Where do these people come from?

by liberal japonicus Another open thread, the other seems to be I/P and vaccinations, but I'm listening to some things and these two prompted the question above This first one is an interview of/discussion with Emily Jashinsky by Ezra Kleinhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kXTjqaTQpYg&t=2509s One comment that sums up my take "This lady keeps saying things are 'rooted in … Read more

Stochastic terrorism and pagers

by liberal japonicus I recently read this substack piece by Jay Kuo, Donald Trump is a stochastic terrorist, which baffled me a bit, because it seemed to me that terrorism, by it's very definition, is stochastic. A group or person commits an act or acts that are aimed at instilling fear in a larger group … Read more

The shape of things to come

by liberal japonicus Feel free to continue to chat about the debate, this post is about what may happen from this point. I can't speak for others, but it's been like watching a great sports game where you watch the highlights again and again and then watching commentators talk about those highlights. Oh, and your … Read more

Actually, It’s Not

by wj There’s an old aphorism: Prediction is hard; especially about the future. I’ve seen it attributed to various sages, including Yogi Berra and Albert Einstein.  The thing is, it’s not true. Prediction is very, very easy.  What’s hard is accurate prediction.  So, since it’s easy, I’m going to venture a prediction.  (Aided by the … Read more