Scott Lemieux: Man …or Machine?

by publius Let me join the chorus and heartily recommend Scott Lemieux’s Roe series (one, two, three). It brings back old memories because he mentions an old Legal Fiction post where I laid out my own thinking on Roe. (I actually used to write about law sometimes). I’m tied up for the moment, but I … Read more

The Fine Art of Misrepresentation

by publius

I caught most of tonight’s schizophrenic Mortal Kombat/Kumbaya debate. I know you’ll be shocked, but I came away irritated with the Clinton campaign – more precisely, with certain tactics that I dare call Bush-esque. Hear me out.

To back up, and to echo Josh Marshall, HRC had actually been growing on me lately. The new wave of sympathy hit me one day as I listened to her talk confidently – and with such clear mastery – of some random policy point. I thought, “God, wouldn’t it be nice to have someone that smart and that wonky in the White House.” Her policy mastery didn’t so much win me to her side, as it cooled my opposition. It made me step back, get some perspective, and realize that an HRC administration would be a welcome relief – and would actually be cool in some wonkerrific respects.

But then I listened to the debate. And, ugh. What bothered me was not any of the silly things you usually hear about her personally. What bothered me was her tactics – and in particular, her misrepresentations. They were a particular type of misrepresentation that rang disturbingly familiar.

Josh Marshall got me thinking about all this when I read his scattered reactions to the debate:

I still think Hillary is just intentionally misrepresenting what Obama said about Reagan. It makes me cringe. As much I like her, it makes me cringe.

Just when I’m seeing Hillary’s side of things, she comes back with crap like this ‘present’ stuff. Anybody who’s looked into this knows the whole ‘present’ thing is garbage. It’s a standard thing in the Illinois legislature.

Both of these attacks – i.e., Reagan and the “present” voting – are clearly factually false. And everyone who pays attention to the news knows it. And Clinton knows it too. Obama’s invocation of Reagan had nothing to do with praising Republican ideas, and the “present” thing has already been debunked too.

But still, she and her campaign keep harping on this — dishonestly. What’s so infuriating is that, in doing so, they assume their audience is too ignorant to learn the truth. It’s not so much that they’re attacking Obama – after all, that’s politics. It’s that Clinton’s attacks illustrate a deep contempt for voters. Call it “the rube strategy” – we’ll say what we want and most people will be too ignorant to ever figure out the difference.

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Whither Edwards?

by publius As predicted, it appears HRC has won Nevada. Perhaps the biggest story though is Edwards’ miserable showing, coming in right now at an anemic 5%. It’s clear that his window has closed. There’s no point in him staying in. That said, there’s not much point in him getting out either. Being retired so … Read more

Romney’s Idiot Schtick

by publius Aside from its pesky illegitimacy, the Iowa election – on the GOP side – was deeply reassuring to me. For a brief moment, it threatened to restore my faith in Republican voters – not so much for electing Huckabee, but for rejecting Romney. To be blunt, Huckabee’s not my candidate of choice, but … Read more

Six Degrees of Richard Cohen

by publius Richard Cohen: Barack Obama is a member of Chicago’s Trinity United Church of Christ. Its minister, and Obama’s spiritual adviser, is the Rev. Jeremiah A. Wright Jr. In 1982, the church launched Trumpet Newsmagazine; Wright’s daughters serve as publisher and executive editor. Every year, the magazine makes awards in various categories. Last year, … Read more

Red State Weathervanes

by publius I generally don’t put much stock in endorsements. But Obama’s recent wave of red state Senator endorsements (plus Gov. Napolitano) seems significant. These include Senators Nelson (NE), Johnson (SD), and McCaskill (MO). My take is that these endorsements stem not so much from love for Obama, but from a perceived political need to … Read more

Obama Christ, Superstar

by publius Book of John 1:1, 14 In the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God. . . . And the Word was made flesh, and dwelt among us[.] Ezra Klein: [Obama] is not the Word made flesh, but the triumph of word over flesh, over color, … Read more

AT&T’s New Love for Copyright

by publius Late last year, the FCC invited a new round of comments on net neutrality (and broadband access competition more generally). Somewhat strangely, NBC jumped into the fray, arguing that network providers should be required to monitor their networks for digital copyright violations. Somewhat less strangely, AT&T representatives at a big industry forum this … Read more

Gender and New Hampshire – Part I

by publius

As an Obama guy, I’m obviously disappointed. But given how insanely unpredictable things have been, I’ll pass tonight on predicting what it all means. My first thought was that it’s a body blow for Obama given that Clinton is the establishment candidate. But that’s probably premature – as several commenters in the last thread have reminded me.

Instead, I want to focus on the gender backlash theory that’s gaining traction as the explanation for Clinton’s win. The nickel version is that women went overwhelmingly (and seemingly suddenly) for Clinton in response to the excessive HRC-bashing following Iowa, and more specifically, following the tears. These specific events, in turn, took place against the larger backdrop of frustration that many women have felt about Clinton’s media treatment throughout the election. The theory may be rubbish, but I’m assuming the theory is correct for purposes of this post (and, frankly, I think it is correct).

With that disclaimer, one positive result of Clinton’s victory is that it will force the media (and me) to pay more attention to women’s grievances about the election coverage. For this very reason, I’ve been reflecting tonight on why exactly I oppose Clinton in the primary. Frankly, I wanted to make sure I opposed her for the right reasons, and that I wasn’t holding her to unfair standards. And for reasons I’ll explain, I sincerely believe that I am doing it for the right reasons.

I fully concede that sexism (perhaps subconsciously) is playing a role in her wretched media coverage. This many women this angry can’t all be wrong. There’s definitely some there there – some “there” that I wasn’t seeing (or perhaps ignoring).

But that said, I personally find that a lot of my opposition to Clinton has less to do with her than with an emotional attachment to Obama. Against my better judgment perhaps, I truly believe that Obama could be a game-changer. Ezra Klein caught some crap for it, but I understand the emotions that led him to write those words.

Coming of political age in the Gingrich/late Clinton era, I’ve never really been inspired by any politician. It’s been a mix of outrage and ironic detachment from ’94 on. So you should forgive Ezra – and our generation more generally – if we use some flowing rhetoric from time to time. It’s a newfangled thing for us – and we’re not that good at it. It’s like getting drunk for the first time. You may utter some stupid stuff, but it’s still fun, so you don’t really care.

When the primary fumes pass, we’ll all come around to Clinton, especially compared to the GOP monstrosities. But with Clinton, my perception is that none of this inspired future is possible. Hers will be a competent, moderate, K Street-friendly administration. But I want more – and I think the nation could get more. Thus, my frustration with Clinton’s victory probably has less to do with her personally, than with the fact that I see a very different sort of future slipping away if she wins (or if Edwards wins for that matter). Sure, I’m probably overestimating Obama’s potential energy, but so what. I think it’s just as possible that people are underestimating it. I’m with Andrew Sullivan on that point.

But even putting Obama aside, I want to emphasize that my opposition to Clinton herself is policy-based rather than personality-based.* The problem is that the specific types of policy disagreements I have with Clinton are ones that generate strong emotions. Thus, it’s easy to mistake emotional-yet-ultimately-policy-based critiques with unfair sexism (though I’m not denying that sexism plays a role for many opponents). Here then is a brief rundown of those policy disagreements.

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Ugh

by publius This is not looking good at all. Even if Obama pulls it out, it’s enough to trigger the “Comeback Kid” narrative. Plus, McCain is now very viable. Not a great night thus far. UPDATE: Hmm… Clinton apparently won among women 47-34. That’s a lot. Maybe there was a backlash to the post-Iowa bashing. … Read more

Turnout

by publius Huge turnout is reported in New Hampshire. In fact, some towns are afraid of running out of ballots — Democratic ballots: The New Hampshire Secretary of State’s office is in the process of locating extra ballots to ship to towns that have expressed concern that supplies are running low. The concern is primarily … Read more

More Iowa

by publius

Random Iowa observations below the fold – and I tried to limit myself to non-obvious points that everyone and their brother hasn’t already made. This post is also a bit stream of consciousness (with the added obstacle of simultaneously watching TV), so pardon the lack of polish.

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Release the Herd

by publius Via Andrew Sullivan, I see that Ben Smith thinks people might be underestimating the reaction to an Obama victory: While conventional insider wisdom is taking the possibility of an Obama win very seriously, and while the prospect of an Obama presidency is something Iowa Democrats are mulling, I’m not sure people around America, … Read more

McCain and Iowa

by publius I’ve been growing increasingly frightened that McCain will win the nomination. His candidacy has seemed dead for so long that I had stopped paying attention to him. But he’s now very much in it – depending in part on how Iowa goes tonight. To back up, I’ve always believed that McCain (and Rudy) … Read more

Iowa Predictions Open Thread

by publius In the all-important contest for a statistically insignificant number of delegates, chosen from a tiny fraction of Democratic voters in a undemocratic and vote-suppressing caucus system, I predict the following outcome: 1 – Obama 2 – Edwards 3 – Clinton I was tempted to put Edwards in as number 1, but couldn’t quite … Read more

An Amazing Cinderella Story

by publius Associated Press, “Rockets Take Commanding Lead; Analysts Say Victory Over Celtics Likely Inevitable” The Rockets’ Shane Battier opened the game with a three-pointer, all but assuring victory in the much-anticipated clash with the Boston Celtics, who currently boast the best record in the Eastern Conference. Battier’s shot put the Rockets ahead 3-0, with … Read more

The Military, in the Library, With the Rope

by publius I’m far … far … from an expert on Pakistan. But, color me skeptical of the initial attempts to blame the Taliban or (according to Pakistan) al Qaeda-affiliated militants. It may all be proven true, but it sure smells like military elements played a role too. Admittedly, I’m conjecturing, but hear me out. … Read more

The Great Jonah Dilemma

by publius On the one hand, I’d like to read the book because I don’t want to miss out on all the fun. (In all seriousness, I think books like these are juvenile, and call out for ridicule. Indeed, humiliation is probably the most effective way to prevent embarrassments like this from being written in … Read more

Bartlett’s Offensive Argument

by publius

I’ve been torn on whether – and how – to respond to Bruce Bartlett’s op-ed, which previews his book on racism and the Democratic Party. Some of his sentences are so blatantly disingenuous that it’s clear he’s fishing for outrage. (See, e.g., “[I]f a single mention of states’ rights 27 years ago is sufficient to damn the Republican Party for racism ever afterwards . . .”). What’s maddening is that he – Coulter-esquely – wants me to be outraged so that he can sell more books.

Maybe I’m playing the fool, but his argument requires a response because it’s outrageous and deeply, callously offensive. Smiling at those words, eh Brucey? It’s actually offensive on two levels – one obvious way and one way that is less obvious but more insidious.

First, to the extent that Bartlett is attempting to make a logical argument (personally, I don’t think logic is the goal) Yglesias pretty much rips the argument to shreds here and here. As Bartlett surely knows, the American political parties – while keeping the same labels – have shifted dramatically over the past 200 years. As every seventh-grade American history student knows, the white supremacist coalition (largely but by no means exclusively Southern) voted Democratic until the civil rights era when it moved to the GOP with helpful nudges from Goldwater, Nixon and Reagan.

It would be great of course if Bartlett were sincerely concerned about America’s historical racial legacy. But he’s not. That’s not the point of his book. The point is to win modern political points for the GOP and smear the Democrats. If he can get the question aired, he largely wins. (Chris Matthews: Tonight’s panel will discuss if the Democrats are racist. Joining us are …”

The first level of outrage here is that he’s smearing the modern Democratic Party for the actions of the same racist white supremacists that the party institutionally repudiated in the civil rights era (at great political cost). During this same time period, Bartlett’s own party – whose rank-and-file are largely non-racist – institutionally adopted this grotesque bloc of Bull Connor voters. Since then, at the institutional level, the GOP has intentionally fanned racial flames through opposition and/or indifference to civil rights legislation, through inflammatory code words, and through turning a blind eye to institutional actions by the GOP in southern states (e.g., Georgia Confederate flag controversy).

Admittedly, the Democratic Party is guilty of taking the black vote for granted. And they are also guilty of not pushing as hard as they could for fear of white backlash. But that said, they’ve been the only ones who have even been trying for the past 40 years. The Democrats are the ones fighting for the programs and laws that disproportionately help poor and urban African-Americans. The Democrats are the ones fighting against race-based voter disenfranchisement efforts (e.g., “voter ID”). The Democrats the ones fighting against judges who are hostile to civil rights achievements.

The parties’ record on race over the past 40 years illustrates all too clearly just how dishonest Bartlett is being. That’s bad, but it’s not the worst part. The more outrageous part of Bartlett’s argument is not the dishonesty, but the callous indifference to historical discrimination. He treats the whole thing like a chess pawn in a silly DC talk show game.

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Merry Christmas

by publius Ho Ho Ho. If you’re dying to send any of us a Christmas present (preferably an iPhone), just shoot us an email and we’ll send you an address. Merry Christmas everyone.

Winner – Worst Op-Ed of 2007

by publius More on this to come post-Christmas, but Bruce Bartlett’s op-ed (and book) is the stupidest thing I’ve ever seen. Looks like Yglesias has it covered, but this argument is just stunningly disingenuous. Textbook “School of Rove” — dishonestly accuse your political opponent of one’s own serious flaws. Ugh, to sit back and benefit … Read more

The Lesson of 2007: Be (Better) Prepared

by publius Looking back at Year One of Reid/Pelosi, I realize that my view of the Democratic leadership has been schizophrenic. On some days, I prefer a Kossian pitchfork. On other days, I sympathize with the formidable challenges of dealing with vulnerable members and legislative minorities with veto power. In this sense, I embody the … Read more

Jayson Blair Kaus

by publius If Mickey Kaus wants to use Slate — a professional, well-regarded political “magazine” — to parrot the National Enquirer’s “story” on John Edwards, shouldn’t Slate fire him if this story turns out to be wrong? I mean, if a reporter from Kaus’s hated NYT ran with something like this, he or she would … Read more

Let Your Edwards Work For You

by publius Posts like this reinforce my growing view that Edwards is in a much stronger position in Iowa than the polls show. Specifically, Edwards benefits from the 15% threshold in a couple of ways: (1) he’s the most popular “second” choice; (2) his rural organization makes it less likely that he’ll come in under … Read more

Some Thoughts on Huck Mania

by publius I’m still catching up on the news, but I have a few quick thoughts on the rise of Huckabee (and the fascinating conservative backlash – see Steve Benen for a roundup). First, regardless of what you think of Huckabee’s over-the-top religiosity, it’s shrewd politics. The knock against Huckabee has been that he lacks … Read more

The Big Boys on Hardball

by publius I’m almost finished grading finals, so posting should be more regular soon. But in the meantime, political junkies might enjoy this Hardball debate among the three big-shot Democratic campaign managers — Axelrod (Obama), Penn (Clinton), and Trippi (Edwards). (Via Politico). A few notes here — first, Mark Penn really shouldn’t be on TV. … Read more

More Fine Work from the Politico

by publius Hillary Clinton apparently joined the Politico staff this week, writing a longish (for the Politico) piece attacking Obama as – wait for it – too liberal. This devastating, devastating piece is based on a single questionnaire provided to a random voter group in Illinois in 1996 (the famous “Independent Voters of Illinois — … Read more

Facing Vader

by publius YODA No more training do you require. Already know you that which you need. LUKE Then I am a Jedi. YODA Ohhh. Not yet. One thing remains: Vader. You must confront Vader. Then, only then, a Jedi will you be. The Dems’ latest unwillingness to fight on Iraq funding is hardly surprising. In … Read more

Sweet Memory Lane

by publius Steve Dunleavy, New York Post, 9/21/99 (no link): IT WON’T be hard to find Bill Clinton in New York today – just follow the traffic jams that his visits always produce. But don’t look for his conscience. For the past 14 years, you wouldn’t have been able to find it with AWAC radar … Read more

Peaking Too Early

by publius In other signs of the apocalypse, watch as I quote Byron York on Huckabee and the NIE: After Kuhn explained the NIE’s findings to Huckabee, Huckabee seemed confused about what it meant. Beyond doing nothing to resolve doubts about his foreign policy qualifications, the exchange underscores the fact that Huckabee doesn’t really have … Read more

The End of Days

by publius Robert Kagan: Regardless of what one thinks about the National Intelligence Estimate’s conclusion that Iran stopped its nuclear weapons program in 2003 — and there is much to question in the report — its practical effects are indisputable. The Bush administration cannot take military action against Iran during its remaining time in office … Read more

This Week’s Bolton

by publius There’s obviously a lot to say about what one hopes is the timely end of Cheney’s war with Iran. And when I get more time, I’ll say it. But first, a quick word on the great John Bolton. Given that the Post’s Peter Baker can’€™t seem to write a foreign affairs article without … Read more