Let There Be Life

There was a stand-up comedian with a bit that went more or less like this:

About every 5 years or so I do a bit of reflection on my life, looking back at how I talked, dressed and acted, and invariably I come to the same conclusion: I was a total idiot back then. Really, what was I thinking? After doing this enough times, though, it’s occurred to me that most likely I’m being a total idiot right now. This is why older people tend to be so quiet. They’ve figured this out.

This is how I feel about most scientific theories. From the discoveries of Galileo to the assertions of Heisenberg and beyond, we keep realizing that what we were so certain about a century or even a decade ago was in fact idiotic. Therefore it behooves us to be a bit quiet, or at least modest, in declaring we know this or that to be true.

In the debate on evolution vs. creationism, this advice cuts both ways.

As a theory, creationism has so many holes in it that I can’t accept it as science. Even with a bucket of faith, it strikes me that it has to be mostly metaphor. But evolution also leaves more questions unanswered than answered for me. More than anything, it seems that life forms would have needed gazillions of years to "evolve" into the assembly of perfectly in-tune organs and systems represented by humans. Truly, some of the most recent discoveries of cellular activity so boggle the mind they virtually scream for an intelligent designer to explain them. I don’t have any answers there, but I don’t think creationism does either. So I’ve been intrigued by the notion of the supposedly straddling theory of "Intelligent Design," but the more I read its advocates try to dress it up, the more I think it’s got a long way to go as a theory, if it has any merit at all.

In today’s New York Times, Michael J. Behe, a professor of biological sciences at Lehigh University and a senior fellow with the Discovery Institute’s Center for Science and Culture (called in some quarters a "conservative Christian thinktank"), offered an explanation and defense of "Intelligent Design." Professor Behe has credentials as solid as most scientists arguing about the topic, from what I can find. And I totally agree with him that those insisting evolution be taught as if Gospel have it wrong.

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Finally

One of President Bush’s many lowlights in his first term was his signing the 10-year $190 billion farm bill, helping cement his reputation as a big government preservative.  So it’s welcome news that the second term president is promoting a cut in the growth of agricultural subsidies.  It’s about time we see some more fiscal restraint.  Since most of the subsidies have been "concentrated among the larger firms", the farm bill was essentially just another brand of corporate welfare which distorted the functioning of the free market.  If the Heritage Foundation and the Environmental Working Group are bedfellows on this, then it can’t be a bad thing.

Update:  The 2006 budget was released.  First, some historical perspective.  In 2004, non-military discretionary spending increased 4.85%, the slowest rate of increase since 1998, and a welcome relief from the profligate spending of 2002 and 2003.  The 2005 budget shows a 4.97% decrease from the 2004 outlay, but the CBO estimates the 2005 outlay to be a 5.69% increase.  In the latest rendition:

In the budget for 2006, discretionary spending — meaning other than entitlement programs such as Social Security, Medicaid and Medicare — would rise just 2.1 percent, lower than the expected rate of inflation. Within that category, extra money would go to defense and homeland security, leaving most other discretionary programs frozen or falling.

There have been some, shall we say, interesting, remarks in the comments section, ranging from extreme skepticism to "I don’t believe it".  But the budget sets a marker for which Bush will be measured.  The actual budget will of course fall short of the proposal in terms of restraint, but the measure of success and of spending discipline will be how close Bush can ultimately get.

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Super Bowl? Feh! Open Thread

I have only watched the Super Bowl once in my life. It was my first year living in Baltimore, and against all odds, the Ravens were playing. The whole town had gone delightfully insane: the buildings were floodlit purple (for those of you who don’t live here, that’s the Ravens’ color); cars had sprouted all … Read more

Bridge

A couple of readers have expressed interest in talking about the game of bridge.  I’m altogether too happy to do so, but the interests of not boring regular readers who come here for political discussions, most of it will be found below the fold. 

But before we get there I figured I might as well talk about the game a little bit and explain why I like it so much.  For those familiar with other major card games, bridge has elements of similarity.  It is a trick-taking game along the lines of hearts or spades and it usually is a trump game like spades.  It is played with two pairs at a table with each pair bidding how many tricks they think their combined hands can take depending on what suit is trump.  It is easier to take large numbers of tricks than in the game ‘spades’ because at the end of the bidding one of the pair ends up putting his hand on the table for all to see and the play of that hand is controlled by the other member of the pair.  There is an incentive not to underbid by large scoring bonuses at the game level (9-11 tricks depending on the contract) the small slam level (12 tricks) and the grand slam level (all 13 tricks).

What is special about bridge?  It has two defining characteristics which appeal to me more than in other card games.  Complexity from simple framework, and skill.  The first is fairly obvious, but the second seems strange to those who are unfamiliar with bridge.  In a tournament setting, the effect of luck is dramatically reduced.  This is done using what are called ‘boards’.  After shuffling a hand at the beginning of the day each hand is put into boards with designations for which hand goes to which player.  When they are played, instead of being returned to a full deck, each hand is placed back into the board and the board is passed on to another table.  You compete not with the players you sitting down against, but rather the players who are sitting the same direction as you.  After a few boards are played at one table you move one direction and the boards move another.  That way you can’t complain about getting all the ‘bad hands’ because everyone is playing the same hands and doing the best you can with them.  (Techinically these forms of bridge are called ‘duplicate bridge’).  As a result, good players can almost always outperform bad players.  This is kind of nice because it allows you to directly compare results at a card game.  (Which is the explanation for my little joke in the category).  One of the interesting things about bridge is the numerous bidding systems which people have developed off the rather simple core bidding language allowed. 

If you are interested in starting bridge, I suggest either that you find an ACBL chapter nearby and take lessons, or do what I did and read a few good books on the subject and play on the internet.  I don’t have a good book for learning the most rudimentary mechanics (though I think there is a "Learn Bridge in 30 days" book and a "Bridge for Dummies" book.)  But once you understand the mechanics I would strongly suggest Dorthy Hayden-Truscott’s "Bid Better, Play Better".  The bidding system she teaches is slightly outdated, but her analysis of how to think about a bidding structure will serve you well no matter what you choose later.  I would specifically not recommend any of the teaching books by Root which are so popular.  They are too dense for an average player to understand.  I would also reccomend any of the "Points Schmoints" books by Marty Bergen.  He has an excellent writing style and is able to break down some common judgment problems into easy-to-understand thought processes. 

The rest of this post is likely to be completely incomprehensible to those who don’t already know bridge.

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Elizabeth Anderson Is Right (As She Often Is.)

Elizabeth Anderson has a post on Left2Right that makes a really good point. “President Bush boasts, as one of his major policy achievements, that he has “cut” taxes.  Virtually all media outlets and partisan sources, including Bush’s critics, follow Bush in calling his tax policies tax “cuts.”  But Bush has not cut taxes.  He has … Read more

Freedom!

I present unto you:  An open thread for the weekend.  Use it wisely.  Use it well. As for me:  I just filed my brief in my all-time favorite international white-collar RICO case.  I’m off to celebrate by having a beer or six, watching a little anti-Cylon propoganda, and sleeping.  Woo!  This "thinking and writing" stuff … Read more

The War on Wahhabism, Continued

Freedom House is a well-established bipartisan group (founded by Eleanor Roosevelt and Wendell Wilkie) whose mission is to be a "vigorous proponent of democratic values and a steadfast opponent of dictatorships of the far left and the far right."  They go beyond mere elections and address real elements of human freedom, measuring the civil liberties and political rights of a country’s citizens.  Iran may have elections, for example, but you can go here and find that Iranian elections are a joke.  On a scale of one to seven, with seven being least free, Iran is "not free", scoring a solid six.

The Center for Religious Freedom is a division of Freedom House.  Its mission is to defend against "religious persecution of all groups throughout the world. It insists that U.S. foreign policy defend Christians and Jews, Muslim dissidents and minorities, and other religious minorities in countries such as Indonesia, Pakistan, Nigeria, Iran and Sudan. It is fighting the imposition of harsh Islamic law in the new Iraq and Afghanistan and opposes blasphemy laws in Muslim countries that suppress more tolerant and pro-American Muslim thought."

When Freedom House calls Sunni Wahhabism a "hate ideology", it is time for all to sit up and take notice.  Defeating al Qaeda and other terrorist groups militarily is obviously important, but equally important is the defeat of the heretical ideology that provides these terrorist groups their philosophical underpinning, and one of the most prominent terrorist-friendly ideologies is Wahhabism.  As I wrote here and here, this sect of Islam is inimical to the interests of the United States.  Worse, the House of Saud is inextricably intertwined with Wahhabi extremists, and the government of Saudi Arabia is directly responsible for the worldwide spread of this hardline and unforgiving belief system.  With the power of Saudi money behind it, Wahhabists have been infiltrating and crowding out the other more moderate and tolerant denominations of Islam, and expanding in their own right.  While its chief imam may have made conciliatory noises a couple of weeks ago (as Edward noted), no fatwas were cancelled and his one-time pronouncement cannot be reconciled with his long history of hate speech and intolerance.

Last Monday, the CFRF issued a report titled Saudi Publications on Hate Ideology Fill American Mosques, which details one aspect of Saudi-backed Wahhabi indoctrination in America.  The group gathered over 200 books and publications from over a dozen mosques and Islamic centers across the country.  These materials have the direct backing of the Saudi government.  While books and publications are just one component, it defies all common sense that this ideology is restricted just to written materials. For example:

The King Fahd mosque, the main mosque in Los Angeles, from which several of these publications were gathered, employed an imam, Fahad al Thumairy, who was an accredited diplomat of the Saudi Arabian consulate from 1996 until 2003, when he was barred from reentering the United States because of terrorist connections. The 9/11 Commission Report describes the imam as a “well-known figure at the King Fahd mosque and within the Los Angeles Muslim community,” who was reputed to be an “Islamic fundamentalist and a strict adherent to orthodox Wahhabi doctrine” and observed that he “may have played a role in helping the [9/11] hijackers establish themselves on their arrival in Los Angeles.”

Several hate-filled publications in this study were also gathered from the Institute of Islamic and Arabic Sciences in Fairfax, Virginia. According to investigative reports in the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post, Prince Bandar bin Sultan, the Saudi Ambassador to the U.S., served as chairman of this school’s Board of Trustees, and some 16 other personnel there held Saudi diplomatic visas until they were expelled for extremism by the State Department in 2004. Until late 2003, the institute was an official adjunct campus of the Imam Mohammed Ibn-Saud Islamic University in Riyadh, part of Saudi Arabia’s state-run university system, funded and controlled by the Saudi Ministry of Education. Although Saudi Arabia claims to have severed official links with it, the Institute the Saudis established continues to operate in northern Virginia.

Some of the works were published by the Al-Haramain Foundation, run from Saudi Arabia with branch offices in the United States until the FBI blocked its assets in February 2004, finding that it was directly funding al Qaeda. In October 2004, the Saudi government’s Ministry for Islamic Affairs dissolved the foundation, and, according to a senior Saudi official, its assets will be folded into a new Saudi National Commission for Charitable Work Abroad.

Where there’s smoke, there’s fire.  There is no perfect analogy, but if the pre-Mandela South African government had a policy of spreading the concept of white power and white separatism to American churches, there would be a massive public outcry.  Wahhabism preaches religious separatism, intolerance, prejudice and a highly physical form of jihad.  Why no outcry when a root cause of terrorism is allowed to spread across American mosques without complaint and without protest?  Maybe because it’s been around for awhile.  Maybe because our stated policy is that Islam is a religion of peace.  I don’t know.  I believe that many forms of Islam are indeed peaceful, but Wahhabism clearly is not.  It is a Sect of War.

Am I obsessing about the threat of Wahhabism?  Maybe.  But the New York Times agrees with me, so I can’t be too far off base, no?  When Islamic intolerance and violence is found, too often Wahhabists are the cause.  Wahhabism is a part of Sunni Islam, and how much of a role it plays in Iraq is unclear.  As it is, the enemies of freedom and democracy are mostly Sunnis, Zarqawi included.  The numbers of those Sunnis who are Wahhabis is not known, but my guess is that they’re significant.

So what are my solutions?  Should these materials be banned?  To the extent that they call for the violent overthrow of the U.S. government, yes.  Otherwise, no.  I’ve said before that Wahhabism shouldn’t be treated the same way the magical community treats Voldemort, as the enemy that must not be named.  We need to name it and expose it.  We need to identify its financial backers and its prominent imams.  We need to know the mosques in America that adhere to–and preach–this hate ideology.  Do we tolerate the White Power movement?  No, the FBI has been all over them.  These aren’t specific details, I know, but they’re something.  From page 14 of the CFRF report:

Saudi Wahhabism is dominant in many American mosques. Singapore’s main newspaper recently published an interview with Sheik Muhammad Hisham Kabbani, the Lebanese-American chairman of the Islamic Supreme Council of America, based in Washington, D.C.: “Back in 1990, arriving for his first Friday prayers in an American mosque in Jersey City, he was shocked to hear Wahhabism being preached. ‘What I heard there, I had never heard in my native Lebanon. I asked myself: Is Wahhabism active in America? So I started my research. Whichever mosque I went to, it was Wahhabi, Wahhabi, Wahhabi, Wahhabi.’”

Jersey City is where the slaughtered Armanious family lived. Coincidence?  Possibly, but we don’t know yet.  We need to put Wahhabism front and center in the marketplace of ideas and defeat it.  For example, in Yemen, Islamic scholars went head-to-head against al Qaeda members in a Koranic duel, and al Qaeda lost:

When Judge Hamoud al-Hitar announced that he and four other Islamic scholars would challenge Yemen’s Al Qaeda prisoners to a theological contest, Western antiterrorism experts warned that this high-stakes gamble would end in disaster.

Nervous as he faced five captured, yet defiant, Al Qaeda members in a Sanaa prison, Judge Hitar was inclined to agree. But banishing his doubts, the youthful cleric threw down the gauntlet, in the hope of bringing peace to his troubled homeland.

"If you can convince us that your ideas are justified by the Koran, then we will join you in your struggle," Hitar told the militants. "But if we succeed in convincing you of our ideas, then you must agree to renounce violence."

The prisoners eagerly agreed.

Now, two years later, not only have those prisoners been released, but a relative peace reigns in Yemen. And the same Western experts who doubted this experiment are courting Hitar, eager to hear how his "theological dialogues" with captured Islamic militants have helped pacify this wild and mountainous country, previously seen by the US as a failed state, like Iraq and Afghanistan.

Al Qaeda fought Islamic law, and the law won.  We need to more fully back the more tolerant strains of Islam, and give the more tolerant practitioners the tools to widen and grow their messages.  We need to put the screws on the House of Saud through constructive engagment and, if progress is not made, begin a process of dissociation from this corrupt government. At the risk of getting dirty looks and scoldings from my fellow editors, I’ve cut and pasted a chunk of CFRF report below the fold.  The Introduction is also a must read.

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I♥NY

I♥NY. Really, I do! In Friday’s ruling, Justice Ling-Cohan said, "Simply put, marriage is viewed by society as the utmost expression of a couple’s commitment and love. Plaintiffs may now seek this ultimate expression through a civil marriage." The ruling (which is stayed for 30 days in case the city chooses to appeal) says the … Read more

Eat Your Words: Lunchtime Open Thread on Books

Aye, thar’s mutiny afoot…Anarch has taken command of another thread and declared it open for book discussions… No need for such drastic measures: Currently reading (in between every freakin’ book ever written on Alexander the Great) It’s My Party Too, by Christine Todd Whitman…just started it, but clearly she ain’t gonna be invited to Christmas … Read more

Arresting Rumsfeld

As much as I don’t like the man, and as much as I can see the arguments of those charging him with war crimes, I must admit, the idea that our Secretary of Defense could be arrested if he traveled to Germany doesn’t sit well with me: In a suit filed with German federal prosecutors, … Read more

UN Food For Oil Scandal

The preliminary report on the UN "Food For Oil" scandal is now available (warning this is a huge PDF file).  Since I played bridge tonight (we won) instead of reading the 246 page report, I can’t offer my commentary.  I will update this post with links commenting on it as I find them. 

US General: It’s Fun to Spread Freedom

First we had Boykin, then the Abu Ghraib guards, mixed in with few other "bad apples" in Cuba and Afghanistan, but overall, the argument goes, there’s no better ambassadors for the Cause of Freedom than our men and women in the US Armed Forces. Overall, perhaps, that’s true, but we’d do well to start weeding … Read more

Parsing the President

via Wonkette~~~~~~~~~~~~ I’m not sure what it tells you exactly, but Wonkette points to this wonderful online tool for parsing the President’s SOTUs and 2001 special address to Congress. Just enter two words (like "marriage" and "compassion" for example) and the tool does the rest. It shouldn’t be surprising I guess that in all of … Read more

Problems with Permanence

The President looked confident and energetic in his State of the Union address last night. Clearly he’s enjoying the job now and ready to make his mark on history. Bully for him.

The highlight of the speech for me, as I’m sure for many people, was the hug that Iraqi Safia Taleb al-Suhail gave to Janet Norwood. It eclipsed everything else that had come before it, making all the pomp and circumstance and partisan theatrics look silly. Regardless of how one feels about the war in Iraq, this gesture put a human face on the conflict and, for me at least, confirmed what I’ve always known about our having more in common with the people of the Middle East than reasons to hate each other. I hope the entire world was watching.

There were plenty of moments when I was cursing during the President’s speech, though, none the least of which being when he once again went way out of his way to disrespect the most important relationship in my life (and just to be clear, I sincerely despise him for that). But two things he said led me to believe he’s so drunk with his own power at this point that the man is actually beginning to think the laws of time and space needn’t apply to his vision. At the very least he has serious problems with the notion of "permanence." Let me explain.

Twice in discussing reforms to Social Security, the President suggested it’s time to fix it "permanently":

Fixing Social Security permanently will require an open, candid review of the options. […] We must make Social Security permanently sound, not leave that task for another day.

This could be excused as optimistic hyperbole if he hadn’t built his case for reform in the first place on the notion that "Our society has changed in ways the founders of Social Security could not have foreseen." So the founders of Social Security couldn’t foresee the future, but George W. Bush can?

Then there was the issue of bringing our troops home from Iraq.

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Useful Distinctions

This post was partially sparked by my co-blogger Hilzoy’s post on the often unhelpful-to-conversation category know as "the left".  It is a constant source of frustration that in political discussions (and generally in life) people use drastically overbroad categorizations in highly misleading ways.  While it certainly can be overused, the art of making useful distinctions … Read more

Very Quick Social Security Post

A few points about the President’s plan as outlined in his State of the Union speech and in a White House briefing by an unnamed senior administration official, that Atrios helpfully posted on his website: About its cost. This from the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities: “The senior official said the borrowing costs over … Read more

Timetable Teddy Gets Some Support

We’ve heard it again and again in the Iraq invasion: steadfastness wins the day. Setting and then moving heaven and earth to meet a deadline (whether it be creating the CPA, the symbolic June 30th handover, or the January 30th elections) has been heralded as our best tool in ensuring the transparent achievement of our goals and intentions. Stating clearly to the world what we intend to do and then doing just that. Watching the milestones go by. It’s what you’ll see the President pat himself on the back for in his SOTU address tonight.

But now, when there are more Americans who declare they want to start bringing the troops home than those willing to watch the occupation drag on, we’re told a timetable is a bad thing. In fact, its so bad that even a distinguished Senator can be labeled a traitor for suggesting it’s time to start discussing it. For the record, if that’s the case, according to the poll above, 47% of Americans are traitors.

Now I’ve gone on record here repeatedly arguing that Iraq’s security remains Job 1. Bringing the troops home must take second place to ensuring the Iraqis can defend themselves against enemies from without and within. But we’ve reached the point in all this where a timetable could serve to stop one of the insurgents’ main recruiting methods: occupation resentment. As Michael O’Hanlon and James Steinberg explain in today’s Washington Post it "is now inescapable that [US troops] are helping fuel the insurgency.":

Henry A. Kissinger and George P. Shultz argue against setting any American exit strategy to a calendar. That is an argument the Bush administration has, at least for now, itself endorsed. Kissinger and Shultz’s logic would be right for the Balkans, or Germany and Japan after World War II, or any nation-building effort not challenged by a strong insurgency. But such logic does not apply in Iraq, where the resistance appears to be gaining most of its growing strength from indigenous hostility to the foreign military presence.

No exit strategy for the U.S.-led coalition in Iraq should be abrupt or radical. We must not cut and run. We should not plan to withdraw our forces entirely by any set date. And we should announce a schedule for partial withdrawal only in conjunction with the new Iraqi government being formed. But the case for a fairly prompt major reduction in foreign forces, announced publicly and set to a schedule, increasingly appears to be the best way to help produce a stable Iraq under a government accepted as legitimate by most of its people.

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Eight Million Freedom Fighters

This isn’t really about the eight million who voted in last Sunday’s election, I just love the sound of the phrase. When Edward wrote of the surface similarity of last Sunday’s election and a September 1967 New York Times account of an election in Vietnam,  I wrote a blurb in comments and then Gary Farber comes along and asks me, like, 50 questions (exaggeration alert).  Rather than answer them point-by-point there, I thought it’d be better to expand my thoughts here.  The reference to an election in 1967 Vietnam is interesting but not apt to 2005 Iraq.  This strikes me more as a clever tack to by some on the left (not Gary) to talk down this major milestone.

The Guardian and New York Times picked up on the meme as well.  Kevin Drum distanced himself by saying "this doesn’t mean Iraq is Vietnam", but the message from the anti-Bush liberals is clear:  Stop the cheerleading because an election doesn’t mean we’ve won the war.  No, we haven’t won, but this is a major victory.  Why?  Because an opposite result could have significantly changed the course of history.  We have to ask ourselves this:  What if the turnout were 27% instead of 57%?  [Update:  Assuming the 8 million figure is accurate and that the denominator is 14 million eligible voters, the turnout is 57%] The election would have been called a failure, and so would the interim Iraqi government and American efforts to rebuild this country.  The "insurgents" would have won, and the Ted Kennedys and Harry Reids and John Kerrys would’ve been front and center calling for an exit strategy (oops, they already have been).  If the election were a failure, the legitimacy of the interim government and our presence in-country would have been called into question, and perhaps rightfully so.  With success, we can proceed to the next step, a path toward a non-theocratic representative government that will uphold the rule of law.  Kind of a like a single-elimination tournament.  The election was that big of a deal.

So is there a real comparison between September 1967 in Vietnam and January 2005 in Iraq?  The short answer is no.  The Times article was a snapshot of an historical moment, and it does not provide a reasonable context.  We were reticent to go into Vietnam in the first place because the Diem regime was corrupt and incompetent.  While the Kennedy and Johnson administrations made some efforts to improve the South Vietnamese government, the proof was in the pudding.  No real or substantive changes were made when it counted.  It remained a bribe-ridden ineffectual regime until it collapsed in 1975.  One of our major failures in Vietnam–and there were legion–was that we didn’t give the people something to fight for.  The Vietnamese people were not given a higher cause, or an ideal for which to defend.  We focused most of our efforts on military matters and didn’t pay enough attention to political reforms.  The result was that too many of the people did what was best for their families or communities, choosing to forsake their national leadership.  Too many hung back and ended up supporting whoever had the upper hand at the time.  In America in Vietnam, Guenter Lewy offered a coherent perspective:

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Who, Exactly, Is This “Left” About Which I Hear Such Strange And Dreadful Things?

I recall one of my very first posts here at Obsidian Wings. It was shortly after the Abu Ghraib story broke, and I said something like: “The Republicans have brought shame on this country.” And Moe (I miss Moe!) got very angry; if I recall correctly, his response began: I am a Republican… Now, I thought then that my post pretty clearly referred to the leadership of the Republican Party, especially since Moe and other rank-and-file Republicans were obviously not responsible for Abu Ghraib, and I didn’t exactly see the point of objecting to it. Nonetheless, it was his site, so I apologized and all was well.

Sometime around the time I was asked to join the site, I decided that I had been wrong, and that Moe’s rule (no generalizations about ‘the right’, ‘the left’, etc.) was a very good one. It avoided all sorts of pointless arguments, for one thing. It also seemed to me that making such generalizations was a form of intellectual laziness: when I was tempted to make them, I was not going to the trouble of actually figuring out who I was talking about, and it was therefore much easier for me to imagine stereotypical versions of my opponents than it would be if I had to actually say: I am talking about Sebastian or Von or Moe. I had always tried to avoid those stereotypes, but Moe’s rule forced me to.

This is all a preamble to the following question: when people talk about “the Left”, who, exactly, do they have in mind? I have no idea. And I suspect that the idea that there is something called ‘the Left’ which is large enough to be worth talking about is often simply a figment of the various writers’ imaginations, and that they can only believe this ‘Left’ to be a real, significant group because they do not force themselves to identify who they are talking about more precisely. If they were precise, they would (I think) have to conclude either that ‘the Left’ is a tiny group of people, or that much of what they say about it is not true. But because they are not, they can say all sorts of things about it without ever running the risk of being proved wrong.

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What the heck is Hindrocket smoking?

I don’t mean to beat up on Hindrocket of Power Line, but his portrayal of the objections to elevating Judge Gonzales to AG is simply bizarre.  The objections to Gonzales do not consist solely of disagreements with Gonzales’ alleged conclusion that the Geneva Convention does not apply to "enemy combatants" in the service of "pseudo-states," … Read more

The Insurgency Re-Excused

In an exercise that borders on selective, if not purely revisionist, history, wretchard at the Belmont Club plays off a Newsweek article to argue that what made the Iraqi insurgency possible was "the gift of time." In other words, because Blair insisted Bush go through the UN charade and because France, Germany, and Russia were … Read more

Who You Calling a Dog?

hat tip to constant reader wilfred for this very entertaining diversion~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ In the grand tradition of asking folks "If you were a tree, what kind would you be?" comes What Dog Are You (see link near bottom of right-hand column). Apparently I’m a Newfoundland (a thin one, thank you): A large and beautiful beast, the … Read more

Blog Ethics

Via Atrios and Kevin Drum, a story in the Minneapolis Star-Tribune:

“As a graduate student in public affairs at the University of Minnesota, I recently heard an in-class presentation by John Hinderaker, who, with partner Scott Johnson, runs the Powerline blog. Powerline played a role in breaking the Rathergate affair and was recently named “Blog of the Year” by Time magazine.

Prior to Hinderaker’s presentation, the week before the November elections, I visited the Powerline site. To my surprise an Oct. 27 post covered alleged voter fraud in Racine, Wis., my hometown. The charges involved the registering of illegal aliens to vote. The story seemed outrageous, so I made a few phone calls to check it out.

What I discovered was troubling. There was no factual basis for the voter fraud allegations. Powerline posted the story based on the word of a single individual employed by the Federation for American Immigration Reform (FAIR). This was hearsay at best, posted as “news” at a time when voter registration efforts by the Democrats and 527 groups were coming under fire by conservatives.

At class I asked Hinderaker if posts to Powerline were fact-checked. He was dismissive of the question, so I asked if he was aware that the Racine voter fraud story was inaccurate. He stated that he was not, slapped his hands together and stated that the blogosphere was all about speed and therefore did not allow for fact-checking. Mr. Hinderaker went on to say, “Our readers let us know when we get it wrong.”

And therein lies the cautionary Catch-22: Bloggers may serve as media watchdogs, but who will watch the blogs? Do you have time to fact-check what you read online?”

Hindrocket disputes this:

“The piece accuses us of a failure to fact-check. The author refers to a news story we linked to last October which related to voter fraud in Wisconsin, and says that she “made a few phone calls” and determined that “[t]here was no factual basis for the voter fraud allegations.” No hint as to whom she called, or what information she learned that demonstrated that the allegations in the news story were false.

We are, of course, preparing a response. It will focus, I think, on the fact-checking that the Strib did before they printed Ms. Gage’s attack on us. I talked to Commentary Editor Eric Ringham today, and he acknowledged that the Strib didn’t do any fact-checking at all before they accused us of not fact-checking. That’s right: None. Zilch. Zippo. Nada. And Ms. Gage, if that’s really her name, has no knowledge about the voter fraud scandal which has now resulted in a federal criminal investigation.”

Since he has not posted the promised response yet, I don’t know whether he will also dispute Gage’s account of what he said. This is important: if he did in fact say that “the blogosphere was all about speed and therefore did not allow for fact-checking”, that is, in my view wrong, and it should also be very important to Powerline’s readers. If not, that would also be good to know. One way or the other, I hope he addresses this question.

It’s also worth noting that I haven’t found any evidence that the allegations he discussed in the post Gage refers to have “resulted in a federal criminal investigation.” (There was a federal investigation into other allegations of voter fraud in Racine, which has resulted in criminal charges.) As far as I can tell, this was the response to the allegations Gage was talking about:

“Also Thursday, the Racine County district attorney’s office said it has had difficulty proving allegations by a Michigan organization that Racine members of Voces de la Frontera, a group that aids migrant workers, committed any violations in registering voters.

The Federation for Immigration Reform alleged that two of its members posed as people who are not eligible to vote who then worked through Voces de la Frontera to register voters in Racine and Milwaukee.

The district attorney’s office said in a statement that an audiotape from FAIR purporting to document the violations is difficult to hear and contains “no clear evidence that a crime was committed.””

Leaving these issues aside, however …

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Rachel Corrie Still a Registered Voter

Thurston County Last Name First/Middle Name Number Street City CORRIE RACHEL A 125e State Ave NE Olympia The above data is what you get (as shown by Stefan Sharkansky) when you enter "Thurston County" and "Corrie" in the Sound Politics Voter Database. What you will find is that the young woman–who came out on the … Read more

Hillary: A Sheep in Wolves’ Clothing?

First and foremost, apologies if any Republicans feel offended by the wolf/sheep dichotomy in the title. I’m sure plenty of GOPers are perfectly docile and woolly. 😉
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Hillary’s been seen sporting a more conservative power suit lately, and it ain’t sitting too well with some of us counting on her to use her star power to promote a more liberal agenda. Not that we should be surprised. Both she and her husband  have always been more moderate than liberal in my eyes, and (like most politicians, both sides of the aisle) she’s nothing if not willing to spin her message to suit her audience, but if I wanted an Arlen Specter-esque Democrat Senator, I’d move to Connecticut.

Clinton’s strategists insist that she’s merely continuing in her efforts to paint a fuller picture of herself since leaving the White House, but the fuller picture of herself seems mostly limited to insisting she’s religious:

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Below The Radar

While everyone is preoccupied with Social Security, another Bush agenda item is moving quietly forward. From the LA Times:

“Emboldened by their success at the polls, the Bush administration and Republican leaders in Congress believe they have a new opportunity to move the nation away from the system of employer-provided health insurance that has covered most working Americans for the last half-century.

In its place, they want to erect a system in which workers — instead of looking to employers for health insurance — would take personal responsibility for protecting themselves and their families: They would buy high-deductible “catastrophic” insurance policies to cover major medical needs, then pay routine costs with money set aside in tax-sheltered health savings accounts.

Elements of that approach have been on the conservative agenda for years, but what has suddenly put it on the fast track is GOP confidence that the political balance of power has changed. (…)

Critics say the Republican approach is really an attempt to shift the risks, massive costs and knotty problems of healthcare from employers to individuals. And they say the GOP is moving forward with far less public attention or debate than have surrounded Bush’s plans to overhaul Social Security.

Indeed, Bush’s health insurance agenda is far more developed than his Social Security plans and is advancing at a rapid clip through a combination of actions by government, insurers, employers and individuals.

Health savings accounts, known as HSAs, have already been approved. They were created as a little-noticed appendage to the 2003 Medicare prescription drug bill.

HSAs have had a strong start in the marketplace. Although regulations spelling out how they would work were not issued until mid-2004, as of Sept. 30, about 440,000 people had signed up. And more than one-quarter of employers say they are likely to offer them as an option.

The accounts are available only to people who buy high-deductible health insurance, either through an employer or individually. Consumers can set aside tax-free an amount equal to their deductible. Employers can contribute to workers’ HSAs but do not have to. Unused balances can be rolled over from year to year, and employees take their HSAs with them when they switch jobs.

The idea that losing one’s job would not automatically mean losing protection for medical costs has bipartisan appeal. “Portability” was a key feature of President Clinton’s ill-fated healthcare reform plan. But the GOP approach is significantly different: Whereas Clinton would have required all employers to chip in for universal health insurance, Bush wants to leave responsibility primarily to individuals.

“This is certainly getting a lot of attention from employers,” said Jack Rodgers, a healthcare analyst for PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.

One reason is potential cost savings to employers.

A typical catastrophic health insurance plan carries an annual deductible of about $1,600 for an individual when purchased through a large employer. That means the worker pays the first $1,600 of healthcare expenses each year. By contrast, under the more comprehensive, employer-provided health insurance programs common today, the company begins to pay after about $300 in expenses have been incurred. Deductibles for families are considerably higher under both types of plans.”

This is a very, very significant change. One of the considerations driving it is a desire to do something to contain the cost of medical care. Oddly, though, this shift does not affect the health insurance plans the government actually runs. What it does affect is the health insurance available to the rest of us through our employers.

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