By Edward
UPDATE: Protestors storm presidential palace. Akayev is in hiding (OK, so he’s reportedly in Russia now). Opposition takes over TV station. Jailed opposition leader freed. It’s a full-fledged revolution.
The ray of hope in all this is that the opposition leader set free, Felix Kulov, might just be the person to unite the protesters. Kulov, who had been arrested on what his supporters called politically motivated embezellment charges after he announced his intentions to run against Akayev for the presidency, has the personal story most frustrated Kyrgyz folks can probably relate to. At the moment, though, it’s a waiting game.
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As I predicted a few days ago, the protests in Kyrgyzstan have reached the capital city, Bishkek, and President Akayev is threatening to use force:
Riot police have broken up a protest in Kyrgyzstan’s capital Bishkek, the first since anti-government demonstrations swept the country’s south. Up to 200 people gathered in Bishkek’s main square, but police broke up the rally before it could get going.
Police reportedly hit some of the crowd with sticks and arrested 10 organisers.
It is not clear how closly the event was linked to protests in the south, where the cities of Osh and Jalal-Abad are under effective opposition control.
The new Kyrgyz Interior Minister, Keneshbek Dushebayev, warned protesters in the south that the authorities could use force to restore order.
"The law gives us every right to take action, including by using physical force, special means and firearms," he was quoted as saying.
Despite the success of similar protests in Georgia and Ukraine, however, there are reasons to be worried about the current state of things in Kyrgyzstan. As I noted before, the opposition is not unified:
In most of Central Asia, however, the absence of a cohesive opposition group is encouraging regionalism and chaos, said political activist Alymkulov Berdi, who protested when his candidate was disqualified from Kyrgyzstan’s February elections.
"Today all we have are regional leaders and that is a dangerous situation because people are frustrated and furious but they don’t have one leader to guide them," Berdi said.
And the threat I didn’t want to tempt fate by naming before is now looking more real as well: this leadership vacuum has not gone unnoticed by Islamists. Back in 2000, Kyrgyzstan stood strong against an attempt to turn them into the next Taliban haven: