Edwards: What Is He Good For?

by publius I was going to write about Appalachia, but the Edwards endorsement knocked that one down the queue. Instead, I’ve listed a few scattered thoughts below on today’s big endorsement: First, color me a bit skeptical that everything came together at the last minute. It’s too perfect — endorsing Obama the day after West … Read more

Obama’s Race Problem (and Opportunity)

by publius

Today’s Post article on the ugly racism that Obama campaign workers have faced is disappointing, though (sadly) unsurprising. It’s also been humiliating — as a native Kentuckian — to read some of the openly racist sentiments being expressed to reporters on the ground there. But let’s face it — race is playing a big role not just there, but throughout the Midwestern white working classes.

That’s not saying all white working-class Americans feel this way, or even that most do. But a lot do — and everyone knows it. And that’s a big reason why Clinton is up by such obscene margins in West Virginia and Kentucky. We should stop pretending otherwise. But that said, I think Obama supporters should see this ugly reality as an opportunity — and as a motivation to double down in support and effort. More below the fold…

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Why Did Clinton Lose? In a Word, Iraq

by publius

I’m sure pundits and historians alike will be arguing for many years about why Clinton — who enjoyed such enormous advantages going in — lost the Democratic primary. (See, e.g., Karen Tumulty). Personally, I think the explanation is quite simple. Clinton lost the nomination because of Iraq. Period.

While that explanation seems overly simplistic, it’s more complex than you might think. Iraq hurt her not so much because she supported the war, but because the war interacted with her campaign — at this particular point in history — in a number of complex, harmful ways. Thus, what’s truly interesting is not so much that Iraq sunk her candidacy, but the particular manner in which it did so. Below the fold, I’ve listed several specific reasons why Iraq doomed her candidacy. While she deserves blame for some of these reasons, others must be chalked up to cruel Fortune.

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Kirchick’s Sloppy Logic

by publius Jamie Kirchick — whose struggles with honesty have been discussed here — penned an odd column for the Politico yesterday. The argument is essentially that “the left” is hypocritical because it criticizes conservative religious extremists while “cynically” developing “a newfound love” for extremists like Wright. He writes: Yet the left, with its healthy … Read more

This is the End

by publius Tonight, I think, marks the end of the Clinton campaign. I mean, it’s been over for some time, but tonight sucked the wind out of her rationale for staying in — particularly if Indiana flips when the Chicago vote comes in. Math-wise, tonight’s elections don’t change much. The math is bad for Clinton, … Read more

Hitchens Logic

by publius Shorter Hitchens — Obama attended Wright’s church not because he was an aspiring Chicago politician, but because Michelle is a closet radical. The evidence? Her 1985 college thesis. The other evidence? None listed. All in all, a well-argued column. And bonus points if anyone can identify the logical relevance of the first two … Read more

Communists Seize Control of Louisiana-06

by publius The bitter Marxists in Louisiana, House District 6, voted in a Democrat yesterday in a district that went solidly for Bush (59%). I haven’t been following it closely, but it had the potential to create further headaches for Obama. Jenkins, the Republican, appeared to be closing strong by tying Cazayoux with Obama and … Read more

Oil and War

by publius Steve Benen has the complete run-down on McCain’s most recent gaffe about oil and the Iraq War. A few thoughts, in no particular order: First, it reinforces my argument that McCain — paper credentials aside — is a weak campaigner. He’s extremely undisciplined and that’s ultimately going to cost him. It’s not just … Read more

Why Indiana Sort of Matters

by publius Given recent media narratives, it’s easy to lose sight of just how irrelevant the Indiana primary is to the overall nomination. It seems at times that Clinton is just an Indiana victory from storming back into contention. But she’s not. Regardless of the ultimate outcome in Indiana, the delegates will essentially be split … Read more

The Larger Lessons of the Gas Tax Pander

by publius Steve Benen says it perfectly, so I’ll just let him take it away: It’s one thing for a good presidential candidate to embrace a bad idea. It’s worse when the candidate knows it’s a bad idea. It’s worse still when the candidate attacks her rival for failing to embrace a bad idea. And … Read more

Eugene Volokh — Polygamist Raid is “Child Abuse”

by publius Eugene Volokh sure spends a lot of mental energy discrediting the efforts of the state to protect young children from a life of systematic statutory rape. There are several good nuggets, but this was my personal fav: So many of the 17-year-olds may have gotten pregnant with no law being broken, and in … Read more

Green Light for Voter ID Laws

by publius A split Court today upheld Indiana’s blatantly partisan law requiring voters to show photo ID at the polls (background here). The upshot is that Republican-controlled legislatures just got the green light to enact requirements that disproportionately affect people without valid state-issued photos (e.g., elderly, poor, college students). The 6-3 coalition (pdf) upholding the … Read more

How About a Seven Month Vacation Instead?

by publius It’s hard to explain just how silly I think the media’s manic obsessive focus on Jeremiah Wright has been. I’m not a big fan of the guy, but neither do I feel the need for ostentatious Maoist denunciations to show tmy bipartisan street cred. He should simply be ignored — there’s no reason … Read more

How to Help

by publius The international food crisis is extremely disturbing. And it pushes what was once a profoundly stupid ethanol policy into the realm of immoral. But anyway, today’s Post provides a list of organizations that are helping fight hunger if you want to do something to help. On an aside, I’m a fairly recent new … Read more

The Old Song and Dance

by publius Via Kevin Drum, I saw Brian Morton’s Dissent article praising the liberal blogosphere as the “New” New Left. Morton notes that many of these writers are unapologetically liberal because they came of age after the Cold War. On this point, Ezra Klein agrees, noting that post-Cold War liberals face less constraints: For instance, … Read more

The Fence-Sitters Suck

by publius Alas, the Bataan Death March goes on. And I certainly share Matt Yglesias’s frustration regarding the annoyingly-reluctant superdelegates: All the superdelegates should just say who they’re voting for and bring this to the end. . . . The idea that in two weeks we’ll have another inconclusive primary, then another, then another, then … Read more

Exits

by publius My old nemesis the exit polls are (via Drudge) showing 52-48 Clinton. If that holds up, it would be big news. My hunch though is that it won’t. I suppose someone has figured this up somewhere on the Internets, but it seems like the exit polls have consistently overestimated Obama’s performance. Thus, it … Read more

Bush Hearts Marx

by publius Mickey Kaus raises several interesting points here regarding the whole bitter/Marxist/Thomas Frank debate, which I wish I could quit. He got me thinking — isn’t our entire Iraq policy based on precisely the type of argument Obama was making? To clarify, whatever Obama intended to say, the resulting debate has turned — as … Read more

The Lincoln-Douglas Debates of 1858 (Slight Return)

by publius Presidential candidates Abraham Lincoln and Stephen Douglas held this debate on April 16, 1858 at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. MODERATORS: CHARLIE GIBSON, ABC NEWS GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS, ABC NEWS MR. GIBSON: So we’re going to begin with opening statements, and we had a flip of the coin, and the brief opening … Read more

Isn’t This Elitist?

by publius More like a straight-up deception, frankly: Sen. John McCain yesterday offered sweeping rhetoric about the economic plight of working-class Americans, promising immediate assistance even as he spelled out a tax and spending agenda whose benefits are aimed squarely at spurring corporate growth. . . . In yesterday’s speech, McCain played to his maverick … Read more

Judis

by publius I’m a bit underwhelmed by John Judis’s argument that Obama will struggle with working class whites in industrial swing states. I don’t necessarily disagree, but I think he focuses too narrowly on Obama. The fundamental problem is that any Democrat — not just Obama — will struggle with this group of voters in … Read more

Chris Rock on Economics

by publius Megan McArdle has an interesting response to the “irrationality” argument below. She raises several interesting points (including that it’s perhaps not all that irrational), but I want to focus specifically on the observation that liberals act irrationally too. For instance, if it’s irrational for working class people to support Republican economic policies, then … Read more

Thomas Frank – Not Even Close to 100% Wrong

by publius In my last post, I criticized Thomas Frank (and the larger argument he symbolizes) for naively reducing cultural issues to economics. I did, though, unfairly oversimplify his argument. While his theory may not adequately explain why working class people support Republican cultural policies, it’s far more persuasive in explaining why they support Republican … Read more

God and Money in Small Towns

by publius As I’ve already written, I don’t think Obama’s comments are a big deal. In fact, a combination of Feiler Faster and Annie Oakley seem to be shifting the news cycle as we speak. But that said, Obama’s comments do show a bit of ignorance with respect to religion in small towns. To me, … Read more

HUD Secretary Jackson – Human Metaphor

by publius Um, wow. But critics say an equally significant legacy of [Jackson’s] four years as the nation’s top housing officer was gross inattention to the looming housing crisis. . . . During Jackson’s years on the job, foreclosures for loans insured by HUD’s Federal Housing Administration (FHA) have risen and default rates have hit … Read more

Fearing Fear Itself

by publius

Admittedly, Obama’s wording about working class Pennsylvanians was less than ideal. What’s interested me though is not so much his words, but the intensity of the reaction to them. What explains it? It’s not enough to cite “Kinsley Gaffe.” Even assuming he imprudently said what he really thinks (i.e., a Category II Kinsley), the follow-up question is why this particular belief would trigger such an intense backlash. One obvious reason is that it’s an obnoxious way to word his point. The less obvious one, though, is rooted in so-called “liberal self-hatred.”

The best way to understand this phenomenon is to return to the run-up to the Iraq War. Near the beginning of Heads in the Sand, Yglesias spends some time discussing the curious tendency of respected, liberal foreign policy voices to spend their scarce time bashing extreme marginal left-wing views (either imaginary or Ward Churchill-esque). I haven’t read much, so he may go on to explain why anti-war liberals spent so much time attacking the extreme left rather than the imminent war. My theory, though, is that the focus on the margins illustrates liberal guilt and inferiority.

More specifically, I think far too many liberals — particularly those in positions with political or journalistic influence — have deeply internalized conservative criticisms. I suppose these criticisms go back a long way (e.g., Adlai Stevenson), but they seem to have gained greater resonance in the past twenty-five years or so with the rise of Reagan and the 1994 election.

As a result, far too many liberals — particularly circa 2002-03 — had internalized the view that they were snobby, that they were elitist, that they were too anti-religion, or that they were insufficiently patriotic in the eyes of the American public. It’s not so much that they actually were any of these things (at least in any great number). It’s that they feared (deeply feared) being perceived in this way by the American public. To borrow from Dylan, a lot of issues came and went, but the Great Dirty Hippie never escaped their mind.

This curious self-loathing — the shame and guilt associated with perfectly valid and moral views — explains the rush to “condemn the marginal” in the lead up to war. It’s quite telling that, as the country marched off to a horribly misguided war, many liberal skeptics were more concerned with clarifying that they were not mindlessly liberal hippie pacifists. In doing so, they gave considerable political cover to the war advocates.

But the Iraq War is merely one example. Liberal self-loathing is evident in a number of contexts. In fact, you might consider it the theoretical foundation of the “Wanker of the Day.” To me, what truly makes one a wanker is when you care more about avoiding perceptions of hippie-ness than about the substance and politics of the underlying issue.

The 2005 Social Security debate provides another great example of this dynamic. What infuriated me about the media coverage was the rampant wankerousness. I got the sense that individual journalists and pundits — particularly Tim Russert — cared more about proving their non-hippie bona fides than about the substance of an extremely reckless proposed change to the most successful, efficient government program in American history. Rather than looking closely how many people depend upon the Social Security system, they chose to draw a line in the sand and say “here is where I’ll prove I’m not a wild liberal.” In doing so, and similarly to Iraq, people like Russert put the burden of proof on Democrats to explain what (unnecessary) changes they would propose.

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Something Old, Something New

by publius Steve Benen writes that the Democrats (via Howard Dean) have announced they won’t officially go after McCain’s age. Too Atwater-ish, Dean says. Benen adds, though, that age seems to be a real problem for McCain with the voters: Dean went out of his way yesterday to suggest Dems aren’t going to exploit the … Read more

Hot Off The Press

by publius I just got Yglesias’s book this afternoon. I hope to read it this weekend. I’ve only seen the back cover, but Ezra Klein has a good blurb: “A very serious, thoughtful argument that has never been made in such detail or with such care.” —Ezra Klein, staff writer at The American Prospect

The Costs of Polarizing War

by publius Fred Kagan’s recent screed is hardly worth the effort. It’s not even an argument — it’s an attempt to shore up conservative support by demonizing liberals (or “hyper-sophisticates,” as he calls them). Like many other neoconservatives, his foreign policy vision is conceptually reactionary in that it’s rooted in hippie hatred and ressentiment. To … Read more

Point Sadr

by publius Via Andrew Sullivan, I see that CNN is reporting that Sistani has weighed in and given his blessing to Sadr’s “army.” This is big, but I am unfortunately running to class so can’t do it justice. On first glance, I think this isn’t so much that Sistani is “siding” with Sadr. It’s that … Read more

The Not Ready for Prime Time Candidate

by publius Patrick Ruffini sounds the alarm that McCain’s seeming increase in fundraising masks some very troubling trends: If anyone thinks McCain raising $15 million in March is good news — and crucially, just $4M of it from online and direct mail — then they’re probably part of the problem rather than part of the … Read more

Stick With Early American History Buddy

by publius Historian Sean Wilentz: These arguments [that Obama is winning] might be compelling if Obama’s leads were not so reliant on certain eccentricities in the current Democratic nominating process, as well as on some blatantly anti-democratic maneuvers by the Obama campaign. Basketball Analyst Sean Wilentz: Well, look, it’s true that by most objective metrics … Read more