A Look Into the Abyss

by publius I’m off to caucus, but if you want a sense of how complicated this process is, check out this “very easy” guide (pdf) to running a caucus. Can’t imagine how anything could possibly go wrong tonight. Also, the party apparently created a “results hotline” that will speed up the caucus reporting process. It’s … Read more

VT, OH, RI, TX Open Thread!

by hilzoy That was quick: the clock on my computer turned to 7pm, I clicked on MSNBC, and voila! they have called Vermont for Obama. More as it develops. *** UPDATE: CNN and MSNBC have called Rhode Island for Clinton.

It Will Only Get Worse

by hilzoy As all sorts of people have noted, Hillary Clinton has been throwing everything she can think of at Barack Obama, from pictures of him in Somali clothing (as commenters noted, this is of unknown origin) to yesterday’s delightful claim that while she and McCain have a “lifetime of experience” that prepares them to … Read more

Let’s Do The Math

by hilzoy I hate expectations games. I also think they are silly: it’s votes that win elections, and delegates who decide nominations, and expectations are relevant only if they can help one candidate secure enough votes or delegates to actually win. Therefore, in anticipation of today’s primaries, I thought I’d ask the simple question: what … Read more

Gaza

by publius I hesitate wading into this, but recent events in Gaza – both outgoing and incoming attacks – are disturbing and raise important human rights concerns. To be clear, I reject (denounce, condemn, etc.) firing rockets into civilian areas – that’s got to stop. But that said, today’s Post editorial seems to be willfully … Read more

Speaking Of Iraqi Justice…

by hilzoy

This is bad news:

“Two former high-ranking Shiite government officials charged with kidnapping and killing scores of Sunnis were ordered released Monday after prosecutors dropped the case. The abrupt move renewed concerns about the willingness of Iraq’s leaders to act against sectarianism and cast doubts on U.S. efforts to build an independent judiciary.

The collapse of the trial stunned American and Iraqi officials who had spent more than a year assembling the case, which they said included a wide array of evidence.

“This shows that the judicial system in Iraq is horribly broken,” said a U.S. legal adviser who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to discuss the case publicly. “And it sends a terrible signal: If you are Shia, then no worries; you can do whatever you want and nothing is going to happen to you.” (…)

The trial of Hakim al-Zamili, a former deputy health minister, and Brig. Gen. Hamid Hamza Alwan Abbas al-Shamari, who led the agency’s security force, was the most public airing of evidence that Baghdad hospitals had become death zones for Sunnis seeking treatment there. The officials, followers of anti-American Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr, the leader of the feared Mahdi Army militia, were accused of organizing and supporting the murder of Sunni doctors; the use of ambulances to transfer weapons for Shiite militia members; and the torture and kidnapping of Sunni patients. (…)

Eventually the panel announced that the trial would begin on Feb. 19, but three hours after it was scheduled to begin, a spokesman for the Iraqi court system, Judge Abdul Satar Ghafur al-Bayrkdar, said the case would be delayed until March 2 because witnesses had failed to appear.

American officials, however, said evidence had emerged that one of the trial judges had promised to find the defendants not guilty and that a senior judge had ordered him to be replaced.

Witness intimidation has been one of the most significant concerns in the trial.

Many of the witnesses agreed to testify only because they believed their names would be kept secret, but their names were leaked and supporters of the former Health Ministry officials threatened to kill them or their families if they didn’t recant their testimony, American officials said.”

It just goes on, and it just gets worse. Eventually the charges are dropped and these men were set free.

If that doesn’t depress you enough …

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Tomorrow in Texas

by publius A quick reminder – as you watch the Texas returns tomorrow night, remember that it will be virtually meaningless to say that either candidate “won.” (I’m lookin’ at you Wolf Blitzer). That will remain an unknowable question for some time. Delegates, after all, are ultimately the name of the game. And there’s no … Read more

Ignorance

by hilzoy

John McCain, man of science:

“At a town hall meeting Friday in Texas, Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., declared that “there’s strong evidence” that thimerosal, a mercury-based preservative that was once in many childhood vaccines, is responsible for the increased diagnoses of autism in the U.S. — a position in stark contrast with the view of the medical establishment.”

I have criticized Jake Tapper, who wrote the ABC new piece, but he did the right thing here by linking to a lot of evidence that McCain is just plain wrong. That last link is particularly interesting: a study has shown that diagnoses of autism continued to rise even after thimerosal was removed from most vaccines, which makes it pretty unlikely that thimerosal is responsible for that increase.

This matters. Measles can have serious complications:

“Measles itself is unpleasant, but the complications are dangerous. Six to 20 percent of the people who get the disease will get an ear infection, diarrhea, or even pneumonia. One out of 1000 people with measles will develop inflammation of the brain, and about one out of 1000 will die.”

As I write, there’s an outbreak of measles in San Diego. None of the children who got measles had been immunized. Those kids did not decide for themselves to buy into a discredited theory about the dangers of vaccines: their parents did. Moreover, while infants are generally protected against measles by maternal antibodies for their first 6-8 months, they are not vaccinated against measles until they are 12-15 months old. This means that there are a few months when they are susceptible to measles. This window would be a lot less dangerous if every child was vaccinated, since these kids would never encounter children who got measles because their parents were idiots.

Mark Kleiman points out that McCain has also advocated discontinuing methadone after 6 months, which also flies in the face of available research. And, moving from science to other issues, the WSJ notes that McCain has apparently disowned his own Social Security policy:

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Ashamed

by hilzoy Owen West, an ex-Marine who served in Iraq: “As a Marine, I was taught never to leave a comrade-in-arms behind on the battlefield. But that’s exactly what the State Department is doing to men and women who’ve sacrificed everything to help our troops – our Iraqi interpreters. When I last left Iraq 12 … Read more

Misogyny Day At The Washington Post (Part 2)

by hilzoy

This time, it’s Linda Hirschman:

“And there we have one of the most puzzling conundrums of the 2008 Democratic contests. Black voters of all socioeconomic classes are voting for the black candidate. Men are voting for the male candidate regardless of race or class. But even though this is also a year with the first major female presidential candidate, women are split every way they can be. They’re the only voting bloc not voting their bloc.

For the Clinton campaign, this is devastating. A year ago, chief strategist Mark Penn proclaimed that the double-X factor was going to catapult his candidate all the way to the White House. Instead, the women’s vote has fragmented. The only conclusion: American women still aren’t strategic enough to form a meaningful political movement directed at taking power. Will they ever be?

Penn was right about the importance of the women’s vote. About 57 percent of the voters in the Democratic primaries so far have been women. As of Feb. 12, Clinton had a lead of about seven percentage points over Obama among them (24 points among white women). But the Obama campaign reached out to the fair sex, following Clinton’s announcement of women-oriented programs with similar ones within a matter of weeks. I can imagine the strategists for the senator from Illinois thinking, “What’s that song in Verdi’s ‘Rigoletto’?” Women are fickle.

Turns out it’s true.”

As a feminist who supports Obama, I think I can speak to this one. First, am I fickle? No. I would count as fickle only if I had at some point made a commitment to Hillary Clinton, or to something else that implied that I should support her, and had then reneged. Then Mark Penn, or whoever, could legitimately say: we had a deal. If I put up a good female candidate with strong positions on women’s issues, you would vote for her. But you welshed. You are fickle. — I have made no such deal. (See below.) So I don’t accept this characterization.

Second, does the fact that I and other women support Obama mean that “American women still aren’t strategic enough to form a meaningful political movement directed at taking power”? No. The reason is not that we’re not strategic enough. That would be true only if we actually wanted to “form a political movement directed at taking power”, as women, and were dumb enough to think that supporting Obama was the best way to do that. Speaking for myself, I have no such goal.

I am, as I said, a feminist. By that I mean first, that I think that women should be given the same rights and opportunities as men, and should be treated with the same respect; and second, that this is not just something I affirm in the abstract, but that I am committed to trying to work to achieve. This is completely different from “forming a political movement directed at taking power.” I do not want women to exercise power over men per se, or for men to exercise power over women, or anything of that kind. I want everyone to have as rich a set of opportunities as they can possibly have, and for everyone to be treated with equal respect. That is a very, very different thing.

If my main goal in life were to see women exercising power, then I suppose I would have to support any female candidate for any office who had any chance of winning. I might get away with not supporting Lenora Fulani in her hopeless campaigns, but I should certainly have supported Liddy Dole, despite the fact that I disagree with her on most important policy questions. But because getting women — any women — into power is not my main goal in life, the fact that I supported first Bill Bradley and then (after he dropped out) Al Gore does not show that I am fickle or insufficiently strategic.

I do, of course, believe that if women actually had the same opportunities as men, we would have had a female President long ago. I also believe that it would be a wonderful thing if a woman were elected President, both because it would make the idea of having a woman President much more normal, and because it would prove to people (for instance, to girls) that women can and should aim as high as they like. For this reason, given a choice between two candidates who were otherwise basically similar, one of whom was a woman and one of whom was a straight white cisgendered* man, I would vote for the woman. However, it matters that the two candidates be comparable: that one not be significantly better than the other apart from gender. If the straight white man was significantly better, then I would vote for him.

This might be due to straightforwardly feminist concerns. Given a choice between a woman like Liddy Dole, who I thought was unlikely to advance women’s rights in any way other than by being a woman President, and a straight white man who I thought would really work hard to expand the opportunities available to all women, and supposing this to be the most salient difference between them, I would vote for the man, and would do so because I am a feminist. I think that any feminist would have to think that other things equal, it would be great to have a woman President. But being a woman President is not the only thing, or even the most important thing, that a President can do to advance the interests of women. And that means that sometimes a feminist should vote against a female candidate strictly on feminist grounds.

Besides that, though, feminism is not my only serious political commitment. If, for instance, I had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Russ Feingold, I would vote for Feingold because while I trust both Clinton and Feingold to work to advance the opportunities available to women, I trust Feingold’s judgment more on matters of war and peace, civil liberties and open government, and those things matter a lot. Hillary Clinton voted for the Iraq War Resolution. Even leaving aside the obvious fact that the war has hardly been a net plus for Iraqi women, is being a feminist supposed to involve not caring about the destruction of a country and the deaths of hundreds of thousands of people? Is it supposed to involve not wanting to do everything in my power to make sure that nothing like that happens again? Is it even supposed to involve thinking that avoiding future wars, though important, matters less than electing a woman to the Presidency? I can’t see why.

Finally, I am, as I said, committed to trying to help ensure that everyone has as rich a set of opportunities as possible, and that everyone is treated with equal respect. Sexism is one of the things that stands in the way of that goal, but unfortunately it’s not the only one. That’s why, in my hypothetical examples above, I specified that other things equal, I would vote for a woman over a straight white cisgendered man: because men of color, gay men, and transmen face their own barriers to the Presidency, and those barriers need to be taken down as well.

The idea that feminists (or women) ought to vote for Clinton has always seemed to me to involve serious confusion on this point. It seems to me that if I am a feminist because I think that everyone should have as many opportunities open to them as possible and be treated with full respect, and if I think that for groups who have been historically excluded from high office, seeing one of their own elected President would encourage them to reach for the stars while helping others to regard the idea of members of that group holding high office as completely normal, then I have the same reason to hope that an African American is elected President as I do to hope that a woman is. And that, of course, means that the very same commitments that make me want a woman to be elected President also make me want an African American to be elected President.

Obviously, this means that the commitments that make me a feminist make me think that if either Clinton or Obama is elected President, one set of walls will fall, and that that is a wonderful thing. But they do not give me a reason to prefer seeing a woman beat an African American, or vice versa. They would, of course, if I were committed not to everyone’s enjoying as many opportunities as possible, and to everyone being treated with dignity, but only to securing opportunities and respect for women, or for people like me. But I’m not. And if Linda Hirschman or Mark Penn or Hillary Clinton was mistaken on that point, or thinks that by caring about injustice in all its forms I show myself to be “fickle”, that’s their problem.

I recently got an email from someone who had been to an Obama rally, and who was struck by the number of African American families who had come to that rally with their children. The rally was in the evening. Many of the children were, apparently, quite young, and they were probably up past their bedtimes. But their parents had brought them anyways, so that they could see history being made. My correspondent found the sight of so many black parents bringing their children to see a black man who might become President incredibly moving, and so did I. And the reason I was moved has everything to do with the reasons I’m a feminist.

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Misogyny Day At The Washington Post (Part 1)

by hilzoy

About once a month, I read something that makes me think: this just might be the dumbest thing ever written. Usually, it isn’t, of course. But this piece in today’s Washington Post might be the genuine article:

“”Women ‘Falling for Obama,’ ” the story’s headline read. Elsewhere around the country, women were falling for the presidential candidate literally. Connecticut radio talk show host Jim Vicevich has counted five separate instances in which women fainted at Obama rallies since last September. And I thought such fainting was supposed to be a relic of the sexist past, when patriarchs forced their wives and daughters to lace themselves into corsets that cut off their oxygen.

I can’t help it, but reading about such episodes of screaming, gushing and swooning makes me wonder whether women — I should say, “we women,” of course — aren’t the weaker sex after all. Or even the stupid sex, our brains permanently occluded by random emotions, psychosomatic flailings and distraction by the superficial. Women “are only children of a larger growth,” wrote the 18th-century Earl of Chesterfield. Could he have been right?”

That’s near the beginning. It just gets worse and worse and worse, without the slightest hint of irony, until it reaches its finale:

“I am perfectly willing to admit that I myself am a classic case of female mental deficiencies. I can’t add 2 and 2 (well, I can, but then what?). I don’t even know how many pairs of shoes I own. I have coasted through life and academia on the basis of an excellent memory and superior verbal skills, two areas where, researchers agree, women consistently outpace men. (An evolutionary just-so story explains this facility of ours: Back in hunter-gatherer days, men were the hunters and needed to calculate spear trajectories, while women were the gatherers and needed to remember where the berries were.) I don’t mind recognizing and accepting that the women in history I admire most — Sappho, Hildegard of Bingen, Elizabeth I, George Eliot, Margaret Thatcher — were brilliant outliers.

The same goes for female fighter pilots, architects, tax accountants, chemical engineers, Supreme Court justices and brain surgeons. Yes, they can do their jobs and do them well, and I don’t think anyone should put obstacles in their paths. I predict that over the long run, however, even with all the special mentoring and role-modeling the 21st century can provide, the number of women in these fields will always lag behind the number of men, for good reason.

So I don’t understand why more women don’t relax, enjoy the innate abilities most of us possess (as well as the ones fewer of us possess) and revel in the things most important to life at which nearly all of us excel: tenderness toward children and men and the weak and the ability to make a house a home. (Even I, who inherited my interior-decorating skills from my Bronx Irish paternal grandmother, whose idea of upgrading the living-room sofa was to throw a blanket over it, can make a house a home.) Then we could shriek and swoon and gossip and read chick lit to our hearts’ content and not mind the fact that way down deep, we are . . . kind of dim.”

Note to Charlotte Allen: if you find yourself having to argue that you are an idiot in order to make your case, you might consider the possibility that an idiot like yourself is unlikely to get much right about women, or for that matter about anything. You might therefore ask yourself what earthly purpose it serves to have idiots like the one you take yourself to be publishing their thoughts. Is your gig at the Post noticeably different from those game shows in which we get to watch people humiliating themselves on national TV? If so, how?

***

A few more particular points. First, talking about what “we” women (or we liberals/conservatives, or whatever) is almost always just intellectual laziness. Unless the claim is obviously true (e.g., “we human beings are mammals”), the appropriate response is: what do you mean “we”, white man?

Second, romance novels* (update below the fold) are not “books”, as that word is normally used. They are either tools for relaxation or the female equivalent of porn. They should therefore be compared not to War and Peace, but to either Ultimate Sudoku or the Hustler centerfold. Personally, I think they come out fine in either comparison, but that’s probably because I’m just a dumb woman.

Third, the idea that brain size has anything to do with intelligence was disproven ages ago (at least, if we’re talking about the normal variation in human brain size, as opposed to the difference between human and planarian brains.)

Fourth: doesn’t the Post have editors whose job is to prevent this sort of trainwreck? If so, the editor responsible for allowing this column to waste perfectly good space in the Washington Post should be fired.

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The Democratic Candidates And Civil Liberties

by hilzoy Jeffrey Rosen in the Washington Post: “IF Barack Obama wins in November, we could have not only our first president who is an African-American, but also our first president who is a civil libertarian. Throughout his career, Mr. Obama has been more consistent than Hillary Clinton on issues from the Patriot Act to … Read more

Lie Down With Dogs, Get Up With Fleas

by hilzoy Uh oh. Looks like more John Hagee trouble for John McCain: “A March 7, 1996, article (accessed via the Nexis database) in the San Antonio Express-News reported that Hagee was going to “meet with black religious leaders privately at an unspecified future date to discuss comments he made in his newsletter about a … Read more

Denouncing And Rejecting

by hilzoy

As a number of people have pointed out, it’s very odd that people like Tim Russert assume that Barack Obama is under some sort of obligation to denounce (and refuse reject!) Louis Farrakhan, but John McCain can accept the support of John Hagee, who has said that “I believe that the Hurricane Katrina was, in fact, the judgment of God against the city of New Orleans,” without anyone but us lefty bloggers so much as batting an eye. And Hagee wasn’t the only evangelical given to hateful comments with whom McCain campaigned during this week alone:

“McCain also campaigned in Ohio this week with Rod Parsley, a television evangelist who leads a group called the Centre for Moral Clarity. McCain called Parsley — who has suggested that adulterers should be prosecuted and compared members of the abortion-rights group Planned Parenthood to Nazis — a “spiritual guide”.”

I think Glenn Greenwald is right: it’s about race.

“White evangelical Ministers are free to advocate American wars based on Biblical mandates, rant hatefully against Islam, and argue that natural disasters occur because God hates gay people. They are still fit for good company, an important and cherished part of our mainstream American political system. The entire GOP establishment is permitted actively to lavish them with praise and court their support without the slightest backlash or controversy. Both George Bush and Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert sent formal greetings to the 2006 gathering of Hagee’s group.

By contrast, black Muslim ministers like Farrakhan, or even black Christian ministers like Rev. Jeremiah Wright, are held with deep suspicion, even contempt. McCain is free to hug and praise the Rev. Hagees of the world, but Obama is required to prove over and over and over and over that he does not share the more extreme views of black Ministers.”

But it’s even stranger than that. The two cases are different, and different in ways that ought to make McCain have to denounce Hagee a lot more than Obama had to denounce Farrakhan. Before Farrakhan ever announced his support for Obama, Obama was on record denouncing his views, and in particular his antisemitism. Obama did not solicit Farrakhan’s support, appear with Farrakhan, or put out press releases announcing it.

If someone vile — some white supremacist, for instance — endorsed John McCain without McCain having solicited the endorsement, and after McCain had criticized that person extensively, that would be analogous to Farrakhan endorsing Obama. I think it would be insane to demand of politicians that they denounce anyone who endorses them under such circumstances. Perhaps if there were some unclarity about their views, a statement would be useful. But in a case in which it’s perfectly clear that the candidate in question flatly disagrees with the person who has endorsed him, I can’t see that that’s necessary.

But Hagee’s endorsement of McCain wasn’t like that. McCain didn’t just happen to be endorsed by Hagee; he appeared with Hagee at a joint press conference when that endorsement was made:

“”I’m very honored by Pastor John Hagee’s endorsement today,” McCain said at a news conference. “He has been the staunchest leader of our Christian evangelical movement in many areas, but especially, most especially, his close ties and advocacy for the freedom and independence of the state of Israel.””

That’s very different. The real analog to Hagee’s endorsement of McCain, I think, is not Farrakhan’s endorsement of Obama; it’s the flap over Donnie McClurkin, the gospel singer who ” has detailed his struggle with gay tendencies and vowed to battle “the curse of homosexuality,””, and who was invited to participate in some Obama events in South Carolina. The comparison is instructive.

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