Loopy Fiasco

by Eric Martin I find certain arguments against the size of the proposed stimulus package to be somewhat compelling (adding that much debt on to our already teetering tower could risk tipping the whole damn edifice).  I also consider arguments against the specific composition of the stimulus package to be even more persuasive (there should be fewer tax … Read more

Rejecting the Politics of Fear?

by Eric Martin Trita Parsi passes along some interesting developments in connection with Iran's upcoming elections: Iran's former President, the soft-spoken Mohammad Khatami, ended months of speculations and revealed his bid to challenge the current Iranian President – the not-so-soft-spoken Mahmoud Ahmadinejad – in the upcoming Presidential elections in June. "I declare that I will stand for … Read more

King of the Eyesores

by Eric Martin Obama made a BIG mistake mentioning Rush Limbaugh's name, provoking the Republican Party to rally around Limbaugh, with many leaders declaring him the "conscience of the conservative movement."  As this poll indicates, Limbaugh is more popular than even Dick Cheney: A new Gallup poll explains why Democrats are now so eager to connect … Read more

The Election Biden Lost

by Eric Martin This article in the New York Post is a good example of the ways in which the Iraqi election is being spun by certain parties – from the title ("Iraq Vote a Triumph for US Ally") to the claims that the elections "rebuffed extremist parties."  As with Max Boot's piece claiming that … Read more

A Flag or A Number

by Eric Martin To make a rather mundane observation, it is quite common for politicians, legislators and others in leadership positions to leak details of a prospective policy to the press in order to market test it.  Run it up the flagpole, and see how many salute and how many set match to fabric.  I can only hope that … Read more

Got My Hand in My Pocket and My Purple Finger’s on the Trigger

by Eric Martin Prior to this past weekend's provincial elections in Iraq, I warned that the elections could portend a spike in violence depending on the extent to which the competing parties (many only recently adopting the political approach to the exclusion of more violent methods) view the results as legitimate.  Marc Lynch offers some admittedly preliminary, … Read more

Death and Taxes

by Eric Martin Jim Henley looks at a picture of an Iraqi soldier wearing a mask that covers most of the face and takes note of the quality of “victory” in Iraq: It’s 2009. Iraqi soldiers still wear masks to hide their identities. From other Iraqis. Actually, it’s worse than that.  Those Iraqis that have … Read more

The Trigger Happy Gang that Couldn’t Shoot Straight, Part 2,389

by Eric Martin In assessing the early returns from Iraq's provincial elections over the weekend, Max Boot readies, aims, fires and…misses the target by a neocon mile.  Most of Boot's errant marksmanship is attributable to his ideological devotion to a cherished, if thoroughly discredited, proposition: that the invasion of Iraq has not played to Iran's benefit.  Thus, Boot … Read more

…And I Will Advertise It

by Eric Martin Joseph Stiglitz makes a compelling case for nationalizing troubled banks, rather than continuing the pattern of misdiagnosis and ill-suited (if unbelievably expensive) band aids that fail to address the underlying hemorrhaging – and, perhaps more importantly, the conflicting incentives at the top. America's recession is moving into its second year, with the situation only worsening. The hope … Read more

Open Thread…

by Eric Martin For your assorted idiosyncratic pleasures and other odds and ends that don't quite fit anywhere else.  The Island of Misfit Threads if you will.  With stop motion animation of course. UPDATE: Um, Von's open thread is kind of fancier what with all its plumage, so feel free to ignore this jalopy.

Yes, but Can They?

by Eric Martin The first round of provincial elections in Iraq since 2005 are slated for tomorrow, January 31.  The always insightful Joost Hilterman of the International Crisis Group has a nice summary of some of the issues in play (the ICG's full report (pdf) can be found here).  These elections could lead to major shifts in Iraq's … Read more

Obama’s First Gesture Toward Iran

by Eric Martin According to The Guardian, the Obama administration is wasting no time in changing the posture of the US government vis-a-vis Iran: Officials of Barack Obama’s administration have drafted a letter to Iran from the president aimed at unfreezing US-Iranian relations and opening the way for face-to-face talks, the Guardian has learned. The … Read more

A Rush and a Push and the Land is Ours

by Eric Martin

While I generally try to leave the filleting of the conservative movement's more outrageous voices to the experts (knives being sharp and all), I occasionally attempt a skewer or two when so moved.  At the risk of relying on anecdote, though, it seems that every time I write something about Ann Coulter or Rush Limbaugh I'm chided from the left ("why waste time talking about them?") or the right ("they don't really represent the Republican Party/conservative movement in America").

Well, an interesting thing is happening within the Republican Party, and it only exposes the prominence of voices like Limbaugh's, and the extent to which he can actually bring elected GOP representatives to their knees.  I'm sure many of you are already familiar with the story of Rep. Phil Gingrey (R-GA), the chairman of the conservative Republican Study Committee, who recently had some mild criticismsfor Limbaugh – particularly appropriate given Limbaugh's recent declaration that he hopes the Obama Presidency fails, consequences to the American public be damned, and that the Republican leadership seemed frightened to pursue such a strategy. 

After Gingrey's faint rebuke, Limbaugh lashed out, and Gingrey supplicated himself before El Rushbo:

“I never told Rush to back off,” Gingrey continued. “I regret and apologize for the fact that my comments have offended and upset my fellow conservatives — that was not my intent … Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Newt Gingrich, and other conservative giants are the voices of the conservative movement’s conscience.”

As Steve Benen observed:

Gingrey went on to say, "I see eye-to-eye with Rush Limbaugh," adding that he's among millions of Americans "inspired" by Limbaugh

Note, Gingrey hadn't said anything especially controversial yesterday. It iseasy for political observers on the outside to criticize, as compared to keeping a party together. But Gingrey not only faced a swift rebuke for daring to question Leader Limbaugh, but apologized, in writing, and in an embarrassingly meek tone.

The Republican Party is suffering something of a leadership vacuum. It's pretty obvious who's calling the shots. [emphasis added throughout]

Indeed.  But it didn't end there.  Mike Pence (R-IN) was next in line to make gestures in Limbaugh's direction cooing about how he "cherish[es]" Limbaugh's "voice in the debate."  Yeah, what's not to love. 

But stillit did not end there.  The Wall St. Journal lept into the fray and offered Rush a spot on its Op-Ed pages from which to offer a solution to the economic crisis – a sophomoric proposal that doesn't even pretend to take into account questions of efficacy.  No, to Rush, it's all a political ruse:

Fifty-three percent of American voters voted for Barack Obama; 46% voted for John McCain, and 1% voted for wackos. Give that 1% to President Obama. Let’s say the vote was 54% to 46%. As a way to bring the country together and at the same time determine the most effective way to deal with recessions, under the Obama-Limbaugh Stimulus Plan of 2009: 54% of the $900 billion—$486 billion—will be spent on infrastructure and pork as defined by Mr. Obama and the Democrats; 46%—$414 billion—will be directed toward tax cuts, as determined by me.

Brilliant!  Erected on such solid economic principles! How could that possibly fail! 

So there you have it, the cherished voice of the conservative conscience offering a fiscal gimmick that, however ludicrous, the GOP leaders know better than to question.  No, I expect them all to tiptoe around l'enfant terrible as if he was little Anthony Fremont.

But now that the GOP has acknowledged Rush's place in the movement's firmament, shouldn't we all drop the protests that Rush is too insignificant to discuss, or that discussing his views would be a waste of time because he doesn't really speak for the GOP?  Why, he's one of their most revered pundits.  "Inspirational" even.

Given this, I believe it would be fair – no necessary - that the media ask a whole host of questions of GOP representatives regarding Limbaugh's past statements/positions.  After all, the media has a duty to inform the American people of just how much influence the extreme right wing has over the Republican Party.

A short list below the fold, but feel free to add your own.

Read more

Somalia, We Hardly Knew Ya

by Eric Martin Matt Yglesias and Rob Farleybeat me to the punch*, but it's still worth discussing recent developments in Somalia.  Basically, the last of the Ethiopian troops (those left over from a December 2006 invasion that the US government actively supported) withdrew from Somalia, and the Transitional Federal Government (TFG) propped up by Ethiopia's forces quickly fell: … Read more

International Colouring Contest

by Eric Martin There is little doubt that for the many that sacrificed to advance the cause of civil rights in America – and for those that simply lived through the painful chapters of our racist legacy - watching the inauguration of President Obama was a powerful, emotional experience.  At the risk of sounding maudlin, my eyes welled up on more … Read more

Range Roving with the Cinema Stars

by Eric Martin I'm pleased to announce the launch of a new foreign policy site that I'm editing called The Progressive Realist.  It is the brainchild of author and pundit Robert Wright - the founder of bloggingheads.tv.  Here is a brief synopsis of the site's mission: The blog is meant to occupy a niche that seems thinly populated. There aren’t many full-service blogs … Read more

Open Thread: Less is More…

by Eric Martin …And quality over quantity.  Or something.  Either way, Greg Djerejian broke one of his periodic bouts of silence to drop a manifesto like an anvil.  Sometimes I think to myself: what if most conservatives were like Djerejian, Larison, Bacevich and Joyner, and the outliers were Douthat and Salaam.  And then I go and … Read more

Going for Dolo

by Eric Martin The indispensable Stephen Walt seeks to temper some of Robert Pape's fears associated with America's declining power relative to the rest of the world: Pape now warns that "American relative power is declining to the point where even subsets of major powers acting in concert could produce sufficient military power to stand a reasonable … Read more

Working for the Meltdown: Too Late to Lose the Weight You Used to Need to Throw Around?

by Eric Martin

For the first installment of the America's Defense Meltdown series, I thought it would be useful to review some of the history applicable to the evolution of America's military institutions as presented in the anthology itself.  That history provides a useful context within which to assess the range of options going forward, and perhaps appreciate some of the anachronistic aspects of our defense posture/industry that have long outlived their utility, passing from asset to hindrance.  The establishment of a permanent standing military force of considerable size over the past century, coupled with the gradual consolidation of war making authority by the Executive branch, has distorted the policy making process to detrimental effect, all at enormous cost.

Lt. Col. John Sayen (US Marine Corps, ret.) provides a summary of the overall picture:

Our military has broken its constitutional controls. Our Founding Fathers wanted no more than a very limited size and role for a federal military. They feared standing armies not only because they might be used against the American public, i.e. to establish military rule, but also for their potential to involve us in costly foreign wars that would drain our treasury, erode our freedoms and involve us in the “entangling alliances” that George Washington warned of in his farewell address. At that time our armies were composed mainly of state militias that the president needed the cooperation of Congress and the state governors in order to use. Today, we have one large all-volunteer federal Army, which for all practical purposes responds only to the president and the executive branch. It has engaged in numerous foreign wars, involved us in many entangling alliances, drained our treasury and eroded our liberties just as our Founding Fathers foresaw. It has enabled the president to take the nation to war on little more than his own authority. The recent repeal of the Posse Comitatus Act of 1878 allows him to unilaterally use the military not only against foreigners, but against the American people as well.

While it is easy for children of the World War II/Cold War era who have grown accustomed to an enormous, permanent standing Army to assume that this was always the state of affairs, a closer look at the preceding decades reveals a different story.  At the time of this nation's founding, there was only a nominal national force – with most arms residing with state-based militias.  While this force was gradually augmented over time, even "as late as 1898 the Army was still authorized only 27,000 men."  It is that point in time that marks the dramatic break from past traditions. 

The state of military affairs prior to the turn of the 20th century reflected the prevailing political will: there was an overriding concern that a large standing Army could usurp representative government, exert outsized influence over that government and/or lead it into unnecessary adventurism through the seductive lure of martial power.  Rather than constructing a force that could pose a threat to the republic, or facilitate far-flung folly, US leaders by and large relegated the military to one overriding purpose: defense of the nation's homeland. 

A brief recounting:

Congress…established the relationship between the federal government and the state militias with two militia acts passed in 1792. The first gave the president the authority to call out the militia in response to foreign invasion or internal disorder. The second ordered that the militia consist of all able-bodied male citizens between the ages of 18 and 45. Each member would arm and equip himself at his own expense and report for training twice a year. The state legislatures would prescribe the militia’s tactical organization (companies, battalions, regiments, etc.). As time went on, however, and the nation grew more secure, militia service effectively became voluntary. Militia units began to resemble social clubs more than military organizations, but even as late as 1898 the militia could field five times more troops than the U.S. Army.

If the president wanted to take the United States to war, he would need a national army that, unlike the militia, could fight anywhere, not just within its home states. Unless the war was to be of extremely limited scope and duration, the regular U.S. Army would be too small. To enlarge it, the president would have to go to Congress not only to obtain a declaration of war, but also the authority and funding needed to call for militia volunteers. Assuming that Congress was forthcoming, the president would then issue a call for volunteers, ordering each state governor to raise a fixed quota of men from their respective militias. These orders were difficult to enforce and during the war of 1812 and the Civil War several governors refused them. However, those that complied would call on the individual companies and regiments of their respective militias to volunteer for federal service. The members of those units would then vote on whether their units would become “U.S. Volunteers.” Individual members of units that volunteered could still excuse themselves from service for health or family reasons.

Given that most militia units were below their full strength in peacetime, and that a portion of their existing members would be unwilling or unable to serve, they would need a lot of new recruits if they were to go to war. They would also need time for training and “shaking down.” Secretary of War John C. Calhoun in 1818 noted that the United States had no significant continental enemies and was essentially an insular power. Thus, the Navy could ensure that an invader could not land in America before the U.S. Volunteers had time to prepare. The system certainly made it harder to go to war.

The structure of America's military apparatus made it difficult to go to war on a whim, or for anything less than a cause deemed vital by enough actors across a broad swath of geography, class and ideology.  The warriors themselves had, in essence, veto power.  The results that stemmed from this were unsurprising: "In the first 100 years of its existence the United States fought only two significant foreign wars."

Under our current system, on the other hand, the military lacks the same level of autonomy or prerogative when it comes to making decisions.  Our modern day volunteer force receives orders, not ballots, when there is a call to arms.  Further, whereas multiple actors needed convincing prior to fielding an army in the past (from Congress, to sate governors, to militiamen themselves), increasingly, in modern times, there is only the President. 

…[T]he National Defense Act of 1916, passed in anticipation of America’s entry into World War I. In effect…transformed all militia units from individual state forces into a federal reserve force. The title of “National Guard” became mandatory for all militia units and, within the War Department the Division of Militia Affairs became the National Guard Bureau. Instead of the state titles that many had borne since the colonial era the former militia units received numbers in sequence with regular Army units. In addition, the act created a U.S. Army Reserve of trained individuals not organized into units and established a Reserve Officer Training Corps (ROTC) in the colleges and universities.

…The political cost had been high. America now had the large professional standing army (with no counterbalancing militia) that our Founding Fathers warned us against. The president now controlled all of the nation’s armed forces in peacetime as well as in war. He would no longer have to beg either Congress or the state governors for troops.

Within a few years he would not have to ask Congress for a declaration of war, either. Yes, Congress still holds the purse strings but, as other chapters of this book will show, it has never gripped them very tightly…[T]he new U.S. Army was effectively accountable only to the executive branch of government.

Read more

Working for the Meltdown: Introduction

by Eric Martin I've recently completed an anthology edited by Winslow Wheeler entitled, America's Defense Meltdown, and the selections are, at least to this reader, illuminating.  Each chapter is written by a different author (though some authors pen multiple chapters) and each such sub-unit takes on a separate facet of the overall mission.  In its entirety, … Read more

Happy Inauguration Day!

by Eric Martin Though I couldn’t make it to DC, my firm is at least getting into the festive spirit – there’ll be free pizza in the conference room, where the flat screen will be showing coverage all day.  Not exactly hobnobbing with Jay Z and Bono at the various balls, but it’ll do. Also, … Read more

Irony Is Dead

by hilzoy Yesterday, various bloggers, including Steve Benen at the Monthly, posted a wonderful YouTube video of Pete Seeger singing 'This Land Is Your Land'. I hope you watched it then, since it's no longer available: HBO has taken it down (h/t). If you click the video, you get the following message: "This video is no longer … Read more

Eternal Recurrence

by hilzoy The Nation has republished an editorial from just before the inauguration of FDR in 1933, called 'A Farewell To Republicans' (h/t). Except for the absence of any mention of Iraq or global warming, it's downright scary how apt it is today: For twelve years the Republican Party has been in power. During ten of those years … Read more

Tomorrow: Day Of Service

by hilzoy Barack Obama has asked people to spend tomorrow doing something to serve their communities, and he has set up a website designed to make it easy to find ways to do this. It's actually quite wonderful. Anyone can create an event, so in addition to some things one might expect — opportunities to … Read more

Fanboyz

by hilzoy I gather there are football games today. Apparently, one of them even involves my hometown team. Buildings all over Baltimore are illuminated in purple. But we haven't gone as far as the mayor of Pittsburgh (h/t): "In light of the big Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens matchup this weekend, mayor Luke R. Ravenstahl has officially changed his name … Read more

Flashback

by hilzoy From the NYT: "On his first full day as president, Barack Obama will meet with high-ranking military officers to discuss the Iraq war, a conflict he has vowed to end after six years of fighting, a top adviser to Obama said Saturday." On This Week, George Stephanopoulos asked David Axelrod whether, in this meeting, Obama would … Read more

Heckuva Job

by hilzoy


ThinkProgress had a snippet of Bush's 2000 inaugural address, and for some reason I decided to reread it. Looking back on it after eight years, it's pretty breathtaking. For instance:

Today, we affirm a new commitment to live out our nation's promise through civility, courage, compassion and character.


America, at its best, matches a commitment to principle with a concern for civility. A civil society demands from each of us good will and respect, fair dealing and forgiveness.


Some seem to believe that our politics can afford to be petty because, in a time of peace, the stakes of our debates appear small.


But the stakes for America are never small. If our country does not lead the cause of freedom, it will not be led. If we do not turn the hearts of children toward knowledge and character, we will lose their gifts and undermine their idealism. If we permit our economy to drift and decline, the vulnerable will suffer most.


We must live up to the calling we share. Civility is not a tactic or a sentiment. It is the determined choice of trust over cynicism, of community over chaos. And this commitment, if we keep it, is a way to shared accomplishment.


Read this and think of Bush's response to Katrina:

Where there is suffering, there is duty. Americans in need are not strangers, they are citizens, not problems, but priorities. And all of us are diminished when any are hopeless.


And consider this:

America, at its best, is a place where personal responsibility is valued and expected.


Encouraging responsibility is not a search for scapegoats, it is a call to conscience. And though it requires sacrifice, it brings a deeper fulfillment. We find the fullness of life not only in options, but in commitments. And we find that children and community are the commitments that set us free.


Our public interest depends on private character, on civic duty and family bonds and basic fairness, on uncounted, unhonored acts of decency which give direction to our freedom.


Sometimes in life we are called to do great things. But as a saint of our times has said, every day we are called to do small things with great love. The most important tasks of a democracy are done by everyone.


I will live and lead by these principles: to advance my convictions with civility, to pursue the public interest with courage, to speak for greater justice and compassion, to call for responsibility and try to live it as well.


In all these ways, I will bring the values of our history to the care of our times.

I completely agree. But I see no evidence at all that Bush meant a word of it. Worse, I don't see any evidence that he even understood it. Conscience and civility matter enormously. They are, as Bush said, matters of character that turn on "uncounted, unhonored acts of decency". Before Katrina, putting a talented, competent person in charge of FEMA, or making sure that the Department of Justice operated fairly before the US Attorneys scandal broke, would have been uncounted, unhonored acts of decency.  

But Bush couldn't even manage honored, counted acts of decency, like not torturing people, or coming up with something resembling an honorable response when the implications of his administration's policies became clear.

He's a small, small man, who ought to have spent his life in some honorary position without responsibilities at a firm run by one of his father's friends. Instead, he ruined our country, and several others besides. He wasted eight years in which we could have been shoring up our economy, laying the groundwork for energy independence, making America a fairer and better country, and truly working to help people around the world become more free. Instead, he debased words that ought to mean something: words like honor, decency, freedom, and compassion. 

To this day, I do not think he has the slightest conception of the meaning of the words he took in vain. 

Sometimes, when I write things like this, people think I am trying to excuse Bush — as though I cannot condemn him unless I take him to be a scheming leering monster. I disagree. I think that when someone who is not mentally incompetent gets to be Bush's age, if he has no conception of the meaning of honor or decency, he has no one to blame but himself. And to say of a person that he does not understand those things — that he could stand before the nation and speak the words Bush spoke in 2000 with so little sense of what they meant that it's not clear that we should count him as lying — is one of the worst things I think it's possible to say about a person.

Especially if you add one further point: the one and only thing that might have mitigated Bush's failings would have been for him to be sufficiently self-aware not to have assumed responsibilities he could not fulfill. Obviously, Bush did not have that kind of self-awareness. But it amazes me to this day that becoming President did not force him to recognize the nature of the responsibilities he had been given, and to try his best to live up to them. Honestly: I don't know how it's possible to become President and, not try your absolute best to appoint really competent people ('Heckuva job, Brownie!'), to ask obvious questions that people don't seem to have focussed on, like 'have we actually planned for the occupation of Iraq?', and so forth — not to do any of those things, but instead to just go on being the same petulant lazy frat boy you've always been. 

Apparently, though, it is possible. And we all get to pay the price.


Read more

Some Facts For Obama To Consider

by hilzoy (1) According to Article II, Section 3 of the Constitution, the President "shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed".  (2) According to Article VI of the Constitution, "This Constitution, and the Laws of the United States which shall be made in Pursuance thereof; and all Treaties made, or which shall be made, under the … Read more

“Return To Terrorism”

by hilzoy Yesterday, a Pentagon spokesman said: "I can disclose with you the fact that we have a new — we have updated recidivism numbers of people who have been at Guantanamo, and these are the latest numbers we have as of the end of December. And it shows a pretty substantial increase in recidivism. … Read more

Over One In Eight

by hilzoy Brandon Friedman has a scary article in the Military Times (h/t): "The Army is in the midst of a disturbing trend that threatens not only our immediate goals in the current conflicts, but, more importantly, the long term health of the organization.  The fact is, while the Army has been lowering its entrance … Read more

Supertrains!

by hilzoy Philip Longman has a great article on trains in the Washington Monthly. It's worth reading in its entirety, but two paragraphs really leapt out at me. The first: "Let’s start with the small-scale stuff that needs doing. There are many examples around the country where a relatively tiny amount of public investment in … Read more

Closing Guantanamo: Part 2

by hilzoy From the AP story on closing Guantanamo: "What remains the thorniest issue for Obama, the advisers said, is what to do with the rest of the prisoners — including at least 15 so-called "high value detainees" considered among the most dangerous there. Detainees held on U.S. soil would have certain legal rights that they were … Read more

Closing Guantanamo: Part 1

by hilzoy From the AP: "President-elect Barack Obama is preparing to issue an executive order his first week in office — and perhaps his first day — to close the U.S. military prison at Guantanamo Bay, according to two presidential transition team advisers. It's unlikely the detention facility at the Navy base in Cuba will be closed anytime soon. In an interview last weekend, Obama … Read more