This American Prospect article is really worth reading if you’re at all interested in the Demcoratic primary. It gives you the calendar, the delegate count, and a brief handicapping of the race in each state.
My wild guesses about when we’ll have our nominee & who it’s likely to be, in order of likelihood:
1. Dean, March 2 (Super Tuesday–and this time it’s not just a handful of states, but also NY, California, most of New England, and a few midwestern states. 1,151 delegates are selected this day; 2,159 are needed for the nomination).
2. Dean, February 3 (Mini Tuesday–the first races after Iowa and New Hampshire, none of which are in Dean’s base. If he wins Iowa, New Hampshire, and a majority or plurality of these states, I think it could be over).
3. Clark, March 2 & March 9. (If Clark splits Super Tuesday with Dean and sweeps the smaller Southern Tuesday, he’ll probably win.)