And Speaking Of Asylums…

by hilzoy Via Juan Cole, an article I somehow missed: “Voters should oust congressional Republican leaders because U.S. foreign policy is delaying the second coming of Jesus Christ, according to a evangelical preacher trying to influence closely contested political races. K.A. Paul railed against the war in Iraq on Sunday before a crowd of 1,000 … Read more

Excuse Me?

by hilzoy The alleged party of limited government has come up with another fascinating use for my tax dollars: telling adults not to have sex! “The federal government’s “no sex without marriage” message isn’t just for kids anymore. Now the government is targeting unmarried adults up to age 29 as part of its abstinence-only programs, … Read more

Just A Note

by hilzoy It’s a week before the election. Things have been ugly, and they’re probably going to get uglier. That means that I’m probably going to find myself writing more of the stories I’ve been writing recently: stories about this or that appalling new ad/statement/whatever coming out of the Republican party. That being the case, … Read more

Sebastian Mallaby And Trust

by hilzoy Atrios points to an op ed by Sebastian Mallaby, about the importance of trust, and the consequences of abusing it: “The boom of the 1990s boosted trust in business; the 2001 terrorist attacks boosted trust in government. But CEOs and politicians abused these gifts with scandals and incompetence. Such is the cost of … Read more

Project Valour IT

by Andrew I know this isn’t what readers come here for, so I’ll be brief and ask your indulgence on this one. Project Valour IT is a fund drive intended to raise money for troops injured in Iraq and Afghanistan, purchasing voice-operated laptops for troops with hand and arm injuries or amputations. If anyone has … Read more

Agendas — With Feet!

by hilzoy Pam at Pandagon linked to this bizarre article from WorldNetDaily, published at Free Republic. After describing the New Jersey decision on gay marriage, the author gives this amazing explanation for it: “But why? What’s the real goal of the activists, the judges and the radicals who seek to subvert a moral worldview? The … Read more

Galacticablogging Live

That’s right, I’ll be working without a net this evening and liveblogging tonight’s episode of BSG, “Collaborators.” Naturally, to prevent any spoilers from escaping, I will perform in the hermetically-sealed environs of the extended post. Other BSG fans are invited to jump in via the comments.

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Limbaugh

by hilzoy You’ve probably already heard that Rush Limbaugh said that Michael J. Fox was faking his symptoms in the ad he shot for Claire McCaskill: “Now, this is Michael J. Fox. He’s got Parkinson’s disease. And in this commercial, he is exaggerating the effects of the disease. He is moving all around and shaking. … Read more

Time To Leave

by hilzoy Yesterday, I read a horrifying story about four days of mass killings in the Iraqi city of Balad. I’ve been trying to write a post about Iraq for ages, but every time I try, this horrible leaden feeling comes over me, and I can’t. When I read that article, I just felt numb … Read more

Jonah Goldberg: Wrong Again

by hilzoy Jonah Goldberg, on the reactions to his admission that the Iraq war was a ‘worthy mistake’: “I’m all for being on offense. But I think in retrospect we called the wrong play. But simply because you called the wrong play doesn’t mean you walk off the field.” Let’s think about that, shall we? … Read more

Barack Obama

by hilzoy

Lots of people are talking about Barack Obama. Is he running for President, or positioning himself to be someone else’s running mate? Does he live up to the hype? Is this all just one of those puzzling ephemeral media firestorms? Etc., etc., etc.

I have about as much interest in these questions as I have in polling about the 2008 Presidential race: that is, none whatsoever. I see the problem: he’s young and doesn’t have that much experience. I see the upsides: he’s not Hillary Clinton, he’s smart and decent and thoughtful; like a lot of the most successful candidates of recent years, he comes across as an actual human being rather than a stale droning political android, but unlike, say, Ross Perot and Jesse Ventura, he seems also to have the traits that make for good political leaders. (For instance, unlike Perot, he seems to be quite sane. Little things like that matter.)

All that said, though, I can’t imagine why we’re talking about this stuff when we haven’t even had the 2006 elections yet. There are a number of people I could imagine getting behind, and I’ll decide which of them to go for when the election is closer, and the question a bit less hypothetical. But I do want to add one little data point while people are talking about him, because it’s something I haven’t seen people say. And it’s this: a lot of people are going on about how Obama has not sponsored legislation on any of the Vital Issues Of The Day. Personally, I think that he’d have to be delusional to introduce, say, his own solution to the health insurance crisis: no bill on such a topic introduced by a freshman senator from the minority party would have a snowball’s chance in hell of succeeding, and the only reason to introduce one would be to grandstand. For that reason, I think that his failure to do so tends to speak well of him.

(Besides, consider how many Senators must have been watching for any hint of self-importance when Obama arrived in the Senate, given the press he had coming in; how many of them would have had to have been waiting for any sign that he was thinking: here am I, the wondrous Barack Obama, ready to set the Senate straight! The fact that he seems to have disarmed most of them is, I think, an achievement in its own right; it would have been impossible had he introduced his own comprehensive anti-poverty program, or something.)

But I do follow legislation, at least on some issues, and I have been surprised by how often Senator Obama turns up, sponsoring or co-sponsoring really good legislation on some topic that isn’t wildly sexy, but does matter. His bills tend to have the following features: they are good and thoughtful bills that try to solve real problems; they are in general not terribly flashy; and they tend to focus on achieving solutions acceptable to all concerned, not by compromising on principle, but by genuinely trying to craft a solution that everyone can get behind.

His legislation is often proposed with Republican co-sponsorship, which brings me to another point: he is bipartisan in a good way. According to me, bad bipartisanship is the kind practiced by Joe Lieberman. Bad bipartisans are so eager to establish credentials for moderation and reasonableness that they go out of their way to criticize their (supposed) ideological allies and praise their (supposed) opponents. They also compromise on principle, and when their opponents don’t reciprocate, they compromise some more, until over time their positions become indistinguishable from those on the other side.

This isn’t what Obama does. Obama tries to find people, both Democrats and Republicans, who actually care about a particular issue enough to try to get the policy right, and then he works with them. This does not involve compromising on principle. It does, however, involve preferring getting legislation passed to having a spectacular battle. (This is especially true when one is in the minority party, especially in this Senate: the chances that Obama’s bills will actually become law increase dramatically when he has Republican co-sponsors.)

So my little data point is: while Obama has not proposed his Cosmic Plan for World Peace, he has proposed a lot of interesting legislation on important but undercovered topics. I can’t remember another freshman Senator who so routinely pops up when I’m doing research on some non-sexy but important topic, and pops up because he has proposed something genuinely good. Since I think that American politics doesn’t do nearly enough to reward people who take a patient, craftsmanlike attitude towards legislation, caring as much about fixing the parts that no one will notice until they go wrong as about the flashy parts, I wanted to say this. Specifics below the fold.

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Card Check And Popcorn

by hilzoy

Via Ezra Klein at TAPPED, an interesting study (pdf) on union card-checks versus elections. Ezra is more quotable than the study:

“A poll commissioned by American Rights at Work (a pro-union org), Rutgers University, and Jesuit Wheeling University surveyed 430 randomly-selected workers from worksites where employees had sought unions either through the NLRB election process or card-check. The survey included workers who voted both for and against the union, and included campaigns in which the unions both won and lost. The Eagleton Research Center and Rutgers conducted the calls over a couple of weeks in 2005.

The results were telling: 22% of workers surveyed said management “coerced them a great deal.’ 6% said the same for unions. During the NLRB election, 46% of workers complained of management pressure. During card check elections, 14% complained of union pressure. Workers in NLRB elections were twice as likely as workers in card check elections to report that management coerced them to oppose (it’s worth noting that in card-check elections, 23% of workers complained of management coercion — more than complained of union coercion). Workers in NLRB elections were more than 53% as likely to report that management threatened to eliminate their jobs.

Even more interesting, fewer workers in card check campaigns said coworkers pressured them to join the union (17% to 22%). Workers in card check elections were more than twice as likely to report the employer took a neutral stance and let the workers decide. So, in fairness to Megan, neither options is perfect. But these results show that one is decidedly less perfect than the other.”

The argument against card check, as I understand it, just is that workers will be more likely to feel coerced by their co-workers under card check. One counter-argument is that the types of coercion available to co-workers pale in comparison to those available to management. Co-workers can’t threaten to fire people who don’t vote their way, for example. But actual evidence about rates of coercion is the obvious way to settle the argument. And if this study is right, workers not only feel a lot less coercion under card-check, they feel less coercion from co-workers than from management under both systems, and they feel less coercion from their co-workers under card-check than under elections.

This matters a lot. I would imagine that most people would agree, in principle, that whether they like unions or not, it’s much better to have a fair system of rules governing unions than an unfair one. Aside from the fact that employers engage in more coercion under elections than under card check, elections about whether or not to be represented by unions, under current law, are hugely time-consuming, with endless points of dispute that need to be arbitrated. Moreover, the penalties for employer violations of labor law are so small that lots of companies just disregard them.

Whatever one’s views on unions, I would think that letting workers decide whether they want a union or not, enforcing existing laws, and changing them to make collective bargaining more straightforward and less of a feast for labor lawyers would be an unqualified good. If no one wanted to join a union under fair conditions, fine. If a lot of people did, that should also be fine with conservatives: both sides, it seems to me, should be able to agree that it’s the workers’ views, not ours, that should matter here.

However, I think there are lots of reasons to think that effective representation for workers would be a good thing right about now. I’ve put one, also via Ezra, below the fold.

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Oh: Now I Get It!

by hilzoy Over at TPM, I read that the FBI had given Jack Abramoff his own desk. Stupidly, I interpreted this to mean something like ‘The news division has given City Hall its own desk’, or ‘the State Department has given Central Asia its own desk’: i.e., they had assigned a whole person or unit … Read more

Open Thread (Special Plastering Edition)

by hilzoy Yesterday I was about to assemble some shelves to put in my dressing room (yes, my house has a dressing room tee hee), and I thought to myself: self, isn’t the best time to deal with the bulging, cracking paint and/or plaster on that wall before, rather than after, you put shelves in … Read more

Plagues

by hilzoy

As I said in my last post, the ugliness is coming thick and fast — so fast that I have had to combine it all into one post, which is below the fold. Regrettably, my chosen schema did not accommodate some flat-out lies, like this one. (See also here — for factual details — and here.)

The main post is longish, so I put it below the fold. It concerns the many horrible things that will happen if Democrats win in November. Be very, very afraid.

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7:55 p.m. on October 18, 2006

by von "I’m sorry, dear, I’ve only got a moment to talk.  Trial tomorrow." "Somthing’s happened." "What is it?  I’ve got a ton of things to do. Can it wait? I’m really swamped." "Jeff, your Uncle Jim is dead." "What?  What the hell are you talking about?" And that’s what happenned.  With me in Orlando.  … Read more

Vote Republican Or Democrats Will Kill Your Babies!

by hilzoy Wow: the ugliness is coming thick and fast. Via Kevin Drum, a story in the NY Sun: “A little-known Republican group that claims to have swayed the 2004 presidential election with provocative radio advertising aimed at black and Hispanic audiences is spending nearly $1 million this year to boost the GOP’s chances of … Read more

“Vote Republican Or I’ll Bite Your Ear Off!”

by hilzoy Think I’m kidding? Think again (h/t TAPPED): “At the press conference, Tyson posed for photos with fans, signed autographs and campaigned for Maryland U.S. Senate candidate Michael Steele. Tyson, wearing a white and blue Steele for U.S. Senate T-shirt, said he used to believe black Republicans were “sellouts.” But Tyson said he changed … Read more

This Would Be Funny If It Weren’t Tragic…

by hilzoy From the NYT: “FOR the past several months, I’ve been wrapping up lengthy interviews with Washington counterterrorism officials with a fundamental question: “Do you know the difference between a Sunni and a Shiite?” A “gotcha” question? Perhaps. But if knowing your enemy is the most basic rule of war, I don’t think it’s … Read more

Oh Brave New World

by Katherine I don’t have time for a real post, but there are two stories I wanted to bring to people’s attention in light of the fact that President Bush will sign the Military Commissions Act tomorrow. Read this. Mohammed Munaf is a U.S. citizen. Now, read this. I have been researching Abdul Rahim Ginco’s … Read more

Liar, Liar, Pants On Fire

by hilzoy Last Friday: “Weldon’s office reacted with outrage late Friday night, denying that an investigation is under way and claiming the report is an attempt to influence the Nov. 7 election. “There is no investigation,” said the congressman’s spokesman, John Tomaszewski. “There is no formal investigation and there is no inquiry. There’s nothing. This … Read more

BSG Blogging: Exodus, Part I

by Andrew

Someone asked that I move the Galacticablogging over here. If the consensus is that this doesn’t really belong at ObWi, I’ll discontinue the experiment.

A week after I suggested Moore and company might have finally found their niche by changing from ‘humanity on the run’ to ‘humanity resists the Cylons,’ it appears I spoke too soon. Surprise. Last’s night’s episode, starting with the title, suggests that New Caprica will be only a brief way-station on the way to Earth, although I’ll concede that all could changed based on what happens next week. Continued below the fold to allow readers to avoid spoilers.

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It Couldn’t Happen To A More Deserving Guy

by hilzoy From the Washington Post: “The Justice Department is investigating whether Rep. Curt Weldon (R-Pa.) traded his political influence for lucrative lobbying and consulting contracts for his daughter, according to sources with direct knowledge of the inquiry. The FBI has formally referred the matter to the department’s Public Integrity Section for additional scrutiny. At … Read more

Homeward Bound

by Andrew I am heading home today, as my deployment to Fort Riley has mercifully come to an end. So I may not be around much over the next few days, because I will be trying to get to know my wife again. I hope everyone enjoys their weekend, and feel free to talk about … Read more

Foley: It’s Teh Ghee!

by hilzoy Via AmericaBlog, Cliff Kincaid of Accuracy in Media has finally figured out how Democrats produced the Mark Foley scandal. Astonishingly, he concludes that it’s not George Soros. No: it’s clarified yak butter gays who have infiltrated the Republican party!!!! “The complex nature of the “dirty trick” against the Republicans over the Mark Foley … Read more

Conservative in the Mi(d)st

by Andrew In any relationship, there comes a point where the participants must weigh whether the benefits of the relationship outweigh the costs. That time has come in my relationship here at Obsidian Wings. As the commentary in response to my latest post scrolled in, I was, as I frequently am, surprised by how people … Read more

Civility

by hilzoy I think it might be time to draw our collective attention to the Posting Rules, and especially to the one that says: “Do not consistently abuse or vilify other posters for its own sake.” Consistent abuse or vilification will get you banned. But even a little abuse or vilification is too much. For … Read more

The Lancet Study

by hilzoy As many of you probably know the Lancet has come out with a study which found this: “We estimate that as of July, 2006, there have been 654 965 (392 979–942 636) excess Iraqi deaths as a consequence of the war, which corresponds to 2·5% of the population in the study area. Of … Read more

Just For Giggles

by hilzoy

My one-sided correspondence with Bill Clinton, below the fold, for auld lang syne.

(Yes, I actually sent them; no, of course he didn’t reply; no, I didn’t expect him to.)

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Tribalism and Politics

by Andrew Steven Hopkins: Dear Sir, you are without any doubt, a rogue, a rascal, a villain, a thief, a scoundrel and a mean, dirty, stinking, sniveling, sneaking, pimping, pocket-picking, thrice double-damned no-good son-of-a-bitch. And you sign your name. Benjamin Franklin: I’ll take a dozen right now. A lot of things have changed since 1776, … Read more

If Dick Cheney Were A Lawyer…

by hilzoy Here, in a nutshell, is why I think the Cheney/Rumsfeld/Bolton view of diplomacy is wrong. Suppose that you were someone who faced a whole lot of conflicts and legal problems, and Dick Cheney were your lawyer. Most lawyers would think that you can resolve legal problems in several ways. First, you can take … Read more

Do You Feel Safer Now?

by hilzoy

So North Korea might have tested a nuclear device. Great. All over the conservative blogs, people are saying things like this:

“Prediction: The Democrats will come out tomorrow morning and place the blame for NoKo’s test squarely at the feet of President Bush in an attempt to capitalize politically on this turn of events.”

And this:

“I haven’t looked for the commentary that attributes fault to the Bush administration or characterize North Korea’s conduct as Karl Rove’s October surprise, but I’m sure it’s out there somewhere.”

And this:

“The Left quickly attempted the shopworn tactic of pinning the blame on the Bush administration’s rhetoric or unwillingness to bribe Kim Jong-il.”

Those ridiculous knee-jerk Democrats. Why on earth would they think that the person who has had complete control over America’s foreign policy for the last six years should be blamed in any way for a foreign policy disaster of enormous proportions? Who could imagine that there could possibly be anything wrong with our policy towards North Korea?

Nkbombs_5

This is one of the things that has always puzzled me about some right-wing bloggers: for them, the discovery that someone has some motive that might have induced them to lie or exaggerate implies that everything that person says can be dismissed in its entirety, without requiring any investigation into whether or not it is, you know, true. If someone has ever contributed money to any Democratic candidate, or written a book, or given a talk before any one of the many organizations that have at one point or another gotten a small grant from George Soros, then that fact suffices to make any consideration of what they say superfluous. In reaction to the Foley scandal, they have taken this to its logical conclusion: the fact that some event or claim helps the Democrats is taken to show that it’s the result of a Democratic dirty trick, in the absence of any actual evidence that Democrats had anything to do with it. The result? It’s impossible that anything could ever happen that they would regard as a reason to criticize Bush.

Since I still cling to quaint, antiquated notions like personal responsibility, I do want to know who is responsible for the fact that North Korea probably has nuclear weapons.Obviously, the person primarily, responsible is Kim Jong Il. Since (I hope) we did not actually give him nuclear weapons, our foreign policy can only help or hinder him in his pursuit of them. That said, however, our policy towards North Korea has been a complete and unmitigated disaster.

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