Isn’t This Elitist?

by publius More like a straight-up deception, frankly: Sen. John McCain yesterday offered sweeping rhetoric about the economic plight of working-class Americans, promising immediate assistance even as he spelled out a tax and spending agenda whose benefits are aimed squarely at spurring corporate growth. . . . In yesterday’s speech, McCain played to his maverick … Read more

Judis

by publius I’m a bit underwhelmed by John Judis’s argument that Obama will struggle with working class whites in industrial swing states. I don’t necessarily disagree, but I think he focuses too narrowly on Obama. The fundamental problem is that any Democrat — not just Obama — will struggle with this group of voters in … Read more

Chris Rock on Economics

by publius Megan McArdle has an interesting response to the “irrationality” argument below. She raises several interesting points (including that it’s perhaps not all that irrational), but I want to focus specifically on the observation that liberals act irrationally too. For instance, if it’s irrational for working class people to support Republican economic policies, then … Read more

Thomas Frank – Not Even Close to 100% Wrong

by publius In my last post, I criticized Thomas Frank (and the larger argument he symbolizes) for naively reducing cultural issues to economics. I did, though, unfairly oversimplify his argument. While his theory may not adequately explain why working class people support Republican cultural policies, it’s far more persuasive in explaining why they support Republican … Read more

God and Money in Small Towns

by publius As I’ve already written, I don’t think Obama’s comments are a big deal. In fact, a combination of Feiler Faster and Annie Oakley seem to be shifting the news cycle as we speak. But that said, Obama’s comments do show a bit of ignorance with respect to religion in small towns. To me, … Read more

HUD Secretary Jackson – Human Metaphor

by publius Um, wow. But critics say an equally significant legacy of [Jackson’s] four years as the nation’s top housing officer was gross inattention to the looming housing crisis. . . . During Jackson’s years on the job, foreclosures for loans insured by HUD’s Federal Housing Administration (FHA) have risen and default rates have hit … Read more

Fearing Fear Itself

by publius

Admittedly, Obama’s wording about working class Pennsylvanians was less than ideal. What’s interested me though is not so much his words, but the intensity of the reaction to them. What explains it? It’s not enough to cite “Kinsley Gaffe.” Even assuming he imprudently said what he really thinks (i.e., a Category II Kinsley), the follow-up question is why this particular belief would trigger such an intense backlash. One obvious reason is that it’s an obnoxious way to word his point. The less obvious one, though, is rooted in so-called “liberal self-hatred.”

The best way to understand this phenomenon is to return to the run-up to the Iraq War. Near the beginning of Heads in the Sand, Yglesias spends some time discussing the curious tendency of respected, liberal foreign policy voices to spend their scarce time bashing extreme marginal left-wing views (either imaginary or Ward Churchill-esque). I haven’t read much, so he may go on to explain why anti-war liberals spent so much time attacking the extreme left rather than the imminent war. My theory, though, is that the focus on the margins illustrates liberal guilt and inferiority.

More specifically, I think far too many liberals — particularly those in positions with political or journalistic influence — have deeply internalized conservative criticisms. I suppose these criticisms go back a long way (e.g., Adlai Stevenson), but they seem to have gained greater resonance in the past twenty-five years or so with the rise of Reagan and the 1994 election.

As a result, far too many liberals — particularly circa 2002-03 — had internalized the view that they were snobby, that they were elitist, that they were too anti-religion, or that they were insufficiently patriotic in the eyes of the American public. It’s not so much that they actually were any of these things (at least in any great number). It’s that they feared (deeply feared) being perceived in this way by the American public. To borrow from Dylan, a lot of issues came and went, but the Great Dirty Hippie never escaped their mind.

This curious self-loathing — the shame and guilt associated with perfectly valid and moral views — explains the rush to “condemn the marginal” in the lead up to war. It’s quite telling that, as the country marched off to a horribly misguided war, many liberal skeptics were more concerned with clarifying that they were not mindlessly liberal hippie pacifists. In doing so, they gave considerable political cover to the war advocates.

But the Iraq War is merely one example. Liberal self-loathing is evident in a number of contexts. In fact, you might consider it the theoretical foundation of the “Wanker of the Day.” To me, what truly makes one a wanker is when you care more about avoiding perceptions of hippie-ness than about the substance and politics of the underlying issue.

The 2005 Social Security debate provides another great example of this dynamic. What infuriated me about the media coverage was the rampant wankerousness. I got the sense that individual journalists and pundits — particularly Tim Russert — cared more about proving their non-hippie bona fides than about the substance of an extremely reckless proposed change to the most successful, efficient government program in American history. Rather than looking closely how many people depend upon the Social Security system, they chose to draw a line in the sand and say “here is where I’ll prove I’m not a wild liberal.” In doing so, and similarly to Iraq, people like Russert put the burden of proof on Democrats to explain what (unnecessary) changes they would propose.

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The War Of Ideas

by hilzoy Steve Benen linked to this, um, fascinating article by Michael Medved on why America should never elect an atheist President. He offers three main reasons. The first two are risible: (1) How on earth would an atheist issue a Thanksgiving proclamation? or say the Pledge of Allegiance? and (2) a President needs to … Read more

Something Old, Something New

by publius Steve Benen writes that the Democrats (via Howard Dean) have announced they won’t officially go after McCain’s age. Too Atwater-ish, Dean says. Benen adds, though, that age seems to be a real problem for McCain with the voters: Dean went out of his way yesterday to suggest Dems aren’t going to exploit the … Read more

Hot Off The Press

by publius I just got Yglesias’s book this afternoon. I hope to read it this weekend. I’ve only seen the back cover, but Ezra Klein has a good blurb: “A very serious, thoughtful argument that has never been made in such detail or with such care.” —Ezra Klein, staff writer at The American Prospect

Venezuela Anecdote

This post is NOT by Moe Lane.  I’m using the administrative account instead of my own identity for reasons which I will hope you will understand after you read.  I’m fairly certain that a regular reader could guess who wrote this, but I ask you not to do so in the comments. The company I … Read more

The Costs of Polarizing War

by publius Fred Kagan’s recent screed is hardly worth the effort. It’s not even an argument — it’s an attempt to shore up conservative support by demonizing liberals (or “hyper-sophisticates,” as he calls them). Like many other neoconservatives, his foreign policy vision is conceptually reactionary in that it’s rooted in hippie hatred and ressentiment. To … Read more

Point Sadr

by publius Via Andrew Sullivan, I see that CNN is reporting that Sistani has weighed in and given his blessing to Sadr’s “army.” This is big, but I am unfortunately running to class so can’t do it justice. On first glance, I think this isn’t so much that Sistani is “siding” with Sadr. It’s that … Read more

The Not Ready for Prime Time Candidate

by publius Patrick Ruffini sounds the alarm that McCain’s seeming increase in fundraising masks some very troubling trends: If anyone thinks McCain raising $15 million in March is good news — and crucially, just $4M of it from online and direct mail — then they’re probably part of the problem rather than part of the … Read more

Food Prices

by hilzoy

Paul Krugman in today’s NYT:

“These days you hear a lot about the world financial crisis. But there’s another world crisis under way — and it’s hurting a lot more people.

I’m talking about the food crisis. Over the past few years the prices of wheat, corn, rice and other basic foodstuffs have doubled or tripled, with much of the increase taking place just in the last few months. High food prices dismay even relatively well-off Americans — but they’re truly devastating in poor countries, where food often accounts for more than half a family’s spending.

There have already been food riots around the world. Food-supplying countries, from Ukraine to Argentina, have been limiting exports in an attempt to protect domestic consumers, leading to angry protests from farmers — and making things even worse in countries that need to import food.”

Krugman has a good rundown on the causes of the shortage. (I’d add the Iowa caucuses to the list of culprits — read his article to see why. Yet another reason to actually rotate the first primaries and caucuses away from Iowa and New Hampshire.) But just to provide an illustration that’s all over the papers here in Karachi, but not that widely covered in the US:

” Nearly half of Pakistan’s 160 million people are at risk of going short of food due to a surge in prices, the World Food Programme said on Friday.

The WFP survey covering the year to March showed the number of people deemed “food insecure” had risen 28 percent to 77 million from 60 million in the previous year.

The WFP estimates that anyone consuming less than 2,350 calories per day is below the food security line.

Sahib Haq, an official with the WFP’s Vulnerability Analysis & Mapping Unit in Pakistan, said food prices rose at least 35 percent in the past year compared with an 18 percent rise in minimum wages.

“There is a very big gap between the increase in prices and increase in wages … the purchasing power of the poor has gone down by almost 50 percent,” Haq said. (…)

The price of wheat flour in January was between 24-25 rupees (38 U.S. cents) per kg in three of Pakistan’s four provinces, compared with 15 rupees per kg in January 2007, the WFP said.

Prices have since moderated to around 17 rupees but are expected to shoot up 40 percent or more in the coming months, according to grain industry officials.

“There will be a big crisis,” Haq said. (…)

Prices for rice, vegetables and cooking oil have also risen sharply, and the economic hardships faced by ordinary people played a big part in an election in February that resulted in President Pervez Musharraf’s political allies being thrown out of government.

The new coalition government, which took power last month, raised the support price it pays farmers to buy wheat to ensure adequate supplies, but Haq said the move would result in sharply higher flour prices in months ahead.

The consumer price index, a key indicator of inflation, rose 11.25 percent in February from a year ago, mainly due to food prices.

Due to the previous administration’s reluctance to reduce subsidies for food and fuel, the government is saddled with a widening fiscal deficit. While wanting to alleviate the hardship of the poor, the new government will face some painful economic choices. ($1 = 62.85 Pakistani rupees) (Editing by Simon Cameron-Moore and Alex Richardson)”

Pakistan was not particularly well off before food prices shot up. Its GDP per capita was well below $1,000/year. But half the population facing food insecurity is another thing entirely. Likewise, a decline in purchasing power of 50%. The poor here didn’t have much purchasing power to start with.

And Pakistan is not alone. This is happening all over the developing world. It’s worth keeping an eye on, and making a donation if you have the money.

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Stick With Early American History Buddy

by publius Historian Sean Wilentz: These arguments [that Obama is winning] might be compelling if Obama’s leads were not so reliant on certain eccentricities in the current Democratic nominating process, as well as on some blatantly anti-democratic maneuvers by the Obama campaign. Basketball Analyst Sean Wilentz: Well, look, it’s true that by most objective metrics … Read more

The Structural Foundations of Neoconservatism

by publius

Rather inexplicably, I’m only now reading James Mann’s Rise of the Vulcans: The History of Bush’s War Cabinet (it’s good). If anything, though, Mann’s book has made me somewhat less angry at the individual neoconservatives responsible for our disastrous Iraq policy. My net levels of anger haven’t changed — it’s just that I’ve reallocated some of that anger from these individuals to the American public. Specifically, I’ve realized that neoconservatism is not so much a cause, but a manifestation of larger political movements. Wolfowitz did not lead a Lenin-esque vanguard — he was himself created by underlying structural forces. Thus, blaming the individual neoconservatives lets the American public (and American nationalists in particular) escape their own culpability.

To back up, Mann does a good job laying out the basic intellectual foundations of neoconservatism, including its Straussian influences. Personally, I think the whole “Straussian noble lie” is a conspiracy theory too far. The real influence of Strauss upon modern politics was his Manichean worldview of absolute good and absolute evil. Evil (or tyranny) existed, Strauss believed, and strong action was necessary to confront it.

The Straussian legacy that matters, then, is his absolute certainty in “our” own goodness and in the “Other’s” evilness. That’s the true theoretical underpinning of neoconservatism — everything they espouse follows if you are certain that you are good and certain that you are fighting evil. If arms control treaties or the UN or torture statutes prohibit fighting evil, then they must be put aside. It’s as un-Burkean as you can get. As Andrew Sullivan has explained at length, doubt is a far better foundation for conservatives. [UPDATE: One point I should have stressed better is that the most practical harm of neoconservatism is its extreme over-reliance on military force to solve problems and to pursue goals. This militancy, in turn, is made possible by underlying certainty of one’s correctness.]

But back to the lecture at hand, the neoconservative certainty had a number of practical implications in both the Cold War and beyond. Pre-1989, excessive certainty about the evils of communism provided the foundation of the opposition to Kissinger’s détente (which also provided the impetus for Reagan’s challenge to Ford and his ultimate ascension). Post-Cold War, the same excessive certainty led to the Wolfowitz/Libby worldview that American foreign policy should consciously attempt to maintain a global monopoly on power. Even back in 1992, obstacles such as the UN were being theoretically jettisoned for ad hoc coalitions that some would later call “willing.”

All of these intellectual currents combined in spectacularly disastrous fashion in Iraq, with certainty being their theoretical foundation. The certainty of our own good allowed us to ignore obstacles to our desires (both laws and IAEA reports). Similarly, the certainty of the “Other’s” evilness allowed us to rationalize overthrowing a secular Arab nationalist regime in the name of fighting transnational radical fundamentalists who viewed them as infidels.

It’s all very depressing, and there’s a tendency to blame it all on people like Wolfowitz and Perle. But we can’t blame them alone. Ironically enough, blaming these individuals only makes it easier for the future Wolfowitzes of the world to start new wars. To see where the rotten apples came from, you have to turn back to the tree.

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Good Argument, Wrong Conclusion

by publius David Stafford’s ultimate conclusion is rather vague, but it appears to be that we need more patience with nation building in Iraq. Using Germany as an example, he argues (at least implicitly) that we shouldn’t give up on Iraq because post-war Germany was once a mess too. The problem, however, is that the … Read more

The Surge’s Moral Hazard

by publius Via Juan Cole, al-Hakim’s son had an interesting take on Iran’s role in the latest clashes: “Tehran, by using its positive influence on the Iraqi nation, paved the way for the return of peace to Iraq and the new situation is the result of Iran’s efforts. . .” The larger lesson here is … Read more

Save Penn

by publius The Obama campaign Unions supporting Obama called for Clinton to fire Mark Penn for meeting (in his “independent” capacity as a lobbyist) with Colombian officials to help enact a trade agreement that Clinton opposes. Personally, I think the unions are Obama is on the wrong side of this issue. It’s vital for Obama … Read more

Cert the 9th Circuit Before It Kills Again

by publius

The Ninth Circuit made a potentially big decision yesterday – Fair Housing Council v. Roommates.com — that could significantly increase website companies’ liability for content posted by their users (I’ve posted the decision below the fold as an iPaper). Eugene Volokh and Susan Crawford both have interesting things to say about the case. Volokh thinks it’s both correct and fairly inconsequential. I’m not sure I agree. To me, this case illustrates the stark divide between law-in-theory and law-in-practice. As a purely theoretical matter, I tend to agree with Volokh that the decision isn’t a big deal. But when you consider the practical implications, I think it becomes quite harmful.

First, some background. Let’s say that, in the comments section here, Gary Farber accuses “Cleek” of having poor indie-rock sensibilities. Outraged, Cleek sues Typepad (the host of our blog) for defamation. Typepad, however, didn’t actually say anything about Cleek’s music tastes, it just made blog space available for others to provide comments.

In this case, Cleek would be out of luck because of 47 U.S.C. § 230. Section 230 grants immunity to websites and service providers for content posted by other parties that use their sites. Thus, you can’t sue Yahoo for offensive statements made on chat boards, nor can you sue Google for content that its search engine pulls up. It’s a good law, and it’s been interpreted quite broadly over the years to avoid “chilling” Internet activity. For instance, Blogger wouldn’t exist if the company could have been sued for every random comment on blogspot sites.

With that in mind, the next relevant law is the Fair Housing Act. To be grossly general, it prevents housing brokers from discriminating on the basis of, among other things, sex and family status. Because brokers can’t refuse to sell to families, they generally can’t even ask whether you have children.

Enter Roommates.com. As the name suggests, this site allows people to find and provide housing. To get started, the site’s users must enter information about themselves in various prompts (they were drop-down windows as I understand). Some of these questions involved children and gender (e.g., “Children present” or “Children not present”) that would normally be illegal.

Long story short, Roommates got sued under the Fair Housing Act. Roommates responded that they are immune under Section 230 because its users were the ones who actually entered the information. The court disagreed, finding – and here’s the key – that the structure of the question prompts was itself illegal content creation. In other words, the question prompts themselves were illegal because they required people to answer illegal questions. Critically, the court went on to find that the site’s search engine also lacked immunity because its results were based on these illegally-structured question-and-answers. (This is a very brief description, so read the opinion below the fold if you want more detail).

As a purely theoretical matter, the decision seems harmless enough. As Volokh explains, Roommates was “channel[ing] the speech in likely illegal directions.” Also, as Crawford notes, the logic of the case could be limited to the more egregious facts of this case. If it is so limited, the decision won’t be that big a’deal.

The problem, though, is that the case will create big problems in the real world. Specifically, it will be impossible to cabin the case’s logic to these specific facts. Vague holdings, like children, tend to grow more expensive through time. If the Supreme Court lets the decision stand, I predict that it will significantly increase litigation and chill Internet activity (e.g., sites like Roommates will be much less efficient as prompts become bulletin boards).

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My Gripe With “Living Constitutionalism”

by publius Orin Kerr slyly asks whether Yoo’s torture memo would be accepted under Jack Balkin’s “living constitutionalism” (If you want background, Balkanization has a series of fascinating posts debating this theory). The short response to Kerr, though, is that Balkin’s theory isn’t that “any change is ok.” Kerr’s jab does, however, illustrate a different … Read more

Torture Memo

by publius As you likely know by now, the infamous Yoo torture memo is out (pdf here and here). I doubt it tells us anything we didn’t already know, but I have a few quick points to make in the meantime. First, critics have quite correctly focused on Yoo’s utter disregard for both law and … Read more

FISA Compromise?

by publius Via Steve Benen and TPM, I see that the administration has signaled a willingness to compromise on FISA. For this, we can thank House Democrats and the election of 2006. Although I’ve been frustrated at times with the Democratic majority, it’s important to give credit when credit’s due. If we’re going to critique … Read more

Michael Ledeen . . . Visionary, Warrior Poet

by publius Stupid is a harsh word. I don’t like using it much, but circumstances sometimes demand nothing less. It’s important, though, to understand the precise connotations of the word “stupid.” It’s different from, say, ignorance or even a lack of cognitive ability. Strangely enough, only smart people can be truly stupid. If you ask … Read more