So I leave the country for a week and when I come back it seems the entire place has gone into total panic mode, and draconian measures are being proposed everywhere to regulate sex. What the hell happened while I was gone? Did aliens come down and broadcast an anti-libertarian mind-control hyperwave? Everyone: take a deep breath…and release…deep breath…and release.
The New York Times is at the head of this stampede, and clearly someone over there needs a Valium. Read these headlines:
- H.I.V. Strain Adds Urgency to Changes in City AIDS Program
- Gays Debate Radical Steps to Curb Unsafe Sex
- Rare Strain of H.I.V. Raises Fear of a Resurgence in AIDS Cases
I count at least 10 stories in the past four days on this item in the Times. Yes, the public needs to know, but as Andrew Sullivan points out:
Previous scare stories were at least always based on actual peer-reviewed studies of groups of people – not one or two cases presented at press conferences. Some epidemiological context: in San Francisco, the epicenter of the epidemic, AIDS deaths last year were 182, compared to a peak of 1,633 in 1992; AIDS cases were 245, compared to a peak of 2,327 in 1992. Both numbers were far lower than in 2003. Of course, this reflects what has happened in the epidemic, not what will or may happen. But HIV infection rates have also remained stable. We should not be complacent. But we shouldn’t panic either.
But panicking it seems we are.