Jose Padilla And Lowell Jacoby

by hilzoy Yesterday, Jose Padilla was found guilty: “A federal jury convicted former “enemy combatant” Jose Padilla on Thursday of terrorism conspiracy charges, handing a courthouse victory to the Bush administration, which had originally sought to imprison him without a criminal trial. Padilla was arrested in 2002 for allegedly plotting a radiological “dirty bomb” attack, … Read more

Priorities: Compare And Contrast

by hilzoy Two stories that I just happened to read one after the other. One: “Korean War veteran Nyles Reed, 75, opened an envelope last week to learn a Purple Heart had been approved for injuries he sustained as a Marine on June 22, 1952. But there was no medal. Just a certificate and a … Read more

[I Know When] Somebody’s Lying

by publius Our Attorney General, July 24: When we got there, I would just say that Mr. Ashcroft did most of the talking. We were there maybe five minutes, five or six minutes. Mr. Ashcroft talked about the legal issues in a lucid form. Today’s Post: Then-Attorney General John D. Ashcroft was “feeble,” “barely articulate” … Read more

Giuliani’s Foreign Policy

by hilzoy I finally read Rudy Giuliani’s (ghostwriter’s) Foreign Affairs piece, days after everyone else, and boy, is it bad. I won’t bother to rehearse the criticisms made by others — Matt Yglesias (“a chilling vision of a world where peace can only be achieved through American military domination”), James Joyner (“I must concur in … Read more

Slaughter the Fatted Calf!

by hilzoy John Thullen has returned! We were all so terribly worried — not about what might have happened to him; I, for one, assumed that he was amusing vast multitudes face to face, or at least doing something involving long cool drinks with paper parasols of various colors, and little plastic monkeys with maraschino … Read more

Why We Need Universal Health Insurance

by hilzoy It’s not just the people who die because they can’t get medical care, or get much sicker than they need to because they can get health care only through emergency rooms, and emergency rooms do not manage long-term, chronic diseases like diabetes. It’s not just the people who die or, like Mark Kleiman, … Read more

The Petraeus Report: Update

by hilzoy The plot thickens: “Senior congressional aides said yesterday that the White House has proposed limiting the much-anticipated appearance on Capitol Hill next month of Gen. David H. Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan C. Crocker to a private congressional briefing, suggesting instead that the Bush administration’s progress report on the Iraq war should be delivered … Read more

Dear God

by hilzoy I’ve noticed a horrifying trend in my posts about Iraq over the years. I normally don’t post on particular horrible episodes: a suicide bomber, a car bomb, and so forth. This isn’t because I don’t think they’re important: I do. It’s just because I couldn’t post on all of them, and if I … Read more

So Long, Farewell, Auf Wiedersehen, Goodbye

by hilzoy From the WSJ: Karl Rove is resigning. “If that quinella pays off, however, Mr. Rove will have to savor it from somewhere other than his West Wing office. He’s resigning effective Aug. 31 — 14 years after he began working with Mr. Bush on his campaign for Texas governor, 10 years after they … Read more

Best Morning Ever

by publius Rove resigns. In other news, the Death Star reportedly exploded. Frodo “ring mission” deemed successful. Led Zeppelin reunites. Lily Allen reportedly dating local pseudonymous blogger, citing Obsidian Wings as major artistic inspiration. Residents say hundred dollar bills raining down from sky. Excessive sunshine and mirth reported in area town. Hordes of children playing … Read more

Let’s Tell The Future

by hilzoy More bad news about Iraq: “U.S. troops could withdraw from Iraq within months, but if Iraq’s government remains politically deadlocked, it probably would collapse and the nation would descend into chaos, a war game organized by the U.S. Army concluded earlier this month. The war gamers, following a scenario created by their Army … Read more

The Road Not Taken

by hilzoy This isn’t news, though it’s still infuriating: “Statements from the White House, including from the president, in support of Afghanistan were resolute, but behind them was a halting, sometimes reluctant commitment to solving Afghanistan’s myriad problems, according to dozens of interviews in the United States, at NATO headquarters in Brussels and in Kabul, … Read more

Around the Horn – Weekend Edition

by publius Some quick links/points from around the Internets this weekend: (1) Over at the always-awesome American Footprints, I asked in the comments whom we should be “rooting” for in the intra-Shiite civil war (they can’t all lose unfortunately). Eric Martin responded with this thoughtful post, which weighs the various pros and cons of each … Read more

Obama’s Five Point Plan

In a recent discussion with hilzoy, the subject of Barack Obama’s recent speech about GWOT/GSAVE came up, and since I am supposed to be providing some commentary from a nominally right-leaning perspective, I thought I’d provide some analysis here. Yes, I’m late to the party, but I’ll beg certain indulgences, as occupied Narn is not always the first place news stops on its voyage around the galaxy so I’m often going to address certain topics after a delay or without necessarily having access to the latest information. I’ll put the rest below the fold, so those who are not interested can easily skip on past.

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A Shining City Upon A Hill

by publius I know Zimbabwe has bigger problems, but I thought I would at least note this without further comment: Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe on Friday signed into law the controversial Interception of Communications Bill, which gives his government the authority to eavesdrop on phone and Internet communications and read physical mail. The legislation has … Read more

A Few Teensy Mistakes …

by hilzoy

This is a post I’ve considered writing a couple of times in the past. I’ve always refrained, because it will take me into a territory that either is, or is too close for comfort to, contempt, and because it sounds too much like crowing about the fact that I was right on Iraq. I don’t think it is, really: it’s about a particular set of reasons for being wrong, and about what it means that people who were wrong for those reasons are respected public intellectuals. Still: the fact that I’m writing it now may reflect the fact that I’m exhausted. But what the heck:

There is, by now, a whole genre of mea culpas written by people who support Iraq. Some are more thoughtful than others. But some are, to me, frankly puzzling. Because what the writer uses to explain his mistake is not some simple factual error, but a whole cast of mind that I would have thought would be even more embarrassing than getting even a large policy question badly wrong.

It’s important to note, here, that I’m talking not about ordinary citizens, but about people who are paid for their opinions about political questions. (I’m also talking only about people I believe to be sincere — the Bill Kristols of the world offer no mea culpas because they have no sense of shame.) Ordinary citizens have a real responsibility to try to get things right, and I do not want to minimize that responsibility. But there are real limits on the expertise that we can expect ordinary citizens to develop about things like the likely effects of an invasion of Iraq, its history and political culture, and so forth. One way in which we try to compensate for these limits is to have people who are paid to think about, and to publish, their opinions on questions of policy and politics. These people’s responsibility for understanding the issues they write about is much, much greater than ordinary citizens’, just as doctors have a much greater responsibility to keep up with the medical literature than I do. A doctor is the expert I go to see when I need medical advice, and I go to see a doctor precisely because I can expect him or her to know a lot more than I do. People who are paid for their opinions on questions like the advisability of invading Iraq have a similar obligation. And that’s what makes the particular subset of mea culpas I’m talking about so perplexing.

As a sort of warm-up exercise, consider Rod Dreher’s account of the changes the war in Iraq caused in his political views:

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Nobody Puts Eddie in a Corner

by publius Man o man, the higher-ups at AT&T will not be happy about this. It’s not exactly good ammo for the net neutrality PR wars: Lyrics sung by Pearl Jam criticizing President Bush during a concert last weekend in Chicago should not have been censored during a Webcast by AT&T, a company spokesman said … Read more

The Romney Children’s Brave Service

by publius AP: Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney on Wednesday defended his five sons’ decision not to enlist in the military, saying they’re showing their support for the country by “helping me get elected.” Apocalypse Now (slightly revised): The opening scene : THE END BY THE DOORS This is the end Beautiful friend This is … Read more

YearlyKos — Good or Bad for Progressive Blogs?

by publius Watching YearlyKos from afar, it was rather amusing to see perennial blog targets like Matt Bai and Mike Allen fraternizing with the blogofascists. And though I generally loathe trite “don’t sell out” slogans (and the people who use them), I do wonder whether YearlyKos-type events are good or bad for progressive blogs’ “edge.” … Read more

Where’s the Beef

by publius I was going to write about Harold Ford and Martin O’Malley’s odd op-ed calling for a centrist agenda while saying virtually nothing about what they mean, or what exactly is so “centrist” about it. But Steve Benen says everything I was going to say and more. As Steve writes, “If there’s a point … Read more

Why FISA Matters

by publius

Looking ahead to the next round of FISA debates, Democrats and civil liberties advocates need to rethink their public relations strategy. In fact, this recommendation applies beyond FISA to the larger civil liberties debate. It’s not enough to say that “Administration Policy X” threatens civil rights, the public needs to understand in a very concrete way why those rights matter. My non-empirically informed sense is that much of the public just doesn’t feel in their gut that these protections benefit them.

The reason, though, that these rights do matter — the reason we care about them — is quite simple. The rights protect people from abuse of power. Accordingly, the FISA amendment is a bad idea because the executive branch will inevitably abuse these new sweepingly-broad surveillance powers. It’s a lesson as old as written history — unchecked authority is eventually used for improper reasons. Indeed, it’s the theoretical rationale of our entire constitutional structure.

To be sure, not every abuse of authority is as extreme as, say, actions in Nazi Germany. And people throw around unhelpful terms sometimes. But the unlikely probability of the most extreme abuses shouldn’t distract from the very real — and inevitable — abuse that will come if this law stays on the books. To understand what I mean, just look at the origins of FISA.

People should understand that FISA didn’t arise out of abstract policy debates. Congress enacted FISA in response to decades of well-documented, egregious abuses of secret, unchecked surveillance authority (generally in the name of fighting the enemy, who was then Communism). This long sordid historical record can and should inform the modern debate. We don’t have to rely solely on predictions or abstract balancing tests. We’ve already seen what happens when secret executive agencies exercise unchecked surveillance powers. More to the point, unless someone knows how to change the nature of man, we can’t (and shouldn’t) rely on an administration’s goodness or trustworthiness to exercise broad power properly. (On that note, few presidents have made Edmund Burke look better than George W. Bush).

In that spirit of illustrating “why it matters,” below is a list of some of the abuses that Congress documented in the mid-1970s — the same abuses that led to FISA. These abuses came to light during a Watergate-era Senate committee investigation regarding intelligence operations. Named after its Chairman, the “Church Committee” brought these abuses of power to light.

I’m getting this information from Peter Swire’s 2004 George Washington Law Review article (pdf), “The System of Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Law.” (I learned about it via Orin Kerr’s Computer Crime casebook). For the most part, I cut and paste large pieces of Swire’s article. (These quotes may differ slightly from the SSRN pdf above because I’m quoting from Lexis, which has the final edited version). On to the article.

To begin with the big picture, the Church Committee reached the following conclusion after reviewing this sorry history (and this is a quote from the Committee Report):

The tendency of intelligence activities to expand beyond their initial scope is a theme which runs through every aspect of our investigative findings. Intelligence collection programs naturally generate ever-increasing demands for new data. And once intelligence has been collected, there are strong pressures to use it against the target.

Swire goes on to explain that surveillance information was used as a weapon against political opponents:

The Church Committee documented that: “Each administration from Franklin D. Roosevelt’s to Richard Nixon’s permitted, and sometimes encouraged, government agencies to handle essentially political intelligence.” Wiretaps and other surveillance methods were used on members of Congress, Supreme Court Justices, and numerous mainstream and nonmainstream political figures. The level of political surveillance and intervention grew over time. By 1972, tax investigations at the IRS were targeted at protesters against the Vietnam War, and “the political left and a large part of the Democratic party [were] under surveillance.”

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About Those Guns

by publius One quick point on the Post’s “lost guns” story that I referenced in the last post. It pretty much speaks for itself, and there’s nothing good about it. But, it’s worth keeping this story in mind next time someone presents evidence of an Iranian-produced gun in the hands of an insurgent as evidence … Read more

No Deal

by publius One of the most interesting questions surrounding the FISA bill is what to make of the botched deal between House Dems and McConnell (Mike, not Mitch). The deal was apparently hammered out and the parties came together in sweet Broderian harmony. But then the White House nixed it and frightened the Democrats into … Read more

Iraq’s Security Situation

by G’Kar In September General David Petraeus will present a report to Congress regarding the state of the war in Iraq. This report will probably be a major factor in what the United States chooses to do in Iraq in 2008 and beyond, although political factors such as the 2008 presidential elections and major surprises … Read more

FISA Kabuki

by publius Of the many problems surrounding the new FISA bill (soon to be law), the most frustrating one is that we (the public) didn’t really have a chance to debate it. And I mean this in two different respects. First, and most obviously, Congress railroaded the bill through too quickly for meaningful debate. But … Read more

Inside The Telecom Policy Cartel — A Case Study

by publius

Writing from YearlyKos’ FCC panel, Yglesias sees visions of progressive telecom reform:

This is, in my view, one of the aspects of the netroots that gets most overlooked in the media coverage I tend to see. This nexus of issues is an area where until very recently the conversation was entirely dominated by interested corporations. There was no equivalent to labor unions or environmental groups to anything else in civil society to [weigh] in. And now there is!

This is an important point. As public choice theory predicts, the regulatory and legislative agenda has indeed been dominated by the big organized interests with money at stake. There’s nothing wrong with that per se, but it’s a one-sided battle. There’s not really an organized, well-funded interest group that can balance the Madisonian equation. Even the net neutrality debate, for instance, initially flared up because big content companies had an interest in it.

Thus, the fundamental problem is not that the telecom lobby is . . . evil [Dr. Evil voice], but that it’s overwhelmingly better funded and organized. Indeed, DC boasts a veritable army of smart but hackish think-tank professors and analysts who feed policymakers with favorable studies. These studies, in turn, are cited to justify favorable legislation or regulation. Some studies are legit. Many aren’t. The problem, though, is a lack of think-tank funded economists and analysts to examine these papers critically. (That’s why CAP and New America are so promising.).

Today, I want to explain in some detail how this game works by looking at a recent (and short) paper (pdf) released by Scott Wallsten of the Progress and Freedom Foundation (PFF). It’s a stunningly misleading paper designed to justify continued deregulation in an important part of the telecom market (special access). For your reference, Wallsten is an old AEI guy, and PFF is funded by the big boys. Again, there’s nothing necessarily wrong with that, it’s just something that should be understood going in.

Before I dive into the details (and it gets wonky), here’s the quick summary. (1) The FCC opened (or “refreshed”) an important proceeding that could result in regulations that would hurt the Bell companies. (2) Wallsten’s Bell-subsidized paper appears a few weeks before comments are due arguing for the position the Bells will take. (3) All the Bells in their FCC comments will undoubtedly cite this paper as evidence that deregulation in this sector has worked great. (4) The FCC will use these citations to justify inaction or continued deregulation. This is how the game works. There’s nothing necessarily wrong with it, but if the paper is wrong, it needs to be critiqued. At the very least, it needs to be critically examined. Sometimes the FCC does the wrong thing not because it’s corrupt, but because only one side of the debate is providing any information. (Same problem in Congress).

As I said, this will get complicated but I’ll do my best to keep it simple. The issue — “special access” — is incredibly important and, after the jump, I’ll explain why Wallsten’s hackish paper is so seriously flawed.

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Pardon Our Progress

by publius Sorry for the slow summer days this week. Hilzoy is out of the country for the Justin Timberlake world tour, and I’m preparing for classes and dealing with a few other things. It’s a perfect storm of sorts, though Sebastian and G’Kar have kept the ship afloat. I’m not sure if these updates … Read more

Overfederalization

by G’Kar The collapse of a bridge in Minnesota counts as a tragedy to be sure. But I cannot help but wonder what point there is to President Bush addressing the nation about a relatively minor accident [See update below] (more people die in traffic accidents). What benefits does his getting on TV and saying … Read more

Power-ship Has Its Privileges

by publius Kudos to the House for passing a bill that not only provides health insurance for millions more working class children, but takes the necessary steps to fund it. And boy, if this opening sentence (from the Post) doesn’t drive the stake through the heart of the Nader Vampire, nothing does: The House yesterday … Read more

The UN acts on Darfur?!?

–by Sebastian According to this Guardian story, the UN may finally be acting on the Darfur genocide: The UN vote will dispatch a hybrid force of 19,555 UN and African Union (AU) soldiers and more than 6,000 police from around the world. They are due to take over from a largely ineffectual 7,000-strong AU force … Read more