executive pay, it pinpointed a lobbyist known for his closeness to McCain and hired him to work with … Read more

Debate Thoughts

by publius My views on the debate shifted pretty dramatically as it went on. For the first 30 minutes or so, I thought Palin was going to run away with it. It wasn’t that she was actually saying anything — she just seemed more animated. The zingers were flowing, and Biden looked flat. But after … Read more

Awful Ifill

by publius She’s been absolutely awful. Her questions are terrible. And more importantly, she’s let Palin ignore every single question. Just flat out ignore them. They got in her head.

Pre-Debate Thoughts

by publius A few thoughts on tonight’s main event. First, I don’t think that it will prove all that significant even if Palin does well. I was IM’ing with a friend the other night who was concerned that a strong Palin performance could shift the campaign momentum. I’m as Nervous Nelly as they come on … Read more

Bailout Passes Senate

by hilzoy NYT: “The Senate strongly endorsed the $700 billion economic bailout plan Wednesday, leaving backers optimistic that the easy approval, coupled with an array of popular additions, would lead to House acceptance by Friday and end the legislative uncertainty that has rocked the markets. In stark contrast to the House rejection of the plan … Read more

Name That Translation!

by publius Hilzoy’s on the beat, but let’s look more closely at Palin’s discussion of the rulings in the great history of America. I need you to help me translate this: COURIC (to Palin): Do you think there’s an inherent right to privacy in the Constitution? PALIN: I do. Yeah, I do. COURIC: the cornerstone … Read more

I Take It All Back

by hilzoy I know I’ve been pretty hard on Sarah Palin. I’ve said that I think she’s unprepared for the Presidency; I’ve made fun of the idea that she learns about other nations through osmosis; I’ve even questioned her energy expertise. I take it all back. I eat my words. I was wrong: “Couric: And … Read more

When Politics Fails

by hilzoy

Ezra is absolutely right to say that our failure to respond in any coherent way to the economic crisis is a deep political failure:

“This is a failure of politics. Like with global warming, with health care, with the national debt, with immigration. It is further proof that we have a calcified political system incapable of responding to either long-term threats or short-term crises. The electoral and partisan incentives have made actual action too dangerous and rendered obstruction everyone’s easy second choice. And in politics, you just about never get your first choice. And so the Republicans killed this bill. Without their cover, the Democrats couldn’t save it, because politically, they couldn’t take ownership of it.

It’s easy enough to imagine a society running atop a stable economy even when it has an unhealthy politics. And it’s simple enough to see how an unstable economy can be calmed through concerted action by an effective political structure. But an economy in chaos and a political system in paralysis? What happens then?”

Good question. Our dysfunctional politics places some good options off the table, makes others much more difficult to implement than they would be otherwise, and prevents us from adopting those decent options that remain to us. Consider, for instance, Brad DeLong’s suggestion that we “go for the Swedish plan.” I think that if we can’t get a bill passed this week, we should do exactly that. But it would be a lot harder to implement here than it would there, and not just because our problems are much larger, and in certain ways more complicated.

More below the fold.

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The Main Principle for a Market Intervention

I’m a bailout skeptic.  Not because I think that nothing should be done, but because the tendency of government in crisis is to overreact in ways that cause long term problems (think WPA and price controls in the Depression, or at least 80% of the reaction to 9/11).  But on the other hand, if a … Read more

The Progressive Moment

by publius de rothschild, non-elitist

Like Hilzoy, count me as a reluctant supporter of the once and future bailout plan. I’m not crazy about helping scumbags who play dice with our universe. But I’m not crazy about a financial meltdown either. So scumbags it is.

I won’t insult your intelligence by pretending that I have expertise in this area. I do hope, though, that there may ultimately be a silver lining — assuming of course we avoid the “Lord of the Flies landing.” My hope is that the financial crisis — coupled with the equally mammoth health care and energy crises — will cause Americans to fundamentally rethink the role that government plays in our lives. Assuming we don’t all crash and burn, my hope is that the crisis will usher in a true progressive revival — a widespread political recognition of government’s importance in people’s lives.

I’ve long thought that the greatest ideological barrier to a new progressive era is people’s loathing of government. Regardless of how much people actually benefit from government services (e.g., clean air, free school), they detest “big government.” The Reagan ideological hegemony depends upon people’s knee-jerk resistance to regulation and government solutions. Even Clinton and Blair’s victories were defensive in this respect — they explicitly ran against “big government” and helped validate the criticism.

To be clear, I’m not anti-market. I love me my markets. It’s just that markets are utterly incapable of meeting the great challenges of our day.

Markets have failed — spectacularly failed — to create a decent health care system. An obscenely high number of Americans lack any insurance whatsoever with no relief in sight from any GOP policy. And if you have a preexisting condition, tough. Liberty demands you die bankrupt.

But the failures go well beyond health care. Markets have also failed us on the energy front, proving unable to deal with the externalities associated with burning carbon. Our transportation system is in shambles — we should be building new rail lines between all major cities. As for our electricity grid — go ask the good people of Houston how their 1920s-era electricity infrastructure is holding up these days. Markets have also failed us on the broadband front — we have one of the worst systems in the post-industrialized world.

And last but not least, let’s not forget our beloved Masters of the Universe. As the last few weeks have illustrated, financial markets operate upon foundations of trust. The markets, however, have proven utterly incapable of securing that trust. Instead, government has had to step in to secure these foundations again and again. In fact, the most damaging action of the last few weeks was the one time we tried to flex our free market muscles by letting Lehman die, which triggered a panic.

In short, the past few years have shown that Reaganism simply doesn’t work. And the reason it doesn’t work is because it’s flawed at the conceptual core. Given the challenges we face, government must be part of the solution. Government must become cool again.

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Bailout: The Final Bill

by hilzoy I don’t think our Congress has faced a more important decision than whether or not to pass the bailout bill in decades, perhaps longer. (Summary here; CBO analysis here.) To state what is beyond obvious: it is incredibly important to set aside our preconceptions, whatever they may be, and really think hard about … Read more

Rick Davis, Yet Again

by hilzoy Remember the Rick Davis story? The one about how Davis, John McCain’s campaign manager, was hired by Freddie Mac to do virtually nothing? The one that McCain’s decision to pretend to suspend his campaign crowded out of the news? It’s back (h/t TPM): “Last week, though, McCain’s trust in Davis was tested again … Read more