Kennedy v. Lousiana, Take Two

by publius

It happens from time to time, but my initial post on Kennedy v. Louisiana was wrong. I disagree with the decision. That said, I think it’s a plausible decision – and it certainly doesn’t justify the hyperventilating cries of illegitimacy from conservatives that seem to accompany every decision that they disagree with (more on that in my next post).

But it’s a bad opinion. It’s not merely that the methodology is shaky. Even assuming you accept the methodology, the Court’s result doesn’t seem consistent with that methodology.

To back up, constitutional law decisions always have two key parts: (1) the result; and (2) the reasoning (i.e., the methodology or doctrine or framework). For instance, imagine the Supreme Court said (a) Gitmo detainees have habeas rights; (b) because Publius says they do and he’s infallible. That’s the correct result, but the reasoning is a wee shaky. More to the point, the methodology adopted will lead to bad things, even if we like the result it produced in this particular case.

It’s easy to lose sight of it in political debates, but constitutional law is often a battle of competing methodologies. And if you want to be cynical, certain Justices favor certain methodologies because they generally produce results they like. Originalist methodology, for instance, was heavily motivated by hostility to the Warren Court. True, originalism sometimes produces results conservatives don’t like, but those are the operating costs of adopting politically favorable methodologies.

So with the result/reasoning distinction in mind, we can better understand the problem with Kennedy. It’s not only that the methodology itself has some serious problems. It’s that the methodology suggests a different result. It gets a bit denser below the fold.

Read more

Kennedy v. Louisiana

by publius The Court today held that imposing the death penalty for child rape was unconstitutional. I haven’t read the opinion yet, so this post is subject to change. But as grotesquely heinous as child rape is, I think it’s the right call. I’ll talk about doctrine in more detail later, but I think death … Read more

Nomination – Worst Op-Ed of 2008

by publius I should probably give up reading Richard Cohen columns. But I honestly don’t understand how he could make such two utterly inconsistent points in the same column. First, he tries to absolve himself from the McCain Crush by pointing out that McCain has flip-flopped a lot: But, for the record, let’s recapitulate: McCain … Read more

Jindal Has Company

by publius When I heard that Bobby Jindal had written (non-ironically) about exorcising a demon, I thought it would pretty much sink his VP chances. Turns out — America agrees with him. From the Post, I saw that Pew released a comprehensive survey on Americans’ religious views. And, as you might expect, America remains extremely … Read more

Philosophers Needed

by publius Unsurprisingly, Marc Ambinder defended (or perhaps “contextualized”) Charlie Black’s terrorism comments — you know, bold truth-telling and all. But I didn’t quite understand this: Let’s put aside our Humean selves and ask: is Black right? When existential worries predominate, will voters flock to the security blanket provided by a guy with decades of … Read more

George Carlin, RIP

by publius George Carlin was one of my favorite comics, so I was very saddened to see the news this morning.  So I thought I’d post one of my favorite all-time Carlin bits.  It’s him talking about the first Gulf War where he says that "we like war."  It’s great — and fittingly appropriate.

Some Thoughts on Executive Privilege

by publius I’m certainly no expert on executive privilege. But in thinking about when the privilege should apply, it’s important to distinguish between two different types of communications: (1) intra-advisors’ communications; and (2) communications with (or among) agency officials. The claim for executive privilege is much weaker in the latter, which of course is the … Read more

Steny’s Bold “Ignore the Rubes” Strategy

by publius

To follow up on Hilzoy’s post, the part of the FISA “compromise” I find most infuriating is that the Democrats are quite literally insulting our intelligence in describing what they did. Their press releases and statements on telecom immunity assume that we’re morons. If you want to grant immunity, then do it and have the guts to say you’re doing it. But don’t lie about what you did. This whole “treat them like rubes” strategy is unacceptable.

To illustrate — the telcos are getting immunity and everyone knows it. They literally only have to show that the Bush administration sent them a letter. That’s it. Show the letter, and you’re immune — no discovery, no nuthin’. (As I’ve said, I don’t care that much about punishing telcos, I care about generating information through discovery).

However, instead of just admitting that they caved, the Dem leaders are pretending like they’ve instituted tough new standards by requiring a district court to make the final decision. Thus, they’re essentially doing two things: (1) lying about what they’re doing, and (2) shifting blame to a politically unaccountable branch of government.

When I say “lying,” what I mean is that Democratic leaders are dressing up the district court “review” as something it’s not. Via Laura Rozen, here’s how Rockefeller’s committee described the rubber stamping:

A district court hearing a case against a provider will decide whether the Attorney General’s certification attesting that the liability protection standard has been met and is supported by substantial evidence. In making that determination, the court will have the opportunity to examine the highly classified letters to the providers that indicated the President had authorized the activity and that it had been determined to be lawful. The plaintiffs and defendants will have the opportunity to file public briefs on legal issues and the court should include in any public order a description of the legal standards that govern the order.

Sounds pretty scary, eh? Lots of big mean words in there. “Supported by substantial evidence” — tough! Exacting! And you gotta love the whole “opportunity to file public briefs on legal issues.” Yes, I’m sure we can all have a lively legal debate about whether the letter that everyones knows was sent was in fact sent. Should be a very detailed brief.

Read more

“So Called Quote Habeas Corpus Suits”

by publius

Marc Ambinder has been spending a lot of time lately defending John McCain. But this post on habeas was too much. Ambinder claims that “on the question of what should be done to the Gitmo detainees, the candidates’ rhetorical differences are greater than their policy differences.” That’s wrong. Really really wrong.

First, and before I get to policy differences, the larger problem is that Ambinder is ignoring the fact that political rhetoric matters. McCain has adopted the worst sort of demagoguery on the habeas case. He claimed the decision was one of the worst in history. He also referred to writs of habeas corpus — one of the oldest civil liberty protections in Anglo-American law — as “so-called, quote, Habeas Corpus suits.”

In doing so, McCain is providing support for the political movement to deny the detainees all legal rights. It doesn’t matter what he privately thinks or what he said years ago. Today, when it matters, he’s siding with the “no rights” crowd — and his actions have consequences. (And for the record, the point of protecting those rights is not to release terrorists but — say it with me people — to determine if these people are terrorists in the first place).

But that aside, Ambinder’s also off on the policy. It’s frustrating to even have to say this, but McCain and Obama have major policy differences on the Gitmo detainees.

First, Ambinder claims the McCain’s gripe is procedural rather than constitutional. That distinction, however, doesn’t make much sense. He writes:

[McCain’s] concern now [] is procedural, rather than constitutional: the detainees’ having access to habeas in our federal courts would create a tangled web of lawsuits, would expose intelligence secrets, and would needlessly draw out these legal proceedings.

Ugh, where to start. It’s true that there’s a difference between rights and remedies. It’s also true that habeas is a procedural remedy to vindicate a pre-existing right (e.g., due process). The problem, though, with Ambinder’s statement is that this particular procedural remedy (habeas) also happens to be a guaranteed constitutional right. Indeed, its purpose is to prevent precisely what Bush is doing. Thus, McCain’s problem with “procedure” is necessarily a constitutional problem. And the fact that constitutional rights are messy is, you know, the point. I mean, I guess the Fourth Amendment would be ok and all if didn’t make police do messy things like get warrants. It just really drags out the process needlessly.

Things get worse in the next part though:

McCain believes that it’s OK for foreign-national detainees to have habeas corpus rights, even if they are somewhat restricted[.]

No he doesn’t. I mean, he may say that. He may even think that. But he’s acted in a completely different way.

Rights don’t exist if you eliminate all procedures to vindicate those rights. Otherwise, the rights become only words on paper, rather than living breathing liberties that must necessarily be enforced.

In short, actions speak louder than words. And in the world of action, McCain has been a consistent opponent of habeas. In fact, he’s consistently voted to completely strip ALL habeas protections from the Gitmo detainees. For instance, he has (1) supported the DTA; (2) supported the MCA; and (3) filibustered a bill to restore the habeas rights eliminated by the prior two laws. Collectively, these votes completely eliminated habeas remedies and replaced them with kangaroo courts. Maybe Ambinder could take a stab at squaring these actions with McCain’s words and press releases.

Read more

A New Cap-and-Trade Proposal

by publius This was simply too good to leave in the comments. In Hilzoy’s post illustrating that McCain doesn’t seem to know what cap-and-trade actually means, commenter Model 62 writes: Maybe McCain’s campaign should develop a cap-and-trade system for clarifying remarks. Advisers who shed more light on what McCain Actually Meant can sell their additional … Read more

The Benefits of Neutrality

by publius Kevin Drum writes that the era of flat-rate broadband pricing may be over because of infrastructural limitations. But this part isn’t quite right: The enormous boom in long-haul fiber construction in the late 90s, followed by the dotcom bust, left us with so much overcapacity that for the past decade there’s been no … Read more

John McCain: The Robin Hood of Health Care

by publius

As we all remember from childhood, Robin Hood was the original working class hero. He, um, redistributed from the rich to help the poor. From reading Tony Pugh’s McClatchey piece on the candidates’ health care policies, you would think that John McCain is a modern-day progressive Robin Hood on health care. (I first saw the article in the print edition of the Houston Chronicle).

The article begins by describing a mother (Ms. Espinoza) who has employer-based health care for herself, but can’t afford to add her children (they remain uninsured). After Pugh describes to her the candidates’ rival health care plans, she ultimately decides that McCain’s policy sounds better. It’s outrageous and depressing, but it’s not her fault — it’s the fault of people like Pugh who need to do a better job describing the real-world consequences of these policies.

I’ll get to the policy side below, but first the politics. In one sense, McCain’s health care proposal shouldn’t be understood as policy at all — it’s merely a political weapon. It lets him say something in response to questions from the public and the press about health care. What’s troubling, though, is that the proposal may not be bad politics, assuming the public remains misinformed.

To the general public, McCain’s health care “policy” is “I’ll give your family $5000 — go knock yourself out.” And if that’s all you know, it doesn’t sound that bad. Having an extra $5000 is better than not having it (or $2500 for individuals). The problem is that McCain’s tax credit shouldn’t be analyzed in a vacuum. The same policy that would provide families $5000 would create enormous collateral damage — indeed, it would ultimately cause families to pay significantly more money for significantly less coverage (more on that below).

The political challenge, then, is figuring out ways to tell the truth in simple compelling terms — after all, it’s not demagoguery if it’s true and important. The public needs to understand that McCain’s policy isn’t just “here’s an extra $5000.” The promise of extra cash, though, is probably why Ms. Espinoza (depressingly) preferred McCain’s approach. True, she’s only one person — but we shouldn’t overestimate the ability of people to understand complex policy issues that can be obscured through, say, lying or lazy reporting.

So that’s the politics — below is my more detailed policy gripe with Pugh’s portrayal of McCain’s proposal:

Read more

Guns N’ Justices

by publius Via Volokh, I saw this excellent overview of what to look for in the Heller Second Amendment case by Professor Mike O’Shea at Concurring Opinions. The decision could come Monday. There’s a lot to chew over, but the upshot is that the Court seems poised to recognize some sort of individual right. The … Read more

Remembering Tim Russert

by publius Like everyone else, I’m shocked and saddened by the news. It’s just hard to believe that it’s real. Anyway, I think Ezra Klein has had the most appropriate words so far: But for now, it’s going to be strange indeed to turn on the TV on Sundays and not hear his voice. Presumably, … Read more

The Maverick

by publius Take it away Senator McCain (via Swampland): The United States Supreme Court yesterday rendered a decision which I think is one of the worst decisions in the history of this country. Sen. Graham and Sen. Lieberman and I had worked very hard to make sure that we didn’t torture any prisoners, that we … Read more

More Boumediene

by publius In response to the last post’s comment thread, I want to clarify some points about the adequacy of D.C. Circuit’s appellate review (I’ll address Roberts skepticism later). Some of my arguments were not clearly written, so let’s take another stab. The basic dispute in the comments turned on whether the Court’s decision about … Read more

Boumediene: When Justices Stop Being Polite, and Start Getting Realist

by publius

Boumediene deserves about a dozen posts, but here’s my initial take — the opinion is legal realism made flesh. Legal text and doctrine didn’t determine the Justices’ votes today— outside considerations of policy and politics did. And as I’ll explain, that’s not necessarily a bad thing (indeed, it was probably unavoidable).

[As a disclaimer, I’m assuming some basic knowledge of the opinion. If you want a summary, check out Hilzoy’s fine post or the invaluable ScotusBlog.]

To me, the most interesting question — and the crux of the whole decision — was the sufficiency of D.C. Circuit’s ability to review the Combatant Status Review Tribunals (i.e., the “courts” that determine if you’re an “enemy combatant”). Because Roberts’ dissent focuses on this issue in detail, he comes closest to obliterating the majority’s logical foundation.

To back up, there are really two separate procedures at issue here. The first is the CSRTs themselves that make the initial enemy combatant classification (they are not Article III courts). The second is the appellate review of those classifications. Regarding the latter, Congress (in the DTA and MCA) provided for a limited appellate review of the CSRTs by the illustrious D.C. Circuit alone. By law, the court can only determine (1) whether the CSRTs followed the President’s designated standards and procedures, and (2) whether “the use of such standards . . . is consistent with the Constitution and laws of the United States.”

That last part is crucial. If the D.C. Circuit review provides sufficient protections, then it’s a valid “substitute” for habeas. (Habeas, after all, is just a procedure to vindicate other rights). If it’s not, then Congress has unconstitutionally “suspended” habeas corpus.

And on this question, Roberts’ argument seems pretty persuasive at first glance. He explains that if there are constitutional problems with the CSRT procedures, then the D.C. Circuit gets the first crack at them. What’s more, the D.C. Circuit by the very terms of the statute is free to reach the same conclusion that the Court did. There’s nothing, Roberts says, that the Court held today that the D.C. Circuit couldn’t have held. Thus, the Court is jumping the gun, throwing out a statute before the D.C. Circuit has considered any procedural challenges.

To repeat, the million dollar question is whether the D.C. Circuit could provide any relief that the detainees would be constitutionally entitled to.

The Court ultimately answered “no” — i.e., it held that the D.C. Circuit’s constitutional review was unconstitutionally narrow. That conclusion, however, seems hard to square with the language of the statute. As Roberts explained, the D.C. Circuit was explicitly authorized to review the constitutionality of the procedures.

On a purely abstract level, I think Roberts gets the best of this argument. But that said, I still think he was ultimately wrong, largely because of real-world considerations.

Read more

And Even More McCain

by publius

A few more thoughts relating to McCain’s tone deaf statement:

First, I think that McCain today got his first taste of a united Democratic party firing at him. In particular, he got a taste of how quick, powerful, and efficient the Obama operation is now that it’s free from primary distractions. I agree with Andrew that it’s important not to let the surrogates get out of control. But generally speaking, today looked like a strong, simple, quickly-assembled, well-coordinated attack that had the McCain team flailing about for most of the day.

And for that, you can thank Clinton. One benefit of the endless primary is that the Obama team is truly a battle-tested organization. Fighting off Romney or Huckabee statements just doesn’t provide the same type of trial by fire. It’s almost like Obama’s been training in the mountains and has come down to normal altitudes to battle Rick Davis’s ragtag operation.

Second, it seems odd that McCain is stressing Iraq so much at this stage. It’s extremely unpopular, it ties him to Bush, and it keeps him from moving into the centrist independent territory that would presumably play to his “core competencies.”

Read more

More McCain

by publius Hilzoy made several good points about McCain’s “not that important” line this morning. But I want to add a few more (or at least elaborate on them). First, I understand (and sympathize with) the argument that context matters. One of the most patently unfair aspects of YouTube politics is that candidates can be … Read more

Some Thoughts on the General

by publius

So enough of the primary — let’s talk general election. Here are a few random observations:

Is “Bush III” a Wise Strategy?

Obama’s narrative is — to his credit — very simple. McCain is Bush III. Easy to explain, easy to understand.

Several people have, however, questioned the wisdom of this strategy. Because McCain’s brand is “Johnny Maverick,” the argument is that Obama can never make Bush III stick. For instance, one of my favorite conservative bloggers, Patrick Ruffini, has argued that Obama should instead adopt a “depress the base” strategy by highlighting McCain’s disputes with the conservative wing. In other words, Obama should use “Johnny Maverick” to remind conservatives why they dislike McCain.

Personally, I think Obama’s strategy is correct. Plus, he’s already unveiled it and a “depress the base” message at this point would conceptually undermine everything he’s already said. In any event, I think Ruffini is overlooking how much Obama’s Bush III strategy will indirectly depress the conservative base by forcing McCain to disown them. In short, “Bush III” will kill two birds with one stone.

Whatever the merits of the Bush III strategy may be, the McCain team clearly feels like it’s damaging them. Otherwise, they wouldn’t be pushing back so hard on it. Thus, as the general election goes on, McCain is increasingly going to feel the need to play up his maverick side. Of course, all candidates move to the center in the general. But McCain will feel more urgency about it than, say, Bush did. And each time he does so, it will rankle an already-rankled base. And let’s be honest — it’s hard to imagine the base knocking on doors this fall to get him elected as it is, much less after several months of hearing him run away from Bush.

Social Security — Use It Early and Often

So apparently old white people don’t like Obama so much. You know what they do like? Social Security. You know what they don’t like? Private accounts. And though he’s recently flip-flopped, McCain has supported Bush’s private accounts. He told the WSJ this March:

“As part of Social Security reform, I believe that private savings accounts are a part of it — along the lines that President Bush proposed.”

When the WSJ informed him that his website only favored private accounts as “supplements,” he told the WSJ that he would change the website. (He didn’t, perhaps because McCain wasn’t grasping the policy details at the time).

He’s since flip-flopped, but Obama should still hammer him on this — if for no other reason than to show that McCain doesn’t know what the heck he’s talking about. I haven’t dug up his 2005 statements during the original privatization debate, but I’m sure there’s some goodies in there.

If I were Obama, I would literally start putting the commercials up in Florida tomorrow. I mean, if only people had had a chance to invest a third of their Social Security benefits in the roaring markets over the past three years — just imagine the returns.

Read more

Roberts and Alito Followup

by publius For you law-dawgs out there interested in my Roberts/Alito post, Scott Lemieux has a more pessimistic take (which could very well prove correct though).

What Clinton Should Do Next

by publius

The more I think about it, the more I admire Clinton’s speech today. It’s impossible to imagine how difficult the speech must have been for her — yet that very difficulty is what made it so poignant. She left no ambiguity today — and she spoke in touching and personal ways. So kudos to her and her campaign.

So what’s next for her? I think her actions over the next few months will determine her political future — and today was a very good start. At this point, the single-best thing she can do for her career is to denounce Larry Johnson go all-out for Obama in the months ahead. She should work as hard as any surrogate. It’s not merely the right thing to do, it’s also in her political self-interest. That last part is the key.

I’ve just started Perlstein’s Nixonland, and it offers a useful comparison. Nixon very much wanted the nomination in 1964, thinking — correctly — that he was a superior candidate. At the time, the Republican establishment was treating Goldwater like a pariah.

But Nixon eventually came around and worked his tail off for Goldwater. After the inevitable crushing, it appeared that Nixon had squandered whatever capital he had left. But the chessmaster knew exactly what he was doing. Goldwater conservatives were taking over the party and he got out in front of the movement, positioning himself perfectly for 1968.

Moving ahead to 2008, you can see some interesting parallels. Let’s assume for the sake of argument that Clinton would be objectively better off if Obama loses. Clinton’s potential problem is that she can’t capitalize on the loss if people blame her (e.g., if lots of older liberal women stayed home and Clinton did little to get them out). More critically, she can’t capitalize if she is a persona non grata among key blocs of the emerging Democratic coalition — particularly African-Americans, young liberals, and netsrootsy urban knowledge-workers who make up a big part of the small-donor base (and there is of course overlap among these groups like a Venn diagram).

That’s why Al Gore’s much-derided embrace of Dean was politically astute. Gore — being years ahead of everyone, as usual — saw which way the wind was blowing.

Clinton — ever the savvy politician — shouldn’t ignore these trends. She has, frankly, taken a hit in the eyes of these blocs (though today helped a lot). But she can position herself well for the future. More below…

Read more

The Speech

by publius Quick take — it’s good. It was touching, and she said what she needed to say — even though it was doubtless an extremely difficult thing to do. Hilzoy and others have spoken eloquently about the historic nature of Obama’s victory. But it’s important to remember the truly historic nature of her campaign … Read more

Pay No Attention to the 400 Pound Gorilla

by publius Today’s postmortem from the Post: In reality, Clinton lost the nomination long before May 6. The early mistakes have been well documented: a flawed message that focused too much on inevitability and not enough on change; a failure to make Clinton more appealing to Iowa voters; a strategic miscalculation about the importance of … Read more

The Nominee

by publius The big story tonight is that Obama won the nomination. Clinton’s speech deserves its own post, but not right now. Tonight is Obama’s night. The primary has been so grueling that it’s easy to lose sight of the big picture. But when you take a step back to reflect on it, it’s amazing … Read more

Election Night Open Thread

by publius I just got out of a basketball game, so I missed Clinton’s speech (though the gym had on Fox News, and I suspect I’m going to be upset based on the tidbits of commentary I saw). It looks like she conceded nothing. Anyhoo, open thread. Obama’s just starting to speak now. More later. … Read more

More on Primary Reform

by publius Brien Jackson has a thoughtful section-by-section reply to my post on primary election reform. Check it out. One theme expressed both there and in the (quite impressive) comment thread is that there is a place for smaller-scale retail level politics that values organizational abilities. That’s one reason for beginning with small states, and … Read more

Glimmers of Hope from Roberts and Alito

by publius

I’ve now had a chance to dig into last week’s Supreme Court opinions — CBOCs v. Humphries and Gomez-Perez v. Potter (pdfs). Both cases extended civil rights protections to claims of retaliation (I’ll explain below). What’s most interesting about the opinions is that they illustrate why Roberts and Alito are quite different from the more reactionary Scalia/Thomas wing. In fact, I think these opinions suggest that Roe v. Wade may (MAY) be safer than it appears, even under a McCain presidency.

First, some exceedingly brief background. The cases above involved two civil rights statutes — Section 1981 prohibits a certain type of racial discrimination, while the ADEA prohibits age discrimination. The precise question was whether these two statutes cover retaliation for complaining about these forms of discrimination.

For instance, if your boss says, “I’m firing you because you’re too old,” that’s clear discrimination. But let’s assume the boss had fired someone else for that same reason. And let’s say that, in response, you complained to other managers about it and they fired you for your efforts (i.e., they retaliated). In that scenario, have you been “discriminated” against “on the basis of age”?

That’s what the Court had to decide — How broadly should the statutes be construed? The upshot is that construing the text broadly would make it easier to bring discrimination claims. Construing it more narrowly, by contrast, would make it harder.

In both cases, the Court found that the statutes covered retaliation — so it was a win for the forces of good. But the alignment was interesting. The race case was 7-2, with Roberts and Alito joining the liberals. The age case was 6-3, because the majority lost Roberts (but Roberts’ dissent is still quite different from the Thomas/Scalia one).

To be grossly general for the sake of the non-lawyers, the two cases pitted textualism versus stare decisis (i.e., respect for precedent).* The textual basis for retaliation claims is fairly shaky. There are plausible readings that get you there, but it’s a very close call. There are, however, several prior cases that extend these protections to retaliation claims. The dilemma for Roberts and Alito is that they were being asked to uphold prior decisions they presumably disagreed with, ideologically speaking.

But they upheld them anyway — in doing so, they were “acting against interest.” It would have been very easy for Alito and Roberts to say “no text, no claim.” But instead, they endorsed these prior cases, warts and all (warts from a conservative perspective, that is).

Indeed, Alito endorsed this precedent in both cases. And while Roberts dissented in the age case, his dissent was rooted in the unique textual structure of that individual statute (frankly, I think he was probably right). Notably, he did not go along with Scalia and Thomas who claimed that “discrimination” never encompasses retaliation.

I think we can take a few tentative lessons from these opinions. To be sure, I don’t want to read too much into one day’s worth of decisions. These may well be outliers. But disclaimer aside, here goes:

Read more

Go Start Anew — Reforming the Nomination Process

by publius One overlooked aspect of the DNC’s admittedly clusterf***ish meeting this weekend is that things could have been far worse. Consider this — what if the meeting had actually mattered? What if the actual nomination had depended on how the DNC handled Michigan and Florida? That, my friends, would have been ugly. Really, really … Read more

Clinton’s Dangerous Liaisons

by publius This Taylor Marsh post (via Crowley) illustrates perfectly why the Clinton campaign’s public reaction to yesterday’s events matters. What’s particularly maddening is that Clinton insiders appear ready to give up the ghost rather soon. Thus, Ickes’ little temper-tantrum was basically for show. The problem, though, is that this public theater has concrete, harmful … Read more

Question Answered — Ickes Throws Down

by publius In last night’s post, I explained that what mattered was not so much the rules committee’s decision, but the Clinton campaign’s reaction to it. In particular, would the Clinton campaign accept it as legitimate? Harold Ickes just answered the question — no. He didn’t just disagree with the proposed Michigan solution. He used … Read more

Make It Stop

by publius I just turned on MSNBC this afternoon for rules committee updates and I feel like the pushback on the network is working (i.e., they seem overly self-conscious of sounding too pro-Obama). They’re going out of their way to air Clinton’s absurd scenarios, without actually noting the absurdities. For instance, the big question has … Read more

Hillary’s Choice

by publius Perhaps I’m being melodramatic, but tomorrow is one of the most critical events of the 2008 election. At this point, you’re thinking “aha, rules committee meeting.” But that’s not actually what I’m talking about. The truly truly critical event tomorrow is the Clinton campaign’s reaction to the rules committee’s decision. It could very … Read more

The McCain Narrative

by publius Today’s Post article on McCain’s “hide Bush from all cameras” fundraiser explains that McCain is (for now) significantly outperforming his party in the polls. For obvious reasons, it’s imperative that McCain maintain this distance from the GOP in the public’s eyes. That’s why I think that — Reverend Wright, etc. aside — the … Read more