The Election Made Simple

by hilzoy Via Kevin Drum, Fortune‘s interviews with the two candidates for President: “What do you see as the gravest long-term threat to the U.S. economy? Obama: If we don’t get a handle on our energy policy, it is possible that the kinds of trends we’ve seen over the last year will just continue. Demand … Read more

Two Minutes A Week

by hilzoy From the NYT: “According to data compiled by Andrew Tyndall, a television consultant who monitors the three network evening newscasts, coverage of Iraq has been “massively scaled back this year.” Almost halfway into 2008, the three newscasts have shown 181 weekday minutes of Iraq coverage, compared with 1,157 minutes for all of 2007. … Read more

Those Lobbyists Again…

by hilzoy Newsweek: “One of John McCain’s most celebrated achievements in recent years was his crusade to block a Pentagon contract with Boeing for a new fleet of midair refueling tankers. Incensed over what he denounced as a taxpayer “rip-off,” McCain launched a Senate probe that uncovered cozy relations between top Air Force officials and … Read more

News Of The Weird

by hilzoy Two stories from the Department of Huh??! First, the quote of the day: “”With the exception of the cross-burning episode. … I believe John Freshwater is teaching the values of the parents in the Mount Vernon school district,” he said.” Yep: just that one little exception … — When I first read that, … Read more

Bleccchh

by hilzoy So: Obama supports the hateful FISA thing. You can read his full statement here. Excerpts: “Given the grave threats that we face, our national security agencies must have the capability to gather intelligence and track down terrorists before they strike, while respecting the rule of law and the privacy and civil liberties of … Read more

Telecom Immunity Passes

by hilzoy From the Washington Post: “The House today overwhelmingly approved a sweeping new surveillance law that effectively would shield telecommunications companies from privacy lawsuits for cooperating with the Bush administration’s warrantless wiretapping program. Ending a year-long battle with President Bush, the House approved, 293 to 129, a re-write of the 1978 Foreign Intelligence Surveillance … Read more

Very Helpful In the Short Term

by hilzoy John McCain: “Tomorrow, I’ll call for lifting the federal moratorium for states that choose to permit exploration. I think that this, and perhaps providing additional incentives for states to permit exploration off their coasts, would be very helpful in the short term in resolving our energy crisis.” The radical environmentalist Wall Street Journal: … Read more

FISA: Why It Matters

by hilzoy Digby’s commenters seem to have been asking her “why the blogosphere is so obsessed with FISA and the civil liberties stuff when it’s clear that both sides are equally corrupt”. I like her answer, but I’m going to give my own. I won’t bother about the “both sides are equally bad” part: it’s … Read more

FISA “Compromise”

by hilzoy I haven’t written about the rumors that a “compromise” on telecom immunity was in the works, since it was just a rumor, and I wanted to see what, if anything, actually came of it. Now I know: “After more than a year of partisan acrimony over government surveillance powers, Democratic and Republican leaders … Read more

Obama’s Nonexistent 9/10 Mindset

by hilzoy Yesterday, Barack Obama said this: “And it is my firm belief that we can track terrorists, we can crack down on threats against the United States, but we can do so within the constraints of our Constitution. And there has been no evidence on their part that we can’t. And, you know, let’s … Read more

Notes From A Postracial Society

by hilzoy From the Dallas Morning News (h/t): “While a number of speakers — such as Railroad Commission chairman Michael Williams and Mike Huckabee — have praised the advance of Barack Obama and what it means towards a colorblind society, at least one vendor hasn’t gotten the message. At the Republican state convention, a booth … Read more

McCain And The Media

by hilzoy As I noted earlier, at his press conference yesterday, John McCain said this: “QUESTION: The European Union has set mandatory targets on renewable energy. Is that something you would consider in a McCain administration? […] MCCAIN: Sure. I believe in the cap-and-trade system, as you know. I would not at this time make … Read more

Privatizing The Army

by hilzoy

From the NYT:

“The Army official who managed the Pentagon’s largest contract in Iraq says he was ousted from his job when he refused to approve paying more than $1 billion in questionable charges to KBR, the Houston-based company that has provided food, housing and other services to American troops.

The official, Charles M. Smith, was the senior civilian overseeing the multibillion-dollar contract with KBR during the first two years of the war. Speaking out for the first time, Mr. Smith said that he was forced from his job in 2004 after informing KBR officials that the Army would impose escalating financial penalties if they failed to improve their chaotic Iraqi operations.

Army auditors had determined that KBR lacked credible data or records for more than $1 billion in spending, so Mr. Smith refused to sign off on the payments to the company. “They had a gigantic amount of costs they couldn’t justify,” he said in an interview. “Ultimately, the money that was going to KBR was money being taken away from the troops, and I wasn’t going to do that.”

But he was suddenly replaced, he said, and his successors — after taking the unusual step of hiring an outside contractor to consider KBR’s claims — approved most of the payments he had tried to block.”

The obvious way to read this is as indicating that Halliburton had the connections to block any investigation of its recordkeeping. And while that’s true, I’m not sure that’s what’s going on here. The next paragraph of the NYT story:

“Army officials denied that Mr. Smith had been removed because of the dispute, but confirmed that they had reversed his decision, arguing that blocking the payments to KBR would have eroded basic services to troops. They said that KBR had warned that if it was not paid, it would reduce payments to subcontractors, which in turn would cut back on services.”

In fact, KBR did at one point threaten to stop providing basic supplies — little things like food — to our troops in Iraq. (I’ve put the account of this episode below the fold.) What that means is, to my mind, even more scandalous than simple corruption by a company with good connections. It means that we have outsourced absolutely critical functions to private companies, companies which, unlike military personnel, can threaten to stop doing their jobs without facing courts-martial. In wartime, when a company is doing something as important as providing food to our troops, the military has no choice but to cave to their demands. (That’s one reason I said it was more scandalous than simple corruption: it virtually ensures that that corruption will occur, while simultanously leaving our troops at risk.)

To my mind, we should not allow any company to assume any critical function in wartime without putting in place some guarantee that it will go on performing that function whether it wants to or not. If it’s impossible to do that legally, then that function should not be outsourced. Period. We cannot allow any private company to threaten to stop supplying our troops during wartime. But we have.

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There He Goes Again, Again …

by hilzoy A couple of weeks I noted that John McCain didn’t seem to understand what a cap and trade system was, despite the fact that he not only advocates such a system, but has actually co-sponsored legislation to create one. There was some debate in comments about whether McCain might have meant something else. … Read more

A Strange Way To Spend Your Time

by hilzoy John McCain can’t seem to catch a break. First, he had to cancel a fundraiser with someone who had said that rape was like bad weather: “As long as it’s inevitable, you might as well lie back and enjoy it.” (Except that — oops! — McCain kept the money from the fundraiser, and … Read more

Make It Stop

by hilzoy Susan Faludi had an op-ed in the NYT today. She notes the following quotes: ““In many ways, he really will be the first woman president,” Megan Beyer of Virginia, a charter member of Women for Obama, told reporters. An op-ed essay in The New York Post headlined “Bam: Our 1st Woman Prez?” came … Read more

McCain’s Thesis

by hilzoy The NYT has gotten a copy of John McCain’s thesis at the National War College. It’s quite interesting. I think the NYT’s account of it is somewhat misleading in its focus: “About a year after his release from a North Vietnamese prison camp, Cmdr. John S. McCain III sat down to address one … Read more

Guess What? You Already Did

by hilzoy Maureen Dowd passes on this gem: “A Democratic lawmaker who saw the president in the Oval Office recently and urged him to bring the troops home from Iraq quickly recounted that W. got a stony look and replied that 41 had abandoned the Iraqis and thousands got slaughtered. “I will never do that … Read more

Flood

by hilzoy From the Washington Post (where I also got the picture): “CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa, June 13 — The sun finally broke through the layers of clouds on Friday, a reassuring presence after a week of rain. But as residents in and around this eastern Iowa city surveyed their waterlogged landscape, they did not like … Read more

There He Goes Again…

by hilzoy

Here’s a YouTube showing John McCain’s shifting stands on whether he favors privatizing Social Security.

In 2004, McCain said: “Without privatization, I don’t see how you can possibly, over time, make sure that young Americans are able to receive Social Security benefits.”

Yesterday:

“My friends, I do not and will not privatize Social Security. It is a government program, and it’s necessary, but it’s broken, and we got to tell the American people that we’ve got to fix it, and we’ve got to sit down together the way that Ronald Reagan and Tip O’Neill did back in 1983 and fix Social Security. But my friends, I will not privatize Social Security, and it’s not true when I’m accused of that. But I would like for younger workers — younger workers only — to have an opportunity to take a few of their tax dollars — a few of theirs — and maybe put it into an account with their name on it.”

As Matt Yglesias says:

“In short, he stridently denies that he wants to favor privatizing Social Security. He just favors policies that are the same as the policies that were called “privatizing Social Security” before the GOP found out that privatizing Social Security is unpopular.”

But there’s more wrong with what McCain said than this sort of inconsistency. [UPDATE: “This sort of inconsistency” being not just the inconsistency between his past and present positions — people get to change their minds — but between his claim that he does not favor privatization and his claim that he favors, well, what everyone normally calls privatization. END UPDATE]

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Obama And McCain On Taxes

by hilzoy The Tax Policy Center just put out a very good report (pdf) comparing McCain’s and Obama’s tax plans. The basics: how much, or (in Obama’s case) whether, each candidate’s tax plans would add to the deficit depends on what you take your baseline to be, and in particular, on whether you assume (a) … Read more

Boumediene For Dummies

by hilzoy As publius noted, the Supreme Court has ruled in Boumedienne et al v. Bush (pdf). Herewith, a quick and dirty rundown of the issues. As befits someone with no legal training, I have stuck to the straightforward issues, leaving complexities to others (cough, publius, cough.) I’m basically trying to explain this to non-lawyers … Read more

*Shudders*

by hilzoy It’s just one of those days for people behaving badly. First, Judicial Superhottie and author of the world’s funniest dissent in dialog form, Alex Kosinski: “One of the highest-ranking federal judges in the United States, who is currently presiding over an obscenity trial in Los Angeles, has maintained his own publicly accessible website … Read more

Not Too Important

by hilzoy

Stunning:

“MATT LAUER: “If it’s working Senator, do you now have a better estimate of when American forces can come home from Iraq?”

SEN. MCCAIN: “No, but that’s not too important. What’s important is the casualties in Iraq. Americans are in South Korea, Americans are in Japan, American troops are in Germany. That’s all fine. American casualties and the ability to withdraw; we will be able to withdraw. General Petraeus is going to tell us in July when he thinks we are. But the key to it is that we don’t want any more Americans in harm’s way.”

The McCain campaign says: “John McCain was asked if he had a “better estimate” for a timeline for withdrawal. As John McCain has always said, that is not as important as conditions on the ground and the recommendations of commanders in the field.” But, as Greg Sargent notes, McCain did not in fact say that when the troops come home was less important than something else; he said it was not too important, period.

Several thoughts: First, my initial reaction to this was fury. There are men and women over in Iraq, in the middle of nowhere, counting the days until they come home. There are families who jump out of their skins every time the doorbell rings. There are spouses trying to keep their marriages together while they’re thousands of miles apart, soldiers wondering whether anyone will really understand what they’ve been through and kids growing up without knowing one of their parents. How could anyone say it doesn’t matter when they come home?

Of course, I’m sure McCain didn’t mean it that way. But this only goes so far. Suppose, by analogy, that I were giving a talk at a company that had announced a big wave of layoffs, and that was rumored to be preparing more; and I said: you know, it really doesn’t matter who gets fired and who doesn’t. Suppose further that I didn’t mean to be cruel: I was talking about macroeconomics, and from that point of view, the identities of people who get laid off are indeed irrelevant. That would show that I was not intentionally hurtful. But it would not begin to show that I wasn’t callous or thoughtless. The best explanation of my remarks is also the best explanation of McCain’s: namely, that I just wasn’t thinking about how they might sound to some of the people most obviously affected by them. Those people just sort of slipped my mind.

As Brandon Friedman says:

“What do the troops in theater think of a statement like that? What does the young sergeant on the 14th month of his third tour think when John McCain says it’s “not too important” when we come home? In fact, this kind of talk is devastating to the morale of the troops. And this type of careless, flippant remark demonstrates unmistakably that McCain clearly has no idea what it’s like to serve on repeated deployments. While he suffered much in his own war, he can neither empathize with, nor relate to today’s troops in Iraq.”

Nor with their families and friends. The fact that it’s a lack of empathy, not deliberate cruelty, is not much comfort.

Second, even taking McCain’s comments strictly on their own terms, they make no sense at all.

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Capital Gains Idiocy

by hilzoy Maria Bartiromo, quoted in the NY Post: “WE’RE in for taxing times if Barack Obama wins the White House, says CNBC’s Maria Bartiromo. “He’s going to take the capital gains tax at 15 percent right now all the way up to 25 to 28 percent,” the “Money Honey” tells Avenue. “Sell anything, like … Read more

McCain On Energy

by hilzoy

I was reading blogs late this afternoon when I found a post by Steve Benen asking: why is John McCain still going on about a gas tax holiday? After explaining again why it’s a gimmick that would do nothing to help actual consumers, Steve wrote:

“When pondering why on earth McCain would continue to push obvious nonsense about an important issue, the answer came to me: it’s because he has nothing else to say.

I went to his website to check on his energy policy. On his home page, there’s plenty about golf gear, but nothing about energy or gas prices. Eventually, after digging around for a while, I found this:

John McCain Will Help Americans Hurting From High Gasoline And Food Costs. Americans need relief right now from high gas prices. John McCain will act immediately to reduce the pain of high gas prices.

That’s not an excerpt of a longer position paper, that’s the entire text of McCain’s position on gas prices. He’ll “act immediately.” How? No one knows. With what kind of policy? It’s a total mystery. (In contrast, Obama has a detailed policy page on oil and energy.)”

A bit later, I ran across a post at AmericaBlog titled “Why doesn’t McCain have a national energy strategy?” With gas prices headed through the roof, I thought: hmm, maybe I should check this out. So I did.

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Very, Very Scary

by hilzoy Horrifying news from TownHall: “Obama’s advance troops have already taken over our college campuses, have bound and gagged our conservative professors, have ravished our virgins, have pillaged our stores of wisdom, and have ensconced themselves in the thrones of power in deans’, presidents’ and department heads’ offices.” Holy smokes! I didn’t even know … Read more

That Was Then, This Is Now

by hilzoy December 20, 2007: “1. Does the president have inherent powers under the Constitution to conduct surveillance for national security purposes without judicial warrants, regardless of federal statutes? McCain: There are some areas where the statutes don’t apply, such as in the surveillance of overseas communications. Where they do apply, however, I think that … Read more

Walking The Walk

by hilzoy From the NYT: “Senator Barack Obama, as he becomes his party’s presumptive presidential nominee, is starting to exert his authority over the Democratic National Committee. A first step? New fund-raising guidelines. Mr. Obama announced today that the D.N.C. will no longer accept contributions from federal lobbyists or political action committees, which follows the … Read more

From My Inbox

by hilzoy From Senator Clinton: “I wanted you to be one of the first to know: on Saturday, I will hold an event in Washington D.C. to thank everyone who has supported my campaign. Over the course of the last 16 months, I have been privileged and touched to witness the incredible dedication and sacrifice … Read more

History

by hilzoy I didn’t support Barack Obama because of his race. I didn’t need to: I just thought he was the best candidate by a long ways, mostly for wonky reasons. (I started down the road to supporting Obama when I read this sentence from a Washington Monthly article: “On the campaign trail in 2004, … Read more

McCain Says The Darndest Things!

by hilzoy That’s a clip of John McCain claiming that he has voted in favor of every investigation into the levee failures after Hurricane Katrina. The only trouble is, it’s not true. Here’s one investigation he voted against; here’s another. (H/t) McCain seems to be doing this a lot. Recently, McCain said, about the Lieberman/Warner … Read more

A Small Request

by hilzoy During the next Presidential campaign, could we please, please, skip the part, in the fall before the primaries, where we are subjected to a rash of stories about whether one candidate or another is inevitable? I would have thought that the media might have figured out the stupidity of this back in 2004, … Read more

Bad Movies

by hilzoy Over at Crooked Timber they’re having a discussion of Movies To Avoid Watching Before You Die. The discussion there leads me to three conclusions about the commenters: (1) They are, for the most part, young, as witness their focus on movies like Starship Troopers. If they were more antiquated, as I am, they … Read more