Voter Registration

by hilzoy Scott at Edge of the American West decided to see whether he could track down information on changes in voter registration since the campaign got going in earnest. He has posted his information here. Democrats have gotten more new registrants in all states for which Scott could find data except for Alaska. In … Read more

Daily Show on Community Organizers

by publius Probably the nastiest part of the entire Wednesday night 60 Minutes Hate was the attack on community organizers. As always, Jon Stewart had the best response — the whole thing is worth watching, but that part begins at 7:20.

Angry

by hilzoy A commenter at the Monthly noted that my last post was “surprisingly snarky” for me. I meant it, and I stand by it, but I take his point. There was something else, which I wasn’t prepared to write about. Maybe I’m still not. But what the heck: I was primed by watching the … Read more

Paglian Chthonic Fecundity Subrational Frequencies

by publius I don’t entirely follow this post, but it appears that Will Wilkinson believes that Palin is more politically effective than Hillary Clinton (you know, 2 speeches versus 18 million votes) because Clinton isn’t feminine. He adds that these realities are unfortunate, but they’re biological — or cultural, I’m not entirely sure.

Watch What They Do, Not What They Say

by hilzoy That was a rather listless speech by Senator McCain, though it picked up briefly at the end. I wanted to note a couple of things. First, McCain often distorted Obama’s views. He said Obama would raise taxes, when (just to repeat myself) Obama will raise taxes only on people making over $250,000 a … Read more

First Thoughts

by publius Ok — a few tentative thoughts. First, the good parts. On a personal level, I appreciated that he was respectful to Obama at the beginning. I think “bipartisan McCain” is a lot more personally appealing than what we’ve been seeing pretty much all year. Overall, the speech was respectful and it didn’t make … Read more

A War that Must Be Won in the Name of Truth

by Eric Martin Gregory Gause (a professor at the exceedingly awesome University of Vermont), has a guest post up at Marc Lynch’s place that is, as they say, well worth the read.  Gause describes some of the recent actions undertaken by Prime Minister Maliki and suggests that they form part of a larger strategy to … Read more

The Terrapin Syndrome

by publius In thinking about the semi-panicked reaction of many Dems this morning, I thought back to the Maryland basketball team. This analogy won’t work well for non-college basketball fans, but bear with me. When I was in law school (circa 2003), the Maryland squad got beaten regularly by Duke. It wasn’t just that Duke … Read more

Factchecking Palin

by hilzoy I thought Palin’s speech was quite good: well-written, well delivered. And, as I said earlier, I think she’s a genuinely engaging person, and comes across very well. There were just a couple of problems. One, which I have seen people notice, but which I suspect won’t be a big deal for a lot … Read more

Quick Thoughts

by publius I’m not going to say a lot tonight — honestly, I’m not sure what I think yet. But here are some very quick thoughts, with more to come tomorrow. First, I think Josh Marshall gets it exactly right — they’ve opted for a pure base rallying strategy. The main speeches were, for whatever … Read more

Guest Post: Just A Hunch

A guest post by our regular commenter dr ngo.

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JUST A HUNCH

by Dr Ngo

I have been unwell recently (nothing serious, just debilitating and distracting), and have not followed recent political events nearly as assiduously as many others have. But between sleeping and waking and dozing and dreaming, an insight struck me, inspired by the comments of that consummate political hack David Brooks.

He suggested – or so I recollect, and that is all that matters here – that McCain’s selection of Palin reflected a mutuality of spirit and temperament, with each of them inhabiting an essentially moral [sic] universe, and to the devil with the details. This, he thought, was Just The Thing when it came to foreign policy, and the evil that is Putin (or Islamofascism, or any other Evil Du Jour). OTOH, it might be a handicap when it came to the plodding competence required to piece together a health plan or economic policy, where the Democrats might have the upper hand. On balance, he was concerned about the balance of the ticket.

Many observers, not least on ObWi, have remarked that McCain is a gambler, a “hunch player,” and that the naming of the unvetted Palin is just the latest and most conspicuous example of this flaw. It bespeaks (we say) a lack of judgment, the very quality McCain is supposed to exhibit supremely over the untested Obama.

But in the context of American politics, I fear, this analysis is wrong.

Read more

Huck Fever

by publius Mike Huckabee is delivering a fantastic speech. I don’t really understand why McCain didn’t give him more serious consideration if he wanted to win over social conservatives. It’s not merely that he’s a good speaker — he has a compelling populism weaved into it. He was also re-elected as governor and could have … Read more

Tell Us What You Really Think…

by hilzoy Via TPM, what Peggy Noonan, Mike Murphy, and Chuck Todd say about the Sarah Palin pick when they think the mic is off: Transcript: “Mike Murphy: You know, because I come out of the blue swing state governor world: Engler, Whitman, Tommy Thompson, Mitt Romney, Jeb Bush. I mean, these guys — this … Read more

The Next Rounds

by publius This is nothing other than a gut feeling, but I suspect Palin may have survived the early-round knockout that seemed possible just a day or two ago. The AIP story has not checked out. Also, I get the distinct sense in watching the coverage last night that the McCain campaign has successfully pushed … Read more

Osmosis

by hilzoy Every so often, I run across an argument so manifestly absurd that I think: wow, this isn’t just spin and deception, this is performance art. Today I found just such an argument, made by Frank Gaffney: “Speaking of geography, Alaskan territory is also along the trajectory of ballistic missiles launched eastward out of … Read more

Palin And The AIP: Update

by hilzoy While I was out this afternoon, the McCain campaign released records showing that Sarah Palin was not registered as a member of the Alaska Independence Party, though TPM Muckraker found that her husband was. Now the main source for the story that Sarah Palin was a party member is backing off his earlier … Read more

Why It Matters

by publius As Hilzoy correctly pointed out, the real significance of McCain’s Russian Roulette blind VP nomination is that it reflects upon his judgment and illustrates that he will govern on the fly. Yglesias adds another crucial point, and I’ll just quote him: Looking at the Sarah Palin debacle, one is reminded that one of … Read more

John Didn’t Get What He Wanted

by hilzoy From the NYT: “A Republican with ties to the campaign said the team assigned to vet Ms. Palin in Alaska had not arrived there until Thursday, a day before Mr. McCain stunned the political world with his vice-presidential choice. The campaign was still calling Republican operatives as late as Sunday night asking them … Read more

Curiouser And Curiouser

by hilzoy Ben Smith in Politico: “I can’t remember the last introduction to the national scene this rocky, and it gets worse every hour — and even before the investigative reporters have settled in to Anchorage. Just got off the flight to St. Paul to find, in my inbox: a second source confirming her past … Read more

T’s Uncrossed, I’s Undotted

by publius Even assuming the Palin post-selection vetting turns out ok, it’s still looking more like a disaster. It just completely undermines McCain’s strongest argument, which is that Obama lacks the experience necessary to lead. The contradiction is starting to bear some poisonous fruit. Check out (via TPM) this Campbell Brown interview of Tucker Bounds, … Read more

Sarah Palin’s Children

by hilzoy Sarah Palin on her daughter’s pregnancy: “”We have been blessed with five wonderful children who we love with all our heart and mean everything to us. Our beautiful daughter Bristol came to us with news that as parents we knew would make her grow up faster than we had ever planned. We’re proud … Read more